1. #1
    alton618
    alton618's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-08
    Posts: 58

    Any reason not to "Lay it all" on these 2 props.

    Of course the most logical reason of a chance to lose it but what you guys think.

    Any Team Largest Lead:

    16.5 O +105
    16.5 U -135

    I like the under here. Dont see either team leading by 17 +

    2nd Q, the highest scoring qtr.

    Yes +130
    No - 160

    I like the no here, What makes 2nd qtr such a big favorite? And why r they only listing 2nd qtr? Do they know something i dont?

    Any light shed will be great. Thanks!

  2. #2
    dbldown
    dbldown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-08
    Posts: 1,055
    Betpoints: 1395

    Never a good idea to go all in..

    Total points per quarter
    Conference ---1st 2nd 3rd 4th
    AFC ----------169 235 183 262
    NFC ----------190 289 250 295

  3. #3
    alton618
    alton618's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-08
    Posts: 58

    Quote Originally Posted by dbldown View Post
    Never a good idea to go all in..

    Total points per quarter
    Conference ---1st 2nd 3rd 4th
    AFC ----------169 235 183 262
    NFC ----------190 289 250 295
    Are those past superbowls or during the regular season? According to those stats, hopefully it will jump to YES on a + 150 to take the odds then.

  4. #4
    thebertshow
    thebertshow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-30-07
    Posts: 645
    Betpoints: 268

    All kinds of reasons not to lay it all on those bets.

  5. #5
    xxxvince
    xxxvince's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-07
    Posts: 2,567
    Betpoints: 156

    gluck

  6. #6
    alton618
    alton618's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-08
    Posts: 58

    Quote Originally Posted by thebertshow View Post
    All kinds of reasons not to lay it all on those bets.

    ok perhaps not to lay it all, but what do you guys think? Would you playy those props?

  7. #7
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-09
    Posts: 19,530
    Betpoints: 8638

    Here is how these two teams break down in the playoffs. The Saints have scored 28 21 17 7. The Colts have scored 3 27 7 13. So 48 points have been scored in the 2nd quarter, more than any other quarter. That is why the prop is set the way it is. Here is the sucker play. Most people think that the 4th quarter will see the most points, especially from these two offensive minded teams. The fact is that these two teams combined have scored 78 points in the 1st half, but only 44 in the 2nd half.

    As far as the other prop that you like, notice the progression of the Saints scoring. It gets lower as the game progresses. My guess is that the computers that spit tihs information out, think that if the Saints are down in the 4th Quarter, they will turn the ball over and give up points.

    My best wager in the entire game is the under in the 2nd half. Just remember this. Prop wagers are generated to give the book the biggest edge possible and still get some action. They are huge money makers. These two are not bad, but if you are goin g to go for them, use good money management techniques. Do not unload on any prop wager.

  8. #8
    PRC
    PRC's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-09
    Posts: 576
    Betpoints: 49

    Props are easier money than any side or total.

  9. #9
    SBR_John
    Wisky
    SBR_John's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-12-05
    Posts: 16,471
    Betpoints: 42225

    I like the 2nd, not the first.

    BigDaddy showed a very small sample of scoring. I think the 4th quarter will have the most points as has been the case in some of the SB's recently.

  10. #10
    Art Vandeleigh
    Art Vandeleigh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-31-06
    Posts: 1,494
    Betpoints: 459

    Too many Super Bowl are blowouts, teams take crazy chances early if they get behind a couple of scores 16.5 at -135 well that is playing with fire. Why second quarter high scoring? Drives going on near the end of the first quarter are not in any hurry letting them go into the 2nd quarter is common (while drives going on near the end of 2nd quarter must score in 2nd quarter), 6 timeouts and 2 minute warning extend the second and 4th quarters. You have watched football before, right?

  11. #11
    alton618
    alton618's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-08
    Posts: 58

    Quote Originally Posted by Art Vandeleigh View Post
    Too many Super Bowl are blowouts, teams take crazy chances early if they get behind a couple of scores 16.5 at -135 well that is playing with fire. Why second quarter high scoring? Drives going on near the end of the first quarter are not in any hurry letting them go into the 2nd quarter is common (while drives going on near the end of 2nd quarter must score in 2nd quarter), 6 timeouts and 2 minute warning extend the second and 4th quarters. You have watched football before, right?

    I do watch football on a normal bases. I totally understand what you said, just never really thought about it like that. Thanks for pointing it out. What would you play if you had to play those 2?

  12. #12
    Rig
    Rig's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-05-09
    Posts: 458
    Betpoints: 27

    The 1st one I like
    the second one not so much. Can u choose any quarter?

  13. #13
    tbird509
    tbird509's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-05-09
    Posts: 761
    Betpoints: 3256

    their hasnt been a blowout in the superbowl in a minute so,this game should be close reardless

  14. #14
    DOMINATER
    DOMINATER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 3,698
    Betpoints: 1180

    t bird my pm went down good luck tomorrow

  15. #15
    alton618
    alton618's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-08
    Posts: 58

    the prop is only for 2nd qtr, but you can either pick yes or no.

Top