and many won't believe my picks. Unfortunately, my father... drove off the road Friday night and into a house. His girlfriend is in UVA ICU. Not that anyone cares but that is why my post is late.

Here is one aspect I am struggling with and could use input. All my picks are based on past statistical data. I have decided that if the QB in college changes... I throw the game out and don't view it. Should I treat NFL the same way. More than half of the QBs today were backups. Any reasonable input is valuable.

8:15 PM TENNESSEE 15 PITTSBURGH 16 31 -2.5 37 Under
9:30 AM MIAMI 27 KANSASCITY 28 55 -1 50.5 2Close 2Close
1:00 PM MINNESOTA 21 ATLANTA 22 43 -4.5 37 Away + 2Close
1:00 PM SEATTLE 16 BALTIMORE 23 39 -6 44 2Close Under
1:00 PM ARIZONA 18 CLEVELAND 31 49 -8 37 Home - 2Close
1:00 PM LARAMS 23 GREENBAY 19 42 -3.5 38.5 Away + 2Close
1:00 PM TAMPABAY 18 HOUSTON 22 40 -2.5 40 2Close 2Close
1:00 PM WASHINGTON 23 NEWENGLAND 21 44 -3 41 Away + 2Close
1:00 PM CHICAGO 15 NEWORLEANS 30 45 -8.5 41 Home - 2Close
4:05 PM INDIANAPOLIS 29 CAROLINA 24 53 2 44 2Close Over
4:25 PM NYGIANTS 16 LASVEGAS 15 31 -1.5 37.5 2Close Under
4:25 PM DALLAS 24 PHILADELPHIA 27 51 -3 47 2Close 2Close
8:20 PM BUFFALO 27 CINCINNATI 18 45 -1.5 49.5 Away + Under
8:15 PM LACHARGERS 24 NYJETS 16 40 3.5 40 2Close 2Close