Believe it or not actually considering taking Giants plus the points tonight.
From a purely math standpoint, the total is at 38 and the spread is 13. That means that the Broncos have to win by a margin of 34% of the expected point total. That's a lot of points to cover in a low scoring game. Over the last 20 years, when the total is 38 or lower and the spread is 8 or higher, the underdog wins 60%. That's without knowing anything about the teams playing. Giants will be a pure math play tonight.