Originally Posted by
illuminati1
I get the entire revenge factor for New Orleans heading into this divisional playoff game. However, the way in which they lost that game has to have generated a lot of uncertainty. Seattle won this season's regular season matchup 34-7, and quite frankly the game wasn't even as close as the 27-point margin may show. Seattle outgained New Orleans 429-188, and barely played the 2nd half in a very conservative mode.
This is a Seattle team that's 15-1 at home in the last 2 seasons, including 12-4 ATS. They're also 9-1 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 10.0 or less in that same time span. The Saints do come off a road win at Philadelphia last week, but come on, a mediocre Eagles team with a chip on their back. (Saints won on a game winning field goal with no time left on the clock). That was just their 2nd road win in their last 7 tries. New Orleans is also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a road underdog of 3.5 or more, and lost those 4-games by an average of 20.5 points per game. Winning at Philadelphia is one thing, accomplishing that at Seattle is a totally different party house.
Any home favorite in a game that involves two teams that average 1.5 yards or more per pass attempt than their opponents, and they allowed 5.5 yards or less per pass attempt in their previous game is 24-3 ATS (88.9%) since the beginning of the 1983 season. Thus, over 60% of public bets are on the Saints today.
Take the Seahawks -9