[Illusion]

Share your best bets of the day here.

Good luck everybody!

[eglickman]

Bengals -6.5

[jrcaces]

cincy -6.5
seattle -3
dallas -3.5
new orleans -3.5

[moneyplays]

25 star cincy -6.5 This is going to be a slaughter!
25 star Phili -7 Bouncing back off the loss @ Home!
25 star Car -6.5 Carolina is back and will make a playoff run!

10 star STL -3 Bouncing back off the loss @ Home!

5 star NO -3 Bouncing back off the loss!
5 star OAK -10 Too many Points!
5 star O/U - OAK/DEN Taking the UNDER 38.5

2 star new england -3 Norv Turner kills SD's chances.
2 star Tennessee +8 Running game is too much for Indy and they always play them tight @home.

BOL,
mp

[rjt721]

2* Cardinals ML +130

[indianachris]

25 star cincy -6.5 This is going to be a slaughter!
25 star Phili -7 Bouncing back off the loss @ Home!
25 star NO -3 Bouncing back off the loss!

10 star saint louis -3 Bouncing back off the loss @ Home!
2 star new england -3 Norv Turner kills SD's chances.
2 star Tennessee +8 Running game is too much for Indy and they always play them tight @home.

BOL,
mp

What is with the 25, 10, and 2 stars?

[EGGY6199]

1 star Bengals -6.5 to beat Browns.

- Okay Bengals D got some turnovers in the last one due to poor Raven play. The off has some injury issues and the browns are at home and must be looking to bounce back. The fact remains the bengals are better so must be considered.

2 star Panthers -6.5 to beat Houston

Okay houston won but they didn't make great yardage against a poor team. The cheifs matched them in this area. Of course Houston have some weapons but as a whole unit they are average at best. Panthers looked good against Rams and are again playing a team they should be able to run against or burn with Steve Smith. They are at home and have a good D. I see them by 10+

2 star Saints -3.5 over TB

I thought Tamapa where better than expected and they can stop the run. This isn't the certain result many on here believe it to be. The Saints are away and have to prove they are a class act this year and not a flash in the pan.

2 star Dallas -3.5 over Miami

This one I really like. Miami are crap. To win this the dallas secondary will need to be as bad as it looked the other night and they will need to stop an off lead by Romo which can run and pass well. If Dallas are a possibe big show team they will need to show it here. Betting against Miami the only worry is the Dallas Secondary.

3 star Broncos -10 over Oakland

Oakland will need to stack against the run and Denver are built to run the ball. The Oakland off put some points up against the Lion D however they could not do it when it was really needed. I expect Henry to run in 3TDs in this one and the Denver D to keep Oakland down to under 10. Never like this many points though.

1 star Bears -12 over Cheifs

Can't see how the Cheifs are going to score more than 6 in this one. However the Bear scoring 12 points is a worry never mind 12 more than the team they are playing. Will be playing the under here for sure

3 star Seattle -3 over Cards

Okay Seattle are away but I believe in all the key areas Seattle match up very well aginst the cards. The Cards will not run the ball well enough against the Seahawks D and will be forced to throw. The only chance they have of a win is passing to victory which might happen.

Early thoughts

[slacker00]

201 Buffalo Bills +10 -112
203 Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 -111
206 Tennessee Titans +7 -106
207 Houston Texans +6.5 -102
209 San Francisco 49ers +3.5 -108
211 Green Bay Packers +1 +101
214 Jacksonville Jaguars -10.5 +104
215 New Orleans Saints -3.5 -104
218 Detroit Lions -3 -108
219 Dallas Cowboys -3.5 -107
221 Seattle Seahawks -3 +104
224 Baltimore Ravens -10 +100
225 Oakland Raiders +10 -111
227 Kansas City Chiefs +12 +100
230 New England Patriots -3.5 -105

I'm forcing myself to pick every game ATS, as an exercise.

I don't believe in the 1 star, 2 star, etc BS. If you like the pick, play it, otherwise don't.

Lines are current from Pinnacle.

[sonnythekid]

* W.MICH (+20.5)

*** NFL ***

* TENN (+7)
* DENVER -10
* KCC (+12)
* STL -3.5






GL and enjoy the show !

[moneyplays]

What is with the 25, 10, and 2 stars?

Its the amount that I am betting per game based on your bankroll. Some people like to use "units". It is the same thing. I am betting a large amount this weekend and I picked a few teams to go with.

Example:
If you normally bet 100.00 games then 1 star = 100.00.
25 stars would then equal = 2500.00.
It depends on your bankroll.

BOL,
mp

[old threads]

These are my 2 units split up for this Sunday's games.

Rams -3 -110 1/2 unit
Vikings +145 ML 1/2 unit
Vikings +3 -105 1/2 unit
Buf-Pitt under 37.5 -110 1/2 unit

[RageWizard]

O.K. I'm in a full fledge slump to start the year. The punt returners for philly confirmed it. Lucky for me a old stand by pick is coming up this week.

BUF @ PIT OVR 37.5 for 8 UNITS

Last week it was denver putting up the yards but not the points against Buffalo, so they kicked a lot of field goals. Teams just don't kick many field goals in Heinz field for some reason. Who cares the point is that for the last 2 years games have gone over the total to the tune of 14-2 (87.5%). That is just the remedy I need to get out of the funk that has plaqued me since week 3 of the preseason.


This year my investment manifesto goes like this. (Originally posted in May sometime).
I will be using the traditional 11/10 vig system to score myself.

Preseason -- 8 units however I feel like it.

Total -.3636 Units

Regular season (1) investment per week for:
Week’s 1 & 2 8 units each

Week 1

Eagles -3 at pack land for 8 units loss


Week’s 3-14 10 units each
Week’s 15-17 8 units each

Total -8 units
My super nova lock of the moment is an additional 5 units for whichever week that happens to be.

Playoffs 4 plays 2 units each

[Art Vandeleigh]

2 game M/L parlay, all 10 combinations for the following teams

Bills +450
Falcons +450
Jets +450
Raiders +450
Chiefs +600

1/5 unit each parlay combo

[pokernut9999]

2 game M/L parlay, all 10 combinations for the following teams

Bills +450
Falcons +450
Jets +450
Raiders +450
Chiefs +600

1/5 unit each parlay combo

do you actually think that even 2 of these can win outright?

[Art Vandeleigh]

Not betting a 5 team M/L parlay.

I'm betting 10 two team M/L parlays.

2 units to get back appx 6 units if 2 teams win straight up, get back appx 18 units if 3 teams can pull off upsets.

I wouldn't make this kind of bet every week, I think the second week of the season there's the possibilty of overreaction to the first weeks results.

[Illusion]

Alright boys, I have a huge card for Sunday

Cleveland +7
Tennessee +7
Houston +6.5
San Francisco +3 even
Tampa Bay +3.5
Miami +4
Arizona +3
New England -3.5

All games 3 units each

[EJandV]

Has to be Bengals - 7

[EJandV]

and of course the Panthers - 6.5

[EJandV]

of course the titans give the colts a run with vince getting nasty for the home crowd . peyton throwing the game for his oldest bro to get some extra loot . The Colts 8 - 8 ats last year looked this way like he was bsing for some reason with thick spreads . 7 is not too thick . I am fadin them is all I know.

[EJandV]

you would have to like the rams with mr steven j running over people !!!

[EJandV]

Big pauses from me that the saints and cowgirls will both be money . Am very hesitant they are both winners , seems toooooooooo ez . So what if a team starts 0 -2 that doesnt mean anything . Cowgirls > who knows what to expect at the fish . Is it really possible these 2 could both cash ?
Who in the hell knows ?????? Everytime I went cowgirls last year they lost when I went against them was no good , pretty much if I remember correctly . Was insane !!!

[onlooker]

Giants -2

[EJandV]

If those 2 are 1- 1 then I lean saints to get it done at tb .
Are there any inside infos in this forum in the nfl ?
Does everyone use the year before as the biggest reasoning in their analysis ?
If not isint going by last year pretty big in your analysis ?
A friend of mine told me the other day the saints season last year was a fluke and he has them goin 8 - 8 .
I told him he was crazy . I see then as the real deal .
I told him when you have a superstar like reggie b thats its like if we go out to the high school and the other team has this really fast superstar that catches screens and runs like a cheetah that our team would probably lose ........... saints indeeeeed have an all star cheetah . Break plays , A GAMEBREAKER !!!!!! thoughts ?

[EJandV]

Wrap up of my likes on this lucky thread are
Benglas
Panthers
Titans
Rams
Saints ? too ez ?
Cowgirls ? paging romo ? who knows how this dude will perform in florida !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[thockedog]

Bengals -7
cowboys -3.5

[Dirty D]

09/16/2007 02:00:23 4 Play Parlay: Wagered $150.00 to win $2523.48 Unsettled
F 9 9/16 SAN FRANCISCO AT ST LOUIS ST LOUIS -3.0
F 19 9/16 DALLAS AT MIAMI DALLAS -3.5
F 21 9/16 SEATTLE AT ARIZONA SEATTLE -3.0
F 29 9/16 SAN DIEGO AT NEW ENGLAND SAN DIEGO (+160)

[shrax4]

Bengals -6.5
Cards +3
Oak/Den Under 38
Atlanta +10.5
New Orleans -3
Dallas -3

[GitRDone]

These are my plays for Sunday.

CIN/CLE over 41.5
Houston +6.5
St. Louis -3
Giants -2
New Orleans -3
Minnesota +3
Chicago -12
KC/CHI over 34.5
San Diego +3.5
SD/NE over 46.5

[EBone]

0-2 with a -2.575 unit status after Week 1.....gonna try these today.


Cleveland +7 @ +100 (1 unit to win 1 unit)
Carolina -6.5 @ -110 (1.1 unit to win 1 unit)
NY Jets +9.5 @ -110 (1.1 unit to win 1 unit)

Good luck to everyone today.



E

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

Wrap up of my likes on this lucky thread are
Benglas
Panthers
Titans
Rams
Saints ? too ez ?
Cowgirls ? paging romo ? who knows how this dude will perform in florida !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

EJandV,
Thanks for the thoughts today man, but you can condense your thoughts down into one post... We don't have a prize for the person that posts the most, just the person that KNOWS THE MOST! Not tryin to be a dvck or anything, just thought maybe we could keep the threads a little more concise in the future... GL to ya today though man...

P2M's Best Bets
Minnesota +3 or Minny ML
GB +3
Panthers -6.5(I'm sorry, but the Texans are way over valued in this one!)
Steelers -9.5
Steelers 1st half -6.5

BOL to everyone today!

[babaoriley]

EJandV,
Thanks for the thoughts today man, but you can condense your thoughts down into one post... We don't have a prize for the person that posts the most, just the person that KNOWS THE MOST! Not tryin to be a dvck or anything, just thought maybe we could keep the threads a little more concise in the future... GL to ya today though man...

P2M's Best Bets
Minnesota +3 or Minny ML
GB +3
Panthers -6.5(I'm sorry, but the Texans are way over valued in this one!)
Steelers -9.5
Steelers 1st half -6.5

BOL to everyone today!

I was about to post the same thing, P2M. The dude has 700 posts in a month. Regardless, best of luck to him (and you) and everyone else. Should be exciting.

[Spyder31]

put the house on KC +12. This line is crazy

[babaoriley]

put the house on KC +12. This line is crazy

You could very well be homeless after this.

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

You WILL NOT have a home if you bet it on the Chiefs +12! They only gained 219 TOTAL YARDS last week against the Texans!!! You really think they are gonna gain over 200 against the Bears? Johnson only ran for 43 yards on the Texans defense, hows he gonna do against the Bears? It's either lay the pts with the Bears or DON'T PLAY THIS ONE!

[misteve]

Today, I'm (3-1, +5 units) playing:

Cincy -6.5 (3 units)
N.O -3.5 (2 units)


GLA