1. 11-02-14 10:38 PM #701
    RollinDo
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    I've played 4 prime time Overs and only 1 went Over.
    I noticed there had been a trend and then started playing them only to see Unders hit suddenly...so gave up on Overs.
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  2. 11-03-14 06:59 PM #702
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Have you ever seen anything like this (prime time overs in 2014) in any sport? I haven't.
    way back in the day i do recall home teams and overs hitting frequently....
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  3. 11-04-14 09:22 AM #703
    StackinGreen
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    Having to bust 32 points in the 2H to kill the under? That's why I middled. Giants had no business scoring more than 10 in that game. Outside of Davis the Colts D is porous but methinks it's more like that on the road. After the Eli fumble the game was over otherwise it stays under. Isn't prime time now about 70% over and like (was it firekill or rollin) someone said, most start slow and then crush in the 2H. Exception Pitt/Bal which was just bonkers all the way around.
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  4. 11-04-14 11:17 AM #704
    firekillex
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    ive been cashing out on overs all year, probably 7-0 on thursday night or monday night games
    typically the games do start a bit slow and tend to become more of a shootout in the 2nd half
    even when the score was 13-3 at half for the colts i honestly wasnt sweating it to much, the only thing that couldve screwed it over was Elis terrible play, but you can tell the colts kind of let off the gas towards the end on the defensive side. Ill probably be on the over for browns-bengals this thursday to haha 44.5 is a decent number
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  5. 11-04-14 04:53 PM #705
    StackinGreen
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    Tommy, look at my scenario post and tell me what you think
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  6. 11-04-14 07:18 PM #706
    KRIT
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    What do you guys think of the Thursday game? Seems like a good spot to take Cincy at less than a TD.

    Saints should smoke the Niners. Two teams going in the opposite direction.
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  7. 11-04-14 07:39 PM #707
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    Week 8: 11-11 (+4.6u)
    N2: 1-0
    N3: 1-2
    N6: 0-1
    N7: 3-1
    N8: 0-1
    N12: 1-0
    N14: 0-1
    Non-Autos: 8-5 (+13u)
    =================
    NFL YTD: 80-69 (+23.9u)
    N1: 1-0    N2: 1-2
    N3: 2-5
    N4: 0-1
    N6: 0-1
    N7: 9-5
    N8: 3-2
    N12: 5-3
    N13: 3-1
    N14: 4-3
    Non-Auto: 58-50 (+25.9u)
    Week 9: 7-8 (-5.6u)
    N1: 1-0
    N3: 0-1
    N5: 0-1
    N7: 2-2
    N8: 0-1
    N12: 0-1
    N13: 2-0
    N14: 1-0
    Non-Auto: 3-5 (-1.2u)
    ====================
    NFL YTD: 87-77 (+18.3u)
    N1: 2-0
    N2: 1-2
    N3: 2-6
    N4: 0-1
    N5: 0-1
    N6: 0-1
    N7: 11-7
    N8: 3-3
    N12: 5-4
    N13: 5-1
    N14: 5-3
    Non-Auto: 61-55 (+24.7u)
    Last edited by Tommy Karate; 11-04-14 at 08:00 PM.
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  8. 11-04-14 09:03 PM #708
    Tommy Karate
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    Sunday 11.9

    (7u) Packers -7 (N5, N8)
    (3u) Over Packers/Bears 53
    (2u) Under KC/Bills 41.5
    (3u) Lions -2.5/-120 (N8)
    (2u) Steelers -4.5 (N7)
    (6u) Bucs (N1); NBY
    (2u) Titans (N7); NBY
    (2u) Raiders (N13); NBY
    Last edited by Tommy Karate; 11-04-14 at 09:22 PM.
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  9. 11-04-14 09:07 PM #709
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    What do you guys think of the Thursday game? Seems like a good spot to take Cincy at less than a TD.

    Saints should smoke the Niners. Two teams going in the opposite direction.
    should be the classic Thursday night blowout; why fight it?
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  10. 11-04-14 09:10 PM #710
    Tommy Karate
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    Thursday 11.6

    (3u) Bengals -5.5/-120 (N12)
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  11. 11-05-14 09:38 AM #711
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    should be the classic Thursday night blowout; why fight it?
    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    Thursday 11.6

    (3u) Bengals -5.5/-120 (N12)
    Totally agree.
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  12. 11-05-14 09:41 AM #712
    StackinGreen
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    Sorry boys, was at Santa Anita and had no TV or internet.

    Green Bay -6.5, (-125), 9 units

    Cincinnati -5.5, 7 units

    Add more later

    ---
    18-21 straights
    3-8 teasers
    1-1 parlays
    3-2-1 2H

    -66.8 units
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  13. 11-06-14 05:06 PM #713
    Tommy Karate
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    what do you think about this total stackin and crew? i think were seeing the NTV public over movement in full affect; gonna wait till this gets closer to kickoff and will play the under small...
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  14. 11-06-14 05:46 PM #714
    KRIT
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    I don't know about the total but check the weather tk, I saw an on field report about an hour ago and it was really windy. Sounds like there could be some rain and wind tonight. Got to think that helps Cinci since they can run the ball and Cleveland can't.
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  15. 11-06-14 06:14 PM #715
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    I don't know about the total but check the weather tk, I saw an on field report about an hour ago and it was really windy. Sounds like there could be some rain and wind tonight. Got to think that helps Cinci since they can run the ball and Cleveland can't.
    When weather becomes a factor, I think it's best to just forget about the total altogether. Hard to cap how wind and/or rain and/or snow affects a game relative to points scored.
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  16. 11-06-14 07:53 PM #716
    Tommy Karate
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    i never got the total in; i love unders when its windy; greater chance for missed FG's and more runs.
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  17. 11-06-14 07:59 PM #717
    KRIT
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    i never got the total in; i love unders when its windy; greater chance for missed FG's and more runs.
    It just showed. Cinci passes up a 50 yard FG and went for it on 4th and 10.
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  18. 11-06-14 08:20 PM #718
    Tommy Karate
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    i guess we all forgot about andy dalton under the lights; anyone have the ats record of this bum?
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  19. 11-06-14 09:42 PM #719
    RollinDo
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    What a pathetic showing for Bengals

    Had a nice parlay with the ML and 2 nba winners from last night.
    Was excited to be cashing a parlay this early in the week.
    Gotta think of Plan B now with college football, nba, and nfl.
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  20. 11-06-14 10:36 PM #720
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    i guess we all forgot about andy dalton under the lights; anyone have the ats record of this bum?
    That was quite honestly one of the worst performances I've seen from an NFL QB in the last 10 years.
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  21. 11-06-14 10:45 PM #721
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    That was quite honestly one of the worst performances I've seen from an NFL QB in the last 10 years.
    am i right about dalton being a primetime goat?
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  22. 11-06-14 10:56 PM #722
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    am i right about dalton being a primetime goat?
    I don't think it's limited to prime time.

    The dude's a loser. Period.
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  23. 11-07-14 09:08 AM #723
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    When weather becomes a factor, I think it's best to just forget about the total altogether. Hard to cap how wind and/or rain and/or snow affects a game relative to points scored.
    Yep.
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  24. 11-07-14 09:09 AM #724
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    am i right about dalton being a primetime goat?
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I don't think it's limited to prime time.

    The dude's a loser. Period.

    That was painful. We got Langed, and early. That game ended up not even being close for the home team, and the road team hadn't won in at least 17 road divisional attempts ... wow
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  25. 11-09-14 11:45 AM #725
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    Sunday 11.9

    (7u) Packers -7 (N5, N8)
    (3u) Over Packers/Bears 53
    (2u) Under KC/Bills 41.5
    (3u) Lions -2.5/-120 (N8)
    (2u) Steelers -4.5 (N7)
    (6u) Bucs (N1); NBY
    (2u) Raiders (N13); NBY
    (1u) Under Cowboys 45.5
    (1u) 49ers +6
    (4u) Titans +11 (N7, N13)
    (3u) Bills -125 (N8)

    booked TB @ +3.5
    Last edited by Tommy Karate; 11-09-14 at 11:52 AM.
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  26. 11-09-14 03:08 PM #726
    Tommy Karate
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    booked raiders @ +13.5/-120
    (2u) Over Broncos 50/-120
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  27. 11-09-14 03:18 PM #727
    Tommy Karate
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    (3u) Seahawks -9
    (2u) Under Cards 45
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  28. 11-09-14 07:17 PM #728
    Tommy Karate
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    (5u) Over Packers 52.5/-120 (8u total)
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  29. 11-09-14 07:59 PM #729
    KRIT
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    Where's Meader? We need the avy!
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  30. 11-09-14 08:00 PM #730
    meader99
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    Same old cutty
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  31. 11-09-14 08:44 PM #731
    Tommy Karate
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    i cannot believe you passed on your boy Discount Double Check in this spot, SG
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  32. 11-09-14 08:50 PM #732
    meader99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    i cannot believe you passed on your boy Discount Double Check in this spot, SG
    He didnt....he's got 9 units on it
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  33. 11-09-14 09:02 PM #733
    Tommy Karate
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    cutler is a disaster; killing me in my 2 QB league.
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  34. 11-09-14 09:06 PM #734
    meader99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    cutler is a disaster; killing me in my 2 QB league.
    He's a mental midget when he plays the Pack
    Points Awarded:

    KRIT gave meader99 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  35. 11-10-14 05:14 PM #735
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Sorry boys, was at Santa Anita and had no TV or internet.

    Green Bay -6.5, (-125), 9 units

    Add more later

    ---
    I have been traveling without internet lately, sorry boys. Updated recorded is

    19-22, down 65.5 u
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