1. #1
    Eric22174
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    My thoughts on tonights game.

    I just want to post something that i'm guessing most people are thinking about. If you look at the below stat line from the 1st meeting between these two clubs last year at St. Louis you will notice the subpar numbers by Bradford. Are we sure that Clemens can't put up those same numbers and still cover the spread tonight? Seems like most coaches and particularly the veteran coaches play to there players strengths. He won't be asked to go out and throw the ball on all downs. I think Jeff Fisher will ask Clemens to manage the football game and slow the pace of the game down. So my pick will be the under in a 27-13 game. If you look at the below chart you will notice that the line has gone down and up several times now. Yet at no time did the percent of money on Seattle really waver. Also, take a look at the numbers from last years game in reference to my first comment.

    5DIMES LINE MOVEMENTS
    Money Line Spread Total 1st Half 2nd Half
    Date Time Fav Dog Fav Dog Over Under Fav Dog Fav Dog
    10/20 7:54pm SEA-11 -110 STL11 -110 42 -110 42 -110
    10/20 8:06pm SEA-10.5 -110 STL10.5 -110 42 -110 42 -110
    10/21 11:39am SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42 -110 42 -110
    10/21 5:32pm SEA-650 STL+475 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42 -110 42 -110
    10/21 8:35pm SEA-620 STL+460 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42 -110 42 -110
    10/22 12:41pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42 -110 42 -110
    10/22 8:07pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
    10/23 12:45pm SEA-570 STL+435 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
    10/23 8:51pm SEA-570 STL+435 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42 -110 42 -110
    10/24 12:12am SEA-570 STL+435 SEA-11.5 +105 STL11.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
    10/24 4:54am SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12 +105 STL12 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
    10/24 11:14am SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12 +105 STL12 -125 43 -110 43 -110
    10/24 12:07pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12 +105 STL12 -125 43 -110 43 -110 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/24 12:09pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12 +105 STL12 -125 43 -110 43 -110 SEA-6.5 STL+6.5
    10/24 12:10pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12 +105 STL12 -125 43 -110 43 -110 SEA-6.5 STL+6.5
    10/24 6:29pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12 +105 STL12 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-6.5 STL+6.5
    10/24 8:19pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12.5 +105 STL12.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-6.5 STL+6.5
    10/24 8:21pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12.5 +105 STL12.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/25 7:12pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12.5 +110 STL12.5 -130 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/26 3:53am SEA-650 STL+475 SEA-12.5 +110 STL12.5 -130 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/26 12:01pm SEA-650 STL+475 SEA-12.5 +110 STL12.5 -130 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/26 10:41pm SEA-650 STL+475 SEA-12.5 +105 STL12.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/26 10:42pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12.5 +105 STL12.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/27 3:02am SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12.5 +105 STL12.5 -125 42.5 -110 42.5 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/27 2:45pm SEA-600 STL+450 SEA-12.5 +105 STL12.5 -125 43 -110 43 -110 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/27 11:39pm SEA-590 STL+495 SEA-11.5 -102 STL11.5 -108 43 -105 43 -105 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/27 11:41pm SEA-590 STL+495 SEA-11.5 -103 STL11.5 -107 43 -105 43 -105 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/27 11:52pm SEA-590 STL+495 SEA-11.5 -103 STL11.5 -107 43 -105 43 -105 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 3:30am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -103 STL11.5 -107 43 -105 43 -105 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 8:36am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -105 STL11.5 -105 43 -105 43 -105 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 9:10am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -107 STL11.5 -103 43 -105 43 -105 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 9:28am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -107 STL11.5 -103 43 -108 43 -102 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 9:39am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -107 STL11.5 -103 43 -108 43 -102 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 9:51am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -107 STL11.5 -103 43 -108 43 -102 SEA-4.5 STL+4.5
    10/28 10:09am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -107 STL11.5 -103 43 -108 43 -102 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 10:10am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-11.5 -107 STL11.5 -103 43 -108 43 -102 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 11:02am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-12 -105 STL12 -105 43 -108 43 -102 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 11:14am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-12 -105 STL12 -105 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 11:22am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-12 -105 STL12 -105 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 11:28am SEA-600 STL+500 SEA-12.5 -105 STL12.5 -105 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 11:35am SEA-660 STL+540 SEA-12.5 -105 STL12.5 -105 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:03pm SEA-630 STL+520 SEA-12.5 -105 STL12.5 -105 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:04pm SEA-635 STL+525 SEA-12.5 -105 STL12.5 -105 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:10pm SEA-630 STL+520 SEA-13 -107 STL13 -103 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:12pm SEA-630 STL+520 SEA-13.5 -103 STL13.5 -107 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:17pm SEA-660 STL+540 SEA-13.5 -103 STL13.5 -107 43.5 -107 43.5 -103 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:24pm SEA-665 STL+545 SEA-13.5 -103 STL13.5 -107 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:34pm SEA-665 STL+545 SEA-13.5 -103 STL13.5 -107 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7 STL+7
    10/28 12:41pm SEA-665 STL+545 SEA-13.5 -103 STL13.5 -107 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5
    10/28 12:42pm SEA-690 STL+560 SEA-13.5 -105 STL13.5 -105 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5
    10/28 1:05pm SEA-690 STL+560 SEA-13.5 -105 STL13.5 -105 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5
    10/28 1:08pm SEA-690 STL+560 SEA-13.5 -102 STL13.5 -108 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5
    10/28 1:50pm SEA-690 STL+560 SEA-13.5 -102 STL13.5 -108 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5
    10/28 2:10pm SEA-690 STL+560 SEA-13.5 -102 STL13.5 -108 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5
    10/28 2:17pm SEA-690 STL+560 SEA-13.5 -102 STL13.5 -108 43.5 -108 43.5 -102 SEA-7.5 STL+7.5

    SEA C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS
    Wilson 17/25 160 6.4 0 3 2-20
    STL C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS
    Bradford 16/30 221 7.4 0 1 2-12
    Hekker 1/1 2 2.0 1 0 0-0




    Rushing Leaders

    SEA CAR YDS AVG TD LG
    Lynch 20 118 5.9 1 18
    Turbin 6 45 7.5 0 13
    STL CAR YDS AVG TD LG
    Jackson 18 55 3.1 0 23
    Richardson 6 16 2.7 0 8




    Receiving Leaders

    SEA REC YDS AVG TD LG TGTS
    Rice 4 41 10.3 0 17 7
    Lynch 4 37 9.3 0 16 4
    STL REC YDS AVG TD LG TGTS
    Amendola 6 55 9.2 1 15 10
    Givens 1 52 52.0 0 52 3



  2. #2
    Eric22174
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    As well as your giving me Seattle at -4.5 1st half for 5 days your line was posted like that..... that after being at -7 to start the week. Maybe i'm reading into it to much but this game has "trap" written all over it.

  3. #3
    Eric22174
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    Since the start of the 2008 NFL season there have been 10 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:

    • The team like Seattle won the game 8 times (80.0%)
    • The team like St. Louis won the game 2 times (20.0%)
    • The team like St. Louis did better against the spread, going 8-2 (80.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.5 points



    Combined result of -13.5 and 43.5,

    Closing Spread Over/Under Game Count Fav Record Fav % Dog Record Dog % Over Record Over % Under Record Under %


    0-13.5 41-45.5 119 46-70-3 39.7% 70-46-3 60.3% 59-58-2 50.4% 58-59-2 49.6%
    Last edited by Eric22174; 10-28-13 at 04:25 PM.

  4. #4
    Eric22174
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    Cashed 3 tickets last night. 1st half, under and Rams. Congrats to those who had the same. I'm leaning dolphins this thursday 27-24

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