1. #1
    Dark Horse
    Deus Ex Machina
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    MNF Redskins@Eagles

    MNF angle: Eagles are 11-3 ATS as HF; Redskins only 4-9 ATS as RD.

    Philly is off a disappointing loss in game 1 to the Packers. Eagles outrushed and outpassed the Packers for a total of +68 yards, so GB got away with one. Then Green Bay turned around and smacked the Giants on the road. Not such a bad game 1 road loss for Philly after all...

    Meanwhile, WAS got a narrow 16-13 road win in Miami, while outrushing the Dolphins by 165 (!) yards. The teams were dead even in passing yards. WAS had a hard time punching it in against the same defense that yesterday allowed DAL 37 pts.

    PHI is 11-2 ATS in September after a SUATS loss. The dog in this series is 1-6 ATS.

    L5 in series at Philadelphia:
    PHI 27-3
    WAS 31-20 (meaningless week 17 game)
    PHI 28-6
    PHI 27-25
    PHI 37-21

    Philly off a SU loss in games 1-4 in L5 seasons (most recent first): 38-24; 42-3; 10-31 (NE); 23-13; 37-7.
    Philly in same games in 1H (most recent first): 24-3; 28-0; 7-17; 13-0; 23-7.

    Projection: PHI 27-17.


    Not sure about PHI intensity, so betting just one unit spread out over the 1H and the game:

    PHI 1H -4 (0.5 unit)
    PHI -6.5 (0.5 unit)




    -------------------------------------
    ------------------------------------------------------
    Posted NFL plays:
    5-2 sides (+4.5 units)
    1-3 totals (-2 units)

  2. #2
    SBR Lou
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    Good luck, our score projections are similar, I predict 23-17.

  3. #3
    Don Dollars
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    I hope that you are correct with your 27-17 prediction.

  4. #4
    pavyracer
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    I can't see Philly scoring more than 20 points. My prediction is Philly win 20-13.

  5. #5
    EJandV
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    am on eagles -7 .

  6. #6
    Tus
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    I think Phila is out of date. You play Eagle then Bird certainly got shot down from the sky... So play underdog please

  7. #7
    eglickman
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tus View Post
    I think Phila is out of date. You play Eagle then Bird certainly got shot down from the sky... So play underdog please
    Words from a wise man. Most people are thinking about the Eagle's success over the past few years and thinking such success will run rampant again this year. But put the rosters of Philadelphia and Washington side by side, and the Redskins are a slightly better team in some areas and evenly matched to the Eagles in other areas. Since the Eagles are playing at home, it could be close and go either way, so take the underdogs +7. For you Eagles -7 supporters, don't just say "Oh it's the Eagles..and it's the Redskins..FLY EAGLES FLY" for your reasoning. Take a hard look at the two teams this year.
    Last edited by eglickman; 09-17-07 at 06:06 PM.

  8. #8
    EJandV
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    dog lover now

    Quote Originally Posted by eglickman View Post
    Words from a wise man. Most people are thinking about the Eagle's success over the past few years and thinking such success will run rampant again this year. But put the rosters of Philadelphia and Washington side by side, and the Redskins are a slightly better team in some areas and evenly matched to the Eagles in other areas. Since the Eagles are playing at home, it could be close and go either way, so take the underdogs +7.
    how many dogs did you wager your real money on yesterday ? if you dont answer I understand .

  9. #9
    eglickman
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    Haha your title "SBR Wise Guy" is fitting. I took the Saints line, the Browns line, the Patriots line, the Cowboys line, the Broncos straight up, and the Redskins line.

  10. #10
    EJandV
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    broncos straight up for -800 ? good one lmao

  11. #11
    eglickman
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    It was -600. Not the smartest wager but I won it heh.

  12. #12
    EJandV
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    what exactly did you do with the -600 ? straight wager $600 to make a hundred / omgggggggggggggg if you did you best never do that again !

  13. #13
    White_Tiger
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    I'm lean on Phi(-.5) + Over(32.5) Teaser.

  14. #14
    mrmark
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    Its gonna be a Skins kinda night!!!!!!!!
    Skins 21 Eagles 20

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