1. 10-08-07 06:36 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    NFL Double-Digit Home Underdogs

    NFL double digit home underdogs are 60-44-2, 57.7% ATS since 1985, including 52-33-2, 61.2% ATS when they are between +10 and +13.5.

    Also, double digit home underdogs are 31-74, 29.5% SU, which has a break-even point of +239, giving Buffalo value at +475. Also, home underdogs between +10 and +13.5 are 29-57, 33.7% SU, which has a break-even point of only +197.
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  2. 10-08-07 12:18 PM #2
    Checkerboard
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    points towards Buffalo, but I'm going to think of this as reasoning not to play Dallas as opposed to taking Buffalo. I'm going to lay off MNF tonight. Thanks for this input LT, it's good stuff for future reference as well as tonight.
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  3. 10-08-07 01:53 PM #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Checkerboard View Post
    it's good stuff for future reference as well as tonight.
    That's what I try to provide!
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  4. 10-15-07 02:19 PM #4
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    Bumping this up because of Miami hosting New England this week. After Buffalo's cover and near-upset of Dallas:

    NFL double digit home underdogs are 61-44-2, 58.1% ATS since 1985.

    Also, double digit home underdogs are 31-75, 29.3% SU, which has a break-even point of +241.
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  5. 10-15-07 03:10 PM #5
    durito
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    Winless teams at 0-5 or worse are also 39-17 ATS as home dogs (69.6%)

    Miami is up to 16.5, i'm hoping for a 17.5
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  6. 10-15-07 03:13 PM #6
    SBR Lou
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    I think I am going to step on the brakes this week with New England, although I wouldn't feel comfortable having Miami +16.5 at all. I just think there are some better spots for them coming.
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