Dallas -530 ? That means tease em right . You not from Trackpicks are you ? lol
honestly , what does the normal player do with a - 530 line ?
Risk alot to get a little ? you should never bother to touch a -530 line really , unless you have alot of $ and dont give a shi$.
Fact is that is bad information and bad training for people to mess with lines like that . Someone does that as a beginner mainly thinkin this is an ez win and gets screwed , then you have to get 10 normal wagers right just to make up for that silly wager .......experience is the best teacher .
You saying what you are saying would come more from a sportsbook NOT someone that makes money wagering sports , IS JUST TRUTH , why would I lie to you .
You never ever ever ever ever ever ever never never never do that stupid shi# , for what . You can get 10 of those right and the one you miss you will maybe be back to even . rofl .
Last edited by EJandV; 10-05-07 at 04:01 AM.
Reason: add truth
I take your point. To be honest I would never play this on US football but on Rugby for sure.
If it wouldn't have been against the way the forum works I would have been able to give you guy some great tips on the World Cup going on.
I am on 80% with the handicap..
Here's one for you anyway just on ML lines which will not fail.
Austriala V England. We are the world champs but just have no quality in the back line. It is an evenly matched game in the forwards but the class of the Ozzie back line can rip England apart at any time.
ML 1/6 Austriala: No chance this won't happen
Handicap -13 I would suggest waiting until half time and making an in game bet on the Ozzies covering as they are a second half team and you will get better odds. Austriala will win by about 20.
New Zealand v France. France are the hosts but the game is in Wales as France lost their openner against a teir 2 side and can raise their game and New Zealand are a nation of chokers when it comes to the world cup. However this New Zealand team is the best I have ever seen while the French do not know what their best 15 is. The all blacks will NOT LOSE.
The all blacks will win but I wouldn't touch the handicap. At 1/7
So the double on short odds 1/6 and 1/7 = about 1/3. This I will be playing my whole bank roll which is alot as there is about a 1 in 10 chance it will fail.
Wow , reading what you wrote was like chinese to me big time . I dont know 1 thing about the players in rugby .
Important question : How do you know the game is not fixed or rigged ?
The sure wins thing you are speaking of because of what the teams and players have done in past history ? Nugget > what if an underdog team (one not highly regarded) starts their ascension in this time frame that you go against them ?
What if the team you think so highly of gets very unlucky ?
What about getting bad calls from the refs where it makes you say "these fukkers are bloody blind ! " ?
How do you know about what these guys true intentions are or if they get a good nights sleep the night before or even if they are high on something ?
What happens if key injuries take place to your guys ?
final question > what if your team just doesnt show up and they look like a different team on that day you bet all that money on them ?
If you answer each of these questions and feel good about it , then you are the man and should be fine !
But still at the same time , you should wager equal amounts to get paid that amount or wager less to get more . To avoid the big hits wagering larger sums , unless you are just very very lucky . Single wagers wagering 110$ to make 100$ ........
Last edited by EJandV; 10-05-07 at 04:40 AM.
Reason: add:
Okay right this is the world cup and two games between Southern and Northern Hemp teams.
England v Austriala is such a big deal that these players would be selling their souls to fix this.
New Zealand bleed black and Rugby is the biggest thing in their lifes never mind sports.
France are the hosts and the nation expects.
This is much more a team game than American Football and much more predictable. The difference between the subs and the starters for most of these nations isn't huge bar England who have some real issues in quality at present.
I know you guys won't understand it if American even though alot of you guys play it at an amtuer level but it is more like sport rather than a show which is more the american way.
There is more grit and passion and less money and no cheerleaders or fireworks. Its a man's game.
Right , I can relate to what you are saying about the differences big time .
So how much $ would you say circulates in one of these big matchups ? How much money is on the fav and how much on the dog do you think ? if you had to guess ...?
If it is sooo easy to predict how come everyone doesnt bet on it ?
What is the % of the time the fav wins ?
Big dog ever won ?
One reason american sports are so inconsistent in who wins with the fav and dog is because the guys have alot of money and distractions in life and dont show up to play alot .
Also because the talent is spread out with a salary cap in all sports besides baseball . So in a way the NFL is no different than if we met at the high school and I brought 30 guys from my neighborhood and you brought 30 guys from your neighborhood and we played without pads .
Who would win would really be just like the majoity of the games today in the NFL .
Of course there would be the bad azz neighborhoods with key superstar dropouts far superior in muscle and talent ( NE Dall IND ) lmao , that would bring the team that made you shiver at the sight of them , but still we might even beat them on the right week ...........
You saying rugby is not like that huh ? When do these games take place that you are liking so much ?
Okay do an internet search for Rugby world cup 2007 to get an idea.
As for betting many people bet on their nations and out of pride and bookies are very good at setting the handicaps. For big games their will be £millions bet for lesser games not so much.
In the last world cup every game out of about 100 was won by the ML fav team. This world cup about 3 or 4 games have been won by the underdog.
The Handicaps in this sort are much bigger ranging from 0 to 100 points so it does take some good knowledge.
The handicap's in all the QFs are about right and there is little value in ML odds hence a shock means a huge pay out for the bookies.
Eng V Austrila is at 9am E.T tomorrow and 3pm E.T for the all blacks.
I can not predict the score in the all black game but they will win. The bookies have not quite cottoned on to the big difference in phyiscal power and styles this year between the southern nations and northern hence their has been some great value.
I see world Cup odds to win it all . I dont see game by game matchups righ now on couple different books .
I see New Zealand favored at 5 - 8 and South Africa at 5 - 2 , Australia 7 - 1 . France 10 - 1 . etc etc Do you see the individual matchups on any book right now ?
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