MNF angle: Eagles are 11-3 ATS as HF; Redskins only 4-9 ATS as RD.
Philly is off a disappointing loss in game 1 to the Packers. Eagles outrushed and outpassed the Packers for a total of +68 yards, so GB got away with one. Then Green Bay turned around and smacked the Giants on the road. Not such a bad game 1 road loss for Philly after all...
Meanwhile, WAS got a narrow 16-13 road win in Miami, while outrushing the Dolphins by 165 (!) yards. The teams were dead even in passing yards. WAS had a hard time punching it in against the same defense that yesterday allowed DAL 37 pts.
PHI is 11-2 ATS in September after a SUATS loss. The dog in this series is 1-6 ATS.
L5 in series at Philadelphia:
PHI 27-3
WAS 31-20 (meaningless week 17 game)
PHI 28-6
PHI 27-25
PHI 37-21
Philly off a SU loss in games 1-4 in L5 seasons (most recent first): 38-24; 42-3; 10-31 (NE); 23-13; 37-7.
Philly in same games in 1H (most recent first): 24-3; 28-0; 7-17; 13-0; 23-7.
Projection: PHI 27-17.
Not sure about PHI intensity, so betting just one unit spread out over the 1H and the game:
PHI 1H -4 (0.5 unit)
PHI -6.5 (0.5 unit)
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Posted NFL plays:
5-2 sides (+4.5 units)
1-3 totals (-2 units)