1. 10-19-15 05:50 PM #36
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    50. Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 -105 vs New York Giants - 1x
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  2. 10-22-15 08:17 AM #37
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    Week 6: 4-6
    YTD: 30-19-1 (+12.1)

    Week 7 Card:

    51. New York Jets +10 -125* vs New England Patriots – 1.5x
    Patriots rank a putrid 29th in rush defense vs the Jets 7 ranked rushing offense. Ivory should have a busy day carrying the ball against a stacked NE box, leaving Marshall and Decker opportunities against light coverage. Fitzpatrick, while by no means a world beater, will still be able to find his elite receivers when he has that much time and space. In fact, he could probably make sweet gentle love in the time it takes for the average pass rusher to reach him behind the Jets O-line this year (best in the league in pass protection). All this is saying is New York Jets should be able to put up points.

    New England’s offense seems like it can score at will this year, even surpassing Rodgers over in GB. However that O-line has recently been decimated by injuries, and struggled to protect Brady allowing an average of 2.6 sacks per game this year. The Jets defense is top 3 in the league, so expect many short passes as Revis and company is haunting the open field. Don’t expect much from Blount against that front 7, but we might see a healthy dose of Lewis in the backfield as his pass-catching and elusiveness might be a huge part of Hoodie’s gameplan. We're counting on NE taking their foot off the petal at the end of the game, same as they did with the Colts if they're up by over two scores.

    This is a divisional game, and one where the Jets usually play the Patriots tough, losing the past 4 games by 3 or less points. This is a rejuvenated Jets team with better coaching and talent for sure, but Patriots are a team of destiny this year so we’re going to buy the hook and get a full 10 point.


    52. 2 Team 6 PT Teaser -105 Seahawks over 49ers, Rams over Cleveland – 1.5x
    An unbalance of perception heading into this weeks TNF with Seachickens and the Niners. Seattle has blown 2.5 (if you count Detroit as .5) leads to lose the game in the 4th quarter the past 3 weeks, while the 49ers are coming off a gutsy road win vs Baltimore last week, and a gutsy cover of the spread vs the Giants the week before. The numbers don’t lie tho, SF is the 31st ranked defense in the league and the 28th ranked offense, i.e. one of the worst teams in the league. Seattle is still Seattle, and their 2-4 record isn’t much worse than their 3-3 record last year, considering the major changes to the team and injuries. They’re still top 6 in terms of superbowl odds, and if they’re to live up to Vegas expectations they need to start winning games now. With Wagner back facing a divisional rival they’ve owned the past few years, I’m seeing a W.

    Rams and Browns both coming off a nightmare schedule to start the year, but the Rams D is ranked 6th vs that #1 schedule and should be able to generate enough pass rush to keep McCown off-balance, which if you look at his stats this year is heavily affected by pressure. His completion % drops 20% and his INT shoots up for defenses that are legitimate. The Rams offense has been putrid this year, but playing at home, coming off a bye, and getting Gurley back is all value baked into the spread making it higher than I’d like to play straight up. However teased, I like the Rams to make the NFC west a 3-team showdown.
    Last edited by Cross44; 10-22-15 at 08:20 AM.
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  3. 10-23-15 03:50 PM #38
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    53. Atlanta Falcons -4 -110* vs Tennessee Titans - 1x


    Line opened as -3.5 when Mariota was probable to play. As injury news came in and Mariota's availability became less certain, most books except a few offshore ones took the line off the boards. Luckily I play offshores! I bit and took ATL at -4, without much research or handicapping, simply investing in the line value, which quickly rose to -6. Now, I have the option to buy out the bet, try to hedge if the spread goes above 7, or stay with my play. I lean towards option 3 as I think Titans might be a sinking ship with the worst rated rush defense vs the second rated rushing attack in a coaching mismatch. Matt Ryan is in funk, but with a healthy Julio Jones finally off injury you don't need to do too much to have a passing attack. Now the real question, can they avoid 5 turnovers this game?
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  4. 10-25-15 12:49 AM #39
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    54. Indianapolis Colts -4 -110* vs New Orleans Saints - 1x
    I like this spot for the Colts to rebound after the NE loss and take advantage of a Saints team coming off a big divisional win. Luck will do what Ryan could not last week, and feast on that NO secondary that ranks towards the dregs of the league in pass defense. The Saints don't travel well and haven't been able to establish the run this year at all. It'll be up to Brees to find the points on the board, and I don't think he can keep up with Luck.


    55. New York Giants -3 -106* vs Dallas Cowboys - 1x
    I don't know what Matt Cassel, the second/third string QB that the Bills cut, is going to do that Brandon Weedan wasn't able to. The Cowboys barely won vs the Giants last time at home with a healthy Romo and now they're on the road with Cassel. Giants run defense rated top 5 in the league and should be more than enough to handle the Cowboys middling run attack. Can we count on Eli to deliver this week? Maybe!


    56. San Diego Chargers & Oakland Raiders Over 46.5 -106* - 1x
    Rivers has the Chargers as the 5th rated passing attack vs Oaklands below average D. San Diego's no better on the defensive side, and should allow plenty of yards to Murray and Carr coming off a rested week. I see a competitive game with some potential for some fireworks.


    57. 2 Team 6.5 PT Tease Bills +3 & Over 34 -120* - 1x
    These teasers never work and I need to remind myself that at least once a year.

    BOL Everyone!
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  5. 10-25-15 07:03 PM #40
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    Week 7:

    51. New York Jets +10 -125* vs New England Patriots – 1.5x (WIN)
    52. 2 Team 6 PT Teaser -105 Seahawks over 49ers, Rams over Cleveland – 1.5x (WIN)
    53. Atlanta Falcons -4 -110* vs Tennessee Titans - 1x (LOSS)
    54. Indianapolis Colts -4 -110* vs New Orleans Saints - 1x (LOSS)
    55. New York Giants -3 -106* vs Dallas Cowboys - 1x (WIN)
    56. San Diego Chargers & Oakland Raiders Over 46.5 -106* - 1x (WIN)
    57. 2 Team 6.5 PT Tease Bills +3 & Over 34 -120* - 1x (PUSH)

    4-2-1 on the day. Adding:

    58. Philadelphia Eagles +3 (-115) vs Carolina Panthers - 1x
    Last edited by Cross44; 10-25-15 at 07:10 PM.
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  6. 10-26-15 04:38 PM #41
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    59. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Ravens +16.5, Miami +15 -110 - 1.5x
    60. Cardinals & Ravens Under 50 -105 - 1x

    I understand some books teaser protect their favorites (like the Patriots this week), but does it benefit the tease if you go the other way? I just don't get why if the spread is Miami +7.5, and I get 6 points, how did I end up with 15?

    Happy with over 2 TDs on these teams in primetime. Wouldn't play any of the 4 sides individually...
    Last edited by Cross44; 10-26-15 at 05:06 PM.
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  7. 10-27-15 10:58 AM #42
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    Week 7:

    51. New York Jets +10 -125* vs New England Patriots – 1.5x (WIN)
    52. 2 Team 6 PT Teaser -105 Seahawks over 49ers, Rams over Cleveland – 1.5x (WIN)
    53. Atlanta Falcons -4 -110* vs Tennessee Titans - 1x (LOSS)
    54. Indianapolis Colts -4 -110* vs New Orleans Saints - 1x (LOSS)
    55. New York Giants -3 -106* vs Dallas Cowboys - 1x (WIN)
    56. San Diego Chargers & Oakland Raiders Over 46.5 -106* - 1x (WIN)
    57. 2 Team 6.5 PT Tease Bills +3 & Over 34 -120* - 1x (PUSH)
    58. Philadelphia Eagles +3 (-115) vs Carolina Panthers - 1x (LOSS)
    59. Cardinals & Ravens Under 50 -105 - 1x (WIN)
    60. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Ravens +16.5, Miami +15 -110 - 1.5x (Pending)

    Week 7: 5-3-1 +2.65x (1 tease pending)
    YTD: 35-22-2 +14.725

    Nice bound back week, bringing our winning weeks to 5! Let's keep it steady...
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  8. 10-29-15 01:39 PM #43
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    Week 8:

    60. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Ravens +16.5, Miami +15 -110 - 1.5x (Ravens from Week 7)
    61. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Rams -2, Seahawks PK -120 - 1.5x
    62. Pittsburgh Steelers pk -110* vs Cincinnati Bengals - 1x
    63. New York Jets pk -110 vs Oakland Raiders - 1x

    Leans: Chicago, Houston, Cleveland, Denver.

    Full write-ups on my blog.

    More picks to come...
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  9. 11-01-15 11:22 AM #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cross44 View Post
    Week 8:

    60. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Ravens +16.5, Miami +15 -110 - 1.5x (Ravens from Week 7)
    61. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Rams -2, Seahawks PK -120 - 1.5x
    62. Pittsburgh Steelers pk -110* vs Cincinnati Bengals - 1x
    63. New York Jets pk -110 vs Oakland Raiders - 1x
    Adding:

    64. Chicago Bears +2 -110* vs Minnesota Vikings - 1.5x
    65. Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Atlanta Falcons Over 47 -110* - 1.5x
    66. Houston Texans -3 -120* vs Tennessee Titans - 1x

    and .5 units to : 2 Team 6 PT Tease Rams -2, Seahawks PK -120 - 1.5x (to make it 2x)
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  10. 11-01-15 11:42 AM #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cross44 View Post
    Adding:

    64. Chicago Bears +2 -110* vs Minnesota Vikings - 1.5x
    65. Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Atlanta Falcons Over 47 -110* - 1.5x
    66. Houston Texans -3 -120* vs Tennessee Titans - 1x

    and .5 units to : 2 Team 6 PT Tease Rams -2, Seahawks PK -120 - 1.5x (to make it 2x)
    67. Cleveland Browns +7 -110 vs Arizona Cardinals - 1x
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  11. 11-05-15 10:18 AM #46
    Cross44
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    Week 8 ATS Review:


    60. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Ravens +16.5, Miami +15 -110 – 1.5x (LOSS)
    61. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Rams -2, Seahawks PK -120 – 2x (WIN)
    62. Pittsburgh Steelers pk -110* vs Cincinnati Bengals – 1x (LOSS)
    63. New York Jets pk -110 vs Oakland Raiders – 1x (LOSS)
    64. Chicago Bears +2 -110* vs Minnesota Vikings – 1.5x (LOSS)
    65. Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Atlanta Falcons Over 47 -110* – 1.5x (LOSS)
    66. Houston Texans -3 -120* vs Tennessee Titans – 1x (WIN)
    67. Cleveland Browns +7 -110* vs Arizona Cardinals – 1x (LOSS)
    68. Greenbay Packers -2.5 -120* vs Denver Broncos – 1.5x (LOSS)
    69. Indianapolis Colts Team Total Over 20 -110 – 4.5x (WIN)
    70. Live Bet (Overtime) Panthers ML +155 – 1.25x (WIN)


    Week 8: 4-7 -.50x
    Year-to-Date: 39-29-2 (57%) +14.225x

    I was on the road Sunday afternoon, so didn't have time to login to SBR and post my final 3 bets of the week. You guys can check my website where I posted the tickets if you need confirmation. The Colts have been my lord and savior this year, and no matter how many terrible bets I place on them, they somehow come through. Lucky to escape this week even, despite how many losers I picked.
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  12. 11-05-15 10:21 AM #47
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    Week 9:

    71 - 2 Team 6 PT Tease: Bengals -5, Cleveland +8.5 -120 - 1x
    72 - Greenbay Packers -1.5 vs Carolina Panthers -110 - 1.5x
    73 - 2 Team 6 PT Tease: Saints -1.5, Jets -1.5 -120 - 1x
    Last edited by Cross44; 11-05-15 at 10:26 AM.
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  13. 11-06-15 09:50 AM #48
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    Week 9 Wagers Locked In

    71. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Bengals -5, Rams +8½ -120* – 1x
    72. Green Bay Packers -1½ -110* vs Carolina Panthers – 1.5x
    73. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Saints -1½, Jets -1½ -120* – 1x
    73. Pittsburgh Steelers -4 -108* vs Oakland Raiders – 1.5x
    74. 2 Team 6.5 PT Tease Falcons -1, Bears +10½ – 120 – 1.5x
    75. New York Giants -2.5 -110* vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1.5x

    Leans
    Colts, Cowboys, Redskins
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  14. 11-08-15 06:55 PM #49
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    Adding:

    76. Philadelphia Eagles -3 -115* vs Dallas Cowboys - 2x
    77. Chicago Bears +4.5 -110* vs San Diego Chargers - 2x
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  15. 11-10-15 12:59 PM #50
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cross44 View Post
    Week 9 Wagers Locked In

    71. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Bengals -5, Rams +8½ -120* – 1x (WIN)
    72. Green Bay Packers -1½ -110* vs Carolina Panthers – 1.5x (LOSS)
    73. 2 Team 6 PT Tease Saints -1½, Jets -1½ -120* – 1x (LOSS)
    73. Pittsburgh Steelers -4 -108* vs Oakland Raiders – 1.5x (LOSS)
    74. 2 Team 6.5 PT Tease Falcons -1, Bears +10½ – 120 – 1.5x (LOSS)
    75. New York Giants -2.5 -110* vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1.5x (WIN)
    76. Philadelphia Eagles -3 -115* vs Dallas Cowboys - 2x (WIN)
    77. Chicago Bears +4.5 -110* vs San Diego Chargers - 2x (WIN)
    Week 9: 4-4 (+.13x)
    YTD: 43-33 (+14.455x)

    I feel like I've been sleepwalking since week 5. Going to limit myself to 5 bets this week. Time to kill the action junkie!!
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  16. 11-12-15 01:31 PM #51
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    Week 10:

    Week 10 Wagers Locked In


    79. New York Jets -2.5 -110* vs Buffalo Bills – 1x
    80. Jacksonville Jaguars +6 -110* vs Baltimore Ravens – 1.5x
    81. Seattle Seahawks -3 -106* vs Arizona Cardinals – 2x
    82. Oakland Raiders -3 -110* vs Minnesota Vikings – 1x (Might buy out of this depending on injuries... if I could go back I wouldn't make this bet)

    Leans:


    I will 100% be on the Titans +5 or better this weekend. Hoping for the line to reach +6 or +6.5, since I’d imagine 80% of the public will be on the Panthers. Pretty much definition of a “trap” game. Will be a 2 unit play.


    I will 100% be on the Giants +7 or better this weekend. Hoping for 7.5. Will be a 1.5 unit play.


    I also lean Cleveland, Redskins, Cowboys (if I can get +3)
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  17. 11-15-15 11:21 AM #52
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    83. New York Giants +7.5 -114* vs New England Patriots - 2x
    84. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 -102* vs Dallas Cowboys - 1.5x
    85. 3 Team Parlay: Eagles ML, Bengals ML, Greenbay ML -115 - 1x

    Passing on TEN since the line fell to +3.5, would take Panthers at -3 or TEN at +6.

    Leaning Redskins still...
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  18. 11-22-15 10:23 AM #53
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    Week 11:

    Wagers Locked-In:


    86. Indianapolis Colts +6 -110* vs Atlanta Falcons – 1x
    87. Dallas Cowboys -1½ -105* vs Miami Dolphins – 2x
    88. Oakland Raiders/Detroit Lions Over 49 -105* – 1x
    89. Oakland Raiders +1 -107* vs Detroit Lions – 2x
    90. Chicago Bears +1 -105* vs Denver Broncos – 2x
    91. Washington Redskins +7½ -115* vs Carolina Panthers – 1x

    Leans:

    Buffalo Bills +7 (will be on the Bills +7, but shooting for +7.5)
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  19. 11-22-15 10:26 AM #54
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    I'm on same except haven't pulled trigger on panthers Redskins
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  20. 11-22-15 07:03 PM #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    I'm on same except haven't pulled trigger on panthers Redskins
    Hopefully you didn't. Wish I waited to bet the Bears +2.5. So much value on the online books at the 12:30 - 1:00 range before kick off. A tough day... but time to post my favorite play of the week.

    92. Arizona Cardinals -4 -105 vs Cincinnati Bengals - 4x
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