1. 01-05-14 12:22 PM #1
    Potentate
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    49ers easy pick

    Defense. Match-ups. Team strengths. Game plan. Motivation. Trends. Almost all the angles. Easy pick for me, personally. Good luck everyone!
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  2. 01-05-14 12:27 PM #2
    navyblue81
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    There is no such thing as an "easy pick." If I bet against every person who said "this is an easy pick" I'd be one rich man right now and prolly hitting at 75%. Maybe I should take my own advice.
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  3. 01-05-14 12:32 PM #3
    Potentate
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    There is no such thing as an "easy pick." If I bet against every person who said "this is an easy pick" I'd be one rich man right now and prolly hitting at 75%. Maybe I should take my own advice.
    Subtle but important detail: I said "easy pick for me, personally." As in, I'm not struggling to cap this one and make a pick. I'm not torn. I know others are saying this one is very difficult and others are just playing it safe and making it a no-play, but it's an easy decision for me, personally. 49ers.
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  4. 01-05-14 12:55 PM #4
    Uncle Paul
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    You're a retard.
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  5. 01-05-14 12:57 PM #5
    Potentate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Uncle Paul View Post
    You're a retard.
    Thanks man, you're obviously an awesome person too.
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  6. 01-05-14 01:44 PM #6
    slacker00
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    There is no such thing as an "easy pick." If I bet against every person who said "this is an easy pick" I'd be one rich man right now and prolly hitting at 75%. Maybe I should take my own advice.
    This is a fallacy. Bad picks are no worse than a coin flip long term. You might as well flip a coin and then fade that.

    That said, I agree with Potentate on this one. Some games are like this, people either love one side or the other.
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  7. 01-05-14 01:45 PM #7
    ExposingLines247
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    motivation? that's just stupid
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  8. 01-05-14 02:28 PM #8
    Potentate
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    Quote Originally Posted by ExposingLines247 View Post
    motivation? that's just stupid
    The motivation factor is definitely overated sometimes, especially in the NFL, in the playoffs, but nonetheless, its one of the many angles we use to cap games.
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  9. 01-05-14 02:40 PM #9
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    There is no such thing as an "easy pick." If I bet against every person who said "this is an easy pick" I'd be one rich man right now and prolly hitting at 75%. Maybe I should take my own advice.
    Love this post! When I see "easy" in title, it's usually best to fade.
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  10. 01-05-14 02:45 PM #10
    Potentate
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    You guys criticizing act like youve never felt good about a pick before. Is every pick you make some horrible ordeal where you struggle to make a decision?
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  11. 01-05-14 02:47 PM #11
    chosen4th
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    Quote Originally Posted by Potentate View Post
    You guys criticizing act like youve never felt good about a pick before. Is every pick you make some horrible ordeal where you struggle to make a decision?
    Out of 4 first round picks I agree.. The sharp side of me says take packers, common sense says this is an easy pick.. 49ers are just too much for packers.. GL
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  12. 01-05-14 02:56 PM #12
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    There is no such thing as an "easy pick." If I bet against every person who said "this is an easy pick" I'd be one rich man right now and prolly hitting at 75%. Maybe I should take my own advice.
    I know what your saying about the easy pick thing. I've had bad luck with it too, but if you watch football at all you will know that SF is gonna crush Green Bay
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  13. 01-05-14 03:02 PM #13
    PhilTheTHRILL
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    I know what your saying about the easy pick thing. I've had bad luck with it too, but if you watch football at all you will know that SF is gonna crush Green Bay
    You obviously don't watch football.. That statement is Moronic. If you watch football at all, you'd know that you don't bet against Aaron Rogers. SF is a great team, but they will not stop GB from scoring.
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  14. 01-05-14 03:10 PM #14
    NJcap
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    bears are a terrible defense and packers needed a last second heave to win...they had that gift fumble td too....sf is the play.....no one knows whats gna happen but sf is the play
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  15. 01-05-14 03:27 PM #15
    Uncle Paul
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    Betting SF = sadness
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  16. 01-05-14 03:30 PM #16
    Uncle Paul
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    Strahan took San Fran and he has downs syndrome so Green Bay is the play.
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  17. 01-05-14 03:30 PM #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by Uncle Paul View Post
    Betting = sadness
    Fixed.
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  18. 01-05-14 03:30 PM #18
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhilTheTHRILL View Post
    You obviously don't watch football.. That statement is Moronic. If you watch football at all, you'd know that you don't bet against Aaron Rogers. SF is a great team, but they will not stop GB from scoring.
    Ya ok dude, your an idiot if yur on GB here dude. U might as well flush yur money down the toilet
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  19. 01-05-14 03:31 PM #19
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhilTheTHRILL View Post
    You obviously don't watch football.. That statement is Moronic. If you watch football at all, you'd know that you don't bet against Aaron Rogers. SF is a great team, but they will not stop GB from scoring.
    Lol GB barely beat the second worst pass D in football. Nutsack
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  20. 01-05-14 03:34 PM #20
    Uncle Paul
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    Stick to tennis fucko
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  21. 01-05-14 06:46 PM #21
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhilTheTHRILL View Post
    You obviously don't watch football.. That statement is Moronic. If you watch football at all, you'd know that you don't bet against Aaron Rogers. SF is a great team, but they will not stop GB from scoring.
    Like I said, you are stupid
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  22. 01-05-14 07:00 PM #22
    Potentate
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    49ers coming up short as usual, but defense wins (aka loses).
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  23. 01-05-14 07:04 PM #23
    Capper1124
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    Nice job
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  24. 01-06-14 02:58 AM #24
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    Just sayin though.....
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  25. 01-06-14 04:05 AM #25
    DoubleR90
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    Why would you say they have the motivation factor? ITS THE NFL PLAYOFFS. Wouldn't you say every single team has a ridiculous amount of motivation? How is one team more motivated than any other at this point in the season?
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  26. 01-06-14 10:45 AM #26
    Potentate
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoubleR90 View Post
    Why would you say they have the motivation factor? ITS THE NFL PLAYOFFS. Wouldn't you say every single team has a ridiculous amount of motivation? How is one team more motivated than any other at this point in the season?
    Don't act like I went on and on about motivation. Like I said, it's an overrated angle, especially in the NFL playoffs, but it's an angle to analyze nonetheless. If it makes you feel better, replace "motivation" with heart, desire, whoever wants it more, or toughness, or whatever you like.

    Bottom line = easy pick.

    Also, WINNER!
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  27. 01-06-14 11:00 AM #27
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Potentate View Post
    Defense. Match-ups. Team strengths. Game plan. Motivation. Trends. Almost all the angles. Easy pick for me, personally. Good luck everyone!

    Steve Smith playing?
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  28. 01-06-14 11:01 AM #28
    Big Bear
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    One factor i havent heard yet is the revenge angle

    Ted Ginn Jr might "go off"
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