I feel like Colts -1 is free money here. And of course any time I think that, I'm probably wrong. I'm open to being wrong, but I don't see where I'm wrong.
Potentially decent running game is about the only plus I see for them on offense, and even that includes a slightly injured and therefore probably limited Foster. However, the Colts already know to focus solely on the running game because Mallett is horrible. Can't hit the side of a barn and incapable of deciding which is the correct barn to throw to. Just like Atlanta did last week, make Mallett beat you. Oh and Mallett is playing through an injury of his own.
Meanwhile Luck is back and presumably healthy. Obviously there are question marks here but even a limited Luck should be good enough. I know the o line is a turnstile, but Houston's defense is also incredibly overrated in my opinion. They couldn't stop the run last week to save their lives, and Matt Ryan picked them apart.
Hell, Houston's one victory this year was a home win over Tampa in a game that the Tampa kicker missed THREE field goals and an extra point. That's ten points he personally took off the board. Houston won that game by ten points.
My legitimate fear here is that Houston is down at the half 10-0 or something manageable and switched to Hoyer, who is capable of sustaining drives and isn't afraid to throw the ball downfield.
I don't see Luck tossing multiple picks here either. I'm confused. Help.