1. #1
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    THESE teams are not going to play in the SB

    so far over deacdes W C teams that play away final week never got there because it is 4 road games with no rest

    many have tried they all failed lets see what i find frm 2007 - 2017 in the Marc Lawrence playbook

    Cards 2014 @ 49ers wk 17 WC game at Panthers +5.5 got blown out 29-16

    0-1

    Ravens 2009 wk 16 n 17 away WC WON @ patriots DIV round +6.5 @ Colts byieeeeeeeeeeee 20-3

    0-2

    2011 again @ Bengals week 17 wc vs Texans -7.5 blown cover DIV round @ Patriots +6.5 close lost by 3 23-20

    0-3

    BILLS 2017 wk 16 n 17 away WC +6.5 @ Jaguars lost 3-10

    0-4

    BENGALS 2014 wk 17 @ Pits WC @ Colts +3.5 POOF 26-10
    0-5

    Jags 2007 wk 17 @ HOU. WC @ stlers W lose $ DIV round @ Patriots +10 POOF 31 -20

    0-6

    CHIEFS 2013 wk 17 @ Chargers 1st Playoff game AWAY -2 @ colts lost a shoot out 44-45

    0-7

    Giants 2016 wk 16 n 17 away WC @ Packers +5 POOF 13-38

    0-8

    Raiders 2016 wk 17 @ DENV. WC @ texans +4 POOF 14-27
    0-9

    Eagles 2009 wk 17 @ C boys lost 24-0 WC @ C boys +3.5 POOF 14-34
    0-10

    Steelers 2011 wk 17 @ Cleve WC @ DENV -7.5 s/u loss 23-29

    0-11

    2015 again wk 16 n 17 away div round @ Denver +6.5 close Lost 15-23

    0-12

    49ERS 2013 wk 17 away got to finals @ DIV rival seattle +3.5 POOF 14 -23
    0-13

    Seahawks 2015 wk 17 @ ZONA WC - 4.5 NO COVER @ Vikes 10-9 +2.5 DIV @ Panthers POOF 24-31

    0-14

    Titans 2007 wk 17 @ colts WC @ Chargers +10 POOF 6-17
    0-15

    100% s/u losers

  2. #2
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    SO the teams listed here as WC's that played away week 18 are Patriots 49ers steelers

  3. #3
    Jowframs
    Jowframs's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-09
    Posts: 5,125
    Betpoints: 6645

    So you are saying
    They can’t cover the spread?

  4. #4
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    Quote Originally Posted by Jowframs View Post
    So you are saying
    They can’t cover the spread?
    ats mostly fail also 100% s/u loose

    Steelers NO way can they match offense with Chiefs this aint Back up QB huntley it's SB champion with weapons galore and highest in To's for year at +11 i think

    12.5 DOG steelrs i think Vegas knows who is the better team if you recall Steelrs at HOME tied game with lions is worst of all playoff teams

    and got in because COLTS threw up @ Jaguars IF colts win stelers be home with you n me on thier couch watching the play offs

    Colts would not be a 12.5 dog i'm guessing like +5

    spreads in Playoffs are differnt you get wild results a 3 point dog wins huge like 24- 10

    sure steelrs might cover if they stop kc at 24 points while they score 17 BUT KC waits for other teams to make mistakes and their defnse get's that turnover as they did through the win streak 7 str8 games

  5. #5
    garygroundwork
    garygroundwork's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-12
    Posts: 715
    Betpoints: 12445

    Bill give us a nice simple list of the teams you think are contenders

    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -

  6. #6
    StackinGreen
    Can't stop Won't stop
    StackinGreen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-10
    Posts: 12,141
    Betpoints: 4514

    Quote Originally Posted by garygroundwork View Post
    Bill give us a nice simple list of the teams you think are contenders

  7. #7
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    the contenders are the teams that played a strong strenghth of schedule throughout that had at least 30 or more yards of offense for all games and plus in TO's

    THE teams that lost to Tampa bay will not get there and any team in with a rookie HC or asst coach like raiders will not be playing in superbowl

    Raiders for sure becuse they are negative point differntial and to ratio is negative

    THE teams that are in that lost to Tampa bay are COWBOYS PATRIOTS EAGLES and BILLS

    THE Contenders are Chiefs packers Titans Rams Cardinals

    49ers will exit because they lost 4 weeks in a row

  8. #8
    thinwhiteduke
    thinwhiteduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-21
    Posts: 615
    Betpoints: 855

    THE Contenders are Chiefs packers Titans Rams Cardinals
    #################################
    Lol the only possible contender there is Packers.
    Lol Titans won't have a chance at all of making SB.
    Rams definitely won't get there.

    Cowboys and Raiders will at th very least, be in conference Championship

  9. #9
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    OK simple list of Superbowl teams Packers VS Chiefs might BE packers chalk like -3

    I'm NOT denying Chiefs the win the defnive Coordinator Spagnola has quite a FEW rings 4 baby 1 loser 3 wins 2 with Giants 1 with KC i think he was on other chamionship teams one min let me serach

    Stephen Christopher Spagnuolo (/spæɡˈnoʊloʊ/; born December 21, 1959) is an American football coach who is the defensive coordinator for the Kansas City Chiefs of the National Football League (NFL). He rejoined Andy Reid after being a defensive assistant with him from 1999 to 2006. Spagnuolo has won two Super Bowls as defensive coordinator, one with the New York Giants and one with the Kansas City Chiefs. Spagnuolo is the only offensive or defensive coordinator in NFL history to win a Super Bowl with two different franchises.[1]
    Following two seasons in New York, he was the head coach of the St. Louis Rams for three seasons, was an assistant with the Baltimore Ravens, had a one-season stint with the New Orleans Saints, and then returned to the Giants as defensive coordinator in 2015. He was named interim head coach after the firing of former head coach Ben McAdoo on December 4, 2017.
    Spagnuolo has also worked as a college football assistant coach for the University of Connecticut, the University of Maine, Lafayette College, Rutgers University, Bowling Green University, and the University of Massachusetts Amherst. He also spent time in the original World League of American Football and its successor, NFL Europe.

  10. #10
    StackinGreen
    Can't stop Won't stop
    StackinGreen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-10
    Posts: 12,141
    Betpoints: 4514

    Quote Originally Posted by OldBill View Post
    the contenders are the teams that played a strong strenghth of schedule throughout that had at least 30 or more yards of offense for all games and plus in TO's

    THE teams that lost to Tampa bay will not get there and any team in with a rookie HC or asst coach like raiders will not be playing in superbowl

    Raiders for sure becuse they are negative point differntial and to ratio is negative

    THE teams that are in that lost to Tampa bay are COWBOYS PATRIOTS EAGLES and BILLS

    THE Contenders are Chiefs packers Titans Rams Cardinals

    49ers will exit because they lost 4 weeks in a row
    Good list but because the Bills lost in OT to the Buccs they are out?

  11. #11
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Good list but because the Bills lost in OT to the Buccs they are out?
    and Patriots lost to Tampa bay also BILLS are goona exit next round

    teams that score 40 + points in one playoff have blown covers or lost s/u next playoff game ...........not the SB tho thats the championship game and having a week rest helps

  12. #12
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    2 PLAYOFF teams that LOST to Tampa bay GONE Patriots and Eagles

    plus these two will NOT GET too SB Bills and cowboys just in case you missed my thread about the amazing CURSE of Losing to T B in season .......a meaningful game NOT when saints benched final 3 games of year

    0-249 after the rest LOSE will be 0 -260

  13. #13
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    ANOTHER team That LOST to TB POOF Cowboys s/u loser to the weak 49ers 23-17 wow


    3 teams in Playoffs OUSTED Patriots Eagles Cowboys NEXT UP Bills that completes the CURSE of TB and the new record will be

    0-260

  14. #14
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1944

    Interesting stats. There's also a stat that says there's only two NFL teams that lost the super bowl then won the super bowl a season after. Fading super bowl losers at the super bowl gives an advantage.

    Another stat, #1 seeds have a 54% chance of winning the super bowl. Packers and Titans fall into this category this season.

  15. #15
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    and the team with a TIED game POOF anialliahted by the defense of Chiefs and titans are very bad #1 seed the only reason they got #1 seed was because Chiefs lost at bengals and 31 seed on low ranked SOS will not be playing at the super bowl ranked after 18 weeks at 31st

    They might lose DIV round at home

  16. #16
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1944

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...Bowl_champions

    I noticed a pattern since the 1970s that one super bowl winner of each decade is from the NFC East.
    70s Dallas, 80s Washington NY Giants, 90s NY Giants Dallas, 00s NY Giants, 10s NY Giants Philadelphia

  17. #17
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,984
    Betpoints: 1944

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nation...e_Player_Award

    There's a trend that the regular season MVP is less likely to win the super bowl.
    The last quarterback to win the super bowl as the regular season MVP is Kurt Warner.
    The movie American Underdog that was released this season is about Kurt Warner. Maybe Aaron Rodgers will be like Kurt Warner winning both the MVP and super bowl.

  18. #18
    budwiser
    budwiser's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-22-11
    Posts: 3,192
    Betpoints: 1059

    what happens when you get old and cranky. death watch. trust me, i know about it.

  19. #19
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    and THE 4th PO team that LOST TO Tampa Bay is HOME the Bills

    Cowboys Patriots Eagles Bills
    plus 7 others makes 11 and WE DO NOT count DIV rivals 2 X THE NEW record from 1977 thru 2021 is NOW 0-260

  20. #20
    OldBill
    OldBill's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-21
    Posts: 6,023
    Betpoints: 5246

    and THE 4th PO team that LOST TO Tampa Bay is HOME the Bills

    Cowboys Patriots Eagles Bills
    plus 7 others makes 11 and WE DO NOT count DIV rivals 2 X THE NEW record from 1977 thru 2021 is NOW 0-260

Top