1. 11-18-18 01:02 PM #1
    flakeandbake
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    Jags -133 Live and -5.5 Live > Steelers

    Is my gift of the year for you guys
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  2. 11-18-18 01:05 PM #2
    flakeandbake
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  3. 11-18-18 01:06 PM #3
    flakeandbake
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    Not to mention squares blisteringggg oppo
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  4. 11-18-18 01:28 PM #4
    flakeandbake
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    I can almost guarantee steelers will kick a fg before half (which is why Bortles overthrew a wide open reciever on purpose) which will set up for a perfect 2H jags
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  5. 11-18-18 01:37 PM #5
    NiCkLe GiLcH
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    2H thoughts?
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  6. 11-18-18 01:42 PM #6
    flakeandbake
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    Jags +4.5 2H (-5.5 game)

    Isn't it a coincidence this not is the exact same live line that everyone chased when Steelers were down earlier? Which didn't make any sense at that time and still doesn't

    Jags 2H ml +195 (-9 game)

    Isn't it absurd that to buy Pittsburg to +9 would only be -235. Weren't they more expensive to win the game straight up pre-game?


    ​I posted this somewhere else
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  7. 11-18-18 01:43 PM #7
    flakeandbake
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    Quote Originally Posted by NiCkLe GiLcH View Post
    2H thoughts?
    No no second thoughts. The thought process for me is that everyone chased steelers +5.5 when they were only down 6 - 0 earlier in the game (Jags were in the redzone when up 3-0 so line slightly inflated at that time). That was a pivotal line people reacted to by taking Pitt Now that the 2nd half line is exactly the same (Jags -5.5 game)​ it's blind fold time
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  8. 11-18-18 01:45 PM #8
    flakeandbake
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    I can tell you're on / thinking opposite by the way, which is fine. But there's no emotion / hope involved in my thought process
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  9. 11-18-18 01:50 PM #9
    flakeandbake
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    Quote Originally Posted by NiCkLe GiLcH View Post
    2H thoughts?
    lmao I thought you were asking if I had second thoughts - my b - but no Jags large
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  10. 11-18-18 02:12 PM #10
    flakeandbake
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    NOW i am interested in possibly HEDGING or PITT - will let you know
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  11. 11-18-18 02:20 PM #11
    flakeandbake
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    20 - 120 Steelers live money line *Hedging

    65 - 50 Steelers +10.5 Live *Hedging

    I actually still love the Jags live line at -10.5 but am being discipline and going with the standard hedge here. No reason but bc I blasted Jags
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  12. 11-18-18 02:21 PM #12
    flakeandbake
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    Super late on that post but on time in my actual thread so idc
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  13. 11-18-18 02:58 PM #13
    skoalclasic
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    gift of year yet you hedge it??
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  14. 11-18-18 03:04 PM #14
    flakeandbake
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    Quote Originally Posted by skoalclasic View Post
    gift of year yet you hedge it??
    Yea dude what do you think I am - an emotional wreck or a gambler? Reason was Jags were -1000 vs +625 live - I always look to fade whole numbers like that in these situations. Hedging that was about as easy of a decision as finding the Jags in the first place
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  15. 11-18-18 03:06 PM #15
    flakeandbake
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    Note how Vegas still wins $ off Jags +5.5 in this situation
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  16. 11-18-18 03:10 PM #16
    jtoler
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    jags suck, that last possession they didnt even try to get a first down ran 3 times up the middle for a total of like 4 or 5 yards burning 10 seconds off the clock there is no reason to bet this league just stupid
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  17. 11-18-18 03:18 PM #17
    flakeandbake
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    jags suck, that last possession they didnt even try to get a first down ran 3 times up the middle for a total of like 4 or 5 yards burning 10 seconds off the clock there is no reason to bet this league just stupid
    It's fine. I can't be that surprised and that's why I hedged. I can see Houston and Steelers winning today and Chargers losing to Denver for playoff seeding purposes
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  18. 11-18-18 03:47 PM #18
    skoalclasic
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    I have no problem with hedging lol, next time I just wouldn't call it a "gift of the year" lol
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  19. 11-18-18 03:48 PM #19
    skoalclasic
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    although I'm a steelers fan and also had steelers -3 I have no idea how they came out of there with that win after watching the first 3 quarters. thought my bet was dead lol
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  20. 11-18-18 04:08 PM #20
    flakeandbake
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    I thought it was a gift lol. I was hoping the hedge I made was just a donation. That was pretty wild
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