1. 09-04-14 06:14 PM #1
    ExcelBetz
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    Excel Betting Method

    While in my Statistics II class, I developed a spreadsheet to generate outcomes of NFL games using specific statistics from teams (each weighted accordingly). I then matchup the teams and compare the score difference I generate to the current Vegas spread.

    I am not expecting this to predict 100% of outcomes (or even close to that); nor should you. It will take trial and error to see which statistics matter the most but I have referenced the previous five years to get my current information. However, the NFL is constantly cycling through which teams are good/bad, players move from one team to another, and of course there are teams, like the Chiefs last year, that just surprise everyone.


    First Pick Of The Year:


    Seattle -5 (Projected Score Difference Of 11.488 with a STDEV of 3.937)
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  2. 09-04-14 06:28 PM #2
    KVB
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    Good Luck
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  3. 09-04-14 09:19 PM #3
    ny92mike
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    Good luck man. I'll be following this close as I too use excel and statistics.
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  4. 09-04-14 10:19 PM #4
    FlyinAir
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    Quote Originally Posted by ny92mike View Post
    Good luck man. I'll be following this close as I too use excel and statistics.

    +1.
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  5. 09-05-14 08:57 AM #5
    ny92mike
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    Nice win.
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  6. 09-05-14 09:37 AM #6
    crbravens23
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    what are some of the stats you are entering into excel ?
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  7. 09-10-14 05:43 PM #7
    Ytown6
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    when are you going to start posting picks?
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  8. 09-10-14 10:25 PM #8
    PhilTheTHRILL
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    Maybe he picked every game right last week and retired with millions after one week!!
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  9. 09-10-14 10:30 PM #9
    pacocn
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    Let me know when you take statistics V
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  10. 09-10-14 10:50 PM #10
    tokio
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    The books already know everything you have on your excel sheet...
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  11. 09-18-14 05:13 PM #11
    ExcelBetz
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    Sorry I Haven't Been Posting Picks (Higher Priorities At This Point In My Life).


    2nd Pick Of Year:

    Tampa Bay (+7) (Predicted Score Difference Of -3.889)
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  12. 09-18-14 09:59 PM #12
    ExcelBetz
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    I have nothing to say about that game...that was awful.

    1-1
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  13. 09-19-14 12:21 PM #13
    crbravens23
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    can't win them all.
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  14. 09-21-14 07:57 AM #14
    ExcelBetz
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    Week 3 Picks


    Week 3.jpg
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