1. #1
    jaymilly
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    JayMilly 2017 NFL Thread

    Hi everyone,

    Back at it again this season. Please feel free to tag along. Hopefully this year is better than last year.

    I'm going to hold off on tonights season opener game, which I seldom do. Don't see KC as a huge contender this year, but still not overly confident in Brady maintaining his impeccable performance this season.

    I'll be back Saturday with Sunday's picks.

  2. #2
    jaymilly
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    Week 1 Card

    PIT -9 (-120): 1u
    TEN -1.5 (-135): 1u
    LAR -5 (-110): 1u
    CIN -3 (-105): 2u

    BOL!

  3. #3
    2daBank
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    Like the titans, gl this season.

  4. #4
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Like the titans, gl this season.
    You too. That TEN pick was originally 2u one, but that juice is pretty high

  5. #5
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jaymilly View Post
    You too. That TEN pick was originally 2u one, but that juice is pretty high
    Yea I was curious is that your only option? I much prefer them -2.5 at -105 or -110. Doubt that 1.5 to 2.5 comes into play (of course now that I say that titans will win by 2 and fukk me, lol)..

  6. #6
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Yea I was curious is that your only option? I much prefer them -2.5 at -105 or -110. Doubt that 1.5 to 2.5 comes into play (of course now that I say that titans will win by 2 and fukk me, lol)..
    that's all I have on my terrible bodog book I would take the same. I can see Mariota and Walker putting up some serious points in the red zone tomorrow.

  7. #7
    2daBank
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    Oh yea bodog ugh. I like having them for a out cause sometimes you can get real nice line on dogs but would hate for them to be only options cause you get stuck w some crappy lines like that and generally paying too much for a fav or over..

  8. #8
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Oh yea bodog ugh. I like having them for a out cause sometimes you can get real nice line on dogs but would hate for them to be only options cause you get stuck w some crappy lines like that and generally paying too much for a fav or over..
    Good thing I refrained from the 2u bet... Thought that one was in the bag for sure.

    Not a great way to start off.. I'll be back next week with more.

  9. #9
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 1 RESULTS

    PIT -9 (-120): 1u LOSS
    TEN -1.5 (-135): 1u LOSS
    LAR -5 (-110): 1u WIN
    CIN -3 (-105): 2u LOSS

    YTD: 1-3-0 -3.65u

    Clearly not the start we were looking for. I think there is a few of us out there who got slapped around week 1. I am still at a loss for words for how terrible Dalton's offence is this year.

    I was going to play MIN and DEN on Monday, but did not pull the trigger for the sheer fact that I don't like chasing losses. Wish I did now. Oh well, I will be back shortly with tomorrow's games.

  10. #10
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 2 CARD

    PIT -6 (-110): 1u
    SEA -15 (-110): 1u
    NE -7 (+105): 1u
    DET +3 (-110): 2u

  11. #11
    jaymilly
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    Decent day yesterday. I was fortunate enough to jump on BAL and OAK last minute too. Didn't have time to post it here, so naturally that won't count to this thread's total.

    Seattle was just a bad bet. No excuses there. I don't see them putting up too many points all season. Without Lynch, Wilson needs to do all the carries himself, which is just unrealistic. None of the WRs seem to be able to catch a ball either.

  12. #12
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 2 RESULTS

    PIT -6 (-110): 1u WIN
    SEA -15 (-110): 1u LOSS
    NE -7 (+105): 1u WIN
    DET +3 (-110): 2u WIN

    WEEKLY TOTAL
    3-1-0 +2.95u

    YTD: 4-4-0 -0.7u

    Wish I got the OAK the BAL wins posted. Oh well, pretty much back to square one after an awful 1st week.

  13. #13
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 3 CARD

    NYG +6 (-105) : 1u
    CLE -1 (-120): 1u
    DEN -3 (-135): 1u
    OAK -3.5 (+105): 2u

  14. #14
    jaymilly
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    What a ridiculous week

  15. #15
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 3 RESULTS

    NYG +6 (-105) : 1u WIN
    CLE -1 (-120): 1u LOSS
    DEN -3 (-135): 1u LOSS
    OAK -3.5 (+105): 2u LOSS

    Weekly Total
    1-3-0 : -3.55u

    YTD: 5-7-0 : -4.25u

    Definitely a bookie season so far... Back again next week.

  16. #16
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 4 CARD

    DEN -3 (-115): 2u
    SF +7 (-125): 2u
    LAC -2 (-115): 3u
    NYG +3 (-125): 2u
    NYJ +3.5 (-115): 2u

  17. #17
    2daBank
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    Gl this week

  18. #18
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 3 RESULTS

    DEN -3 (-115): 2u WIN
    SF +7 (-125): 2u WIN
    LAC -2 (-115): 3u LOSS
    NYG +3 (-125): 2u WIN
    NYJ +3.5 (-115): 2u WIN

    Weekly Total
    4-1-0 : +4.55 units

    YTD: 9-8-0 +0.3u

    Decent day. Close to 5/5.... I won't be on tomorrow's game. BOL!

  19. #19
    2daBank
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    Nice job

  20. #20
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Nice job
    Thanks 2daBank. feels good to be back in the green. I was feeling good about all 5 of these games. New fresh start moving on week 5! Was leaning Baltimore too, but luckily I didn't pull the trigger on that one.

  21. #21
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jaymilly View Post
    Thanks 2daBank. feels good to be back in the green. I was feeling good about all 5 of these games. New fresh start moving on week 5! Was leaning Baltimore too, but luckily I didn't pull the trigger on that one.
    Them and Miami 2 teams I been way off with my ratings/expectations.

    Broncos and bills the 2 I been way off the other direction.

    Time to make few adjustments to my perception! Lol

  22. #22
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 5 CARD

    CIN -3 (-115): 2u
    DAL -2 (-125): 1u
    LAC +3.5 (-125) : 2u
    SF +1.5 (-110): 1u
    LAR -1.5 (-110): 1u


    HOU PK (-110): 1u

    Too tempted to not place a small wager on the Texans. I feel we're going to see a quite the performance from J.J. Watt this week against a beat up offensive line.

  23. #23
    jaymilly
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    What a nail biter this morning. Vegas has been sharp on almost every line as I expected. Too bad SF couldn’t pull through in OT for me and any of my tailers (if any lol). What a comeback though!

  24. #24
    2daBank
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    Yea they were really tight on lot of numbers today. With you on lambs and Houston. Gl buddy

  25. #25
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Yea they were really tight on lot of numbers today. With you on lambs and Houston. Gl buddy
    These turnovers this afternoon are killing me here.

  26. #26
    jaymilly
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    Ouch. Tough losses on the afternoon. Both started out very promising too.

  27. #27
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 5 RESULTS

    CIN -3 (-115): 2u
    WIN
    DAL -2 (-125): 1u LOSS
    LAC +3.5 (-125) : 2u WIN
    SF +1.5 (-110): 1u LOSS
    LAR -1.5 (-110): 1u LOSS

    HOU PK (-110): 1u LOSS

    Weekly Total
    2-4-0 : -.55u

    YTD : 11-12-0 -.25u

    Afternoon got the best of us. Disappointing loss right at the end in Dallas, and way too many turnovers in that Los Angeles game. Thankfully my higher unit plays kept us close to even.

    I'll be back with next weeks plays.

  28. #28
    jaymilly
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    WEEK 6 CARD

    SF +11 (-115) : 1u
    CLE +10 (-110) : 1u
    PIT +4.5 (-120) : 1u
    ARI +2 (-110): 1u

    Might take ATL in a bit if the line comes down at all... I'm getting a huge lean towards my Steelers, but my intuition is telling me to keep the bet small.

  29. #29
    2daBank
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    Would love to hear your thoughts on zona.

  30. #30
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Would love to hear your thoughts on zona.
    Honestly, I see this game being a back and forth game. I see Palmer taking control a bit more against a great rush defense. It's no secret that Winston has plenty of targets to throw to. Neither team has a top notch pass defense. This is going to push both teams to throw the ball more. Fitz is one of my favourite players and I can see him shining this week.

    I think it comes down to what happens in the Redzone. If AZ can pull some stops, TB has been notorious for missing field goals. Might just give them the edge to win this.

    Plus, they're in desperate need for a win @ home. I think they can pull it off. Going to be a close game though.

  31. #31
    2daBank
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    Did Tampa cut that kicker after last Thursday? I haven't heard anything but figured for sure after how horrible he was on Thursday night and them having 10 days they would have auditioned some new kickers this week!!

  32. #32
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Did Tampa cut that kicker after last Thursday? I haven't heard anything but figured for sure after how horrible he was on Thursday night and them having 10 days they would have auditioned some new kickers this week!!
    They did get a new kicker I think. I honestly see this as a head game now man. Tremendous pressure on these kickers in the last few years because TB is known to have them be the reason for losses. Tough position to step into in my opinion. Going to take someone great to shake that off first game suiting up in that jersey.

  33. #33
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jaymilly View Post
    They did get a new kicker I think. I honestly see this as a head game now man. Tremendous pressure on these kickers in the last few years because TB is known to have them be the reason for losses. Tough position to step into in my opinion. Going to take someone great to shake that off first game suiting up in that jersey.
    Crazy when you see teams like raiders who's kicker goes down and they grab a guy off the street who comes in and drills 50 yarders!! Lol

  34. #34
    jaymilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Crazy when you see teams like raiders who's kicker goes down and they grab a guy off the street who comes in and drills 50 yarders!! Lol
    I would not enjoy that job.. you could be the hero and the asshole of the team at any given point lol!

  35. #35
    jaymilly
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    I'm getting so frustrated thinking that CLE can make a game of it..... they're just so awful

    Good thing we didn't end up going ATL. I had a decent lean for MIN this week, but I didn't pull the trigger on it after we were robbed last week in Dallas.

    My steelers, with the exception of a weird punt, are looking very good right now. Running the ball great. Love it!

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