My thoughts on tonights game.
I just want to post something that i'm guessing most people are thinking about. If you look at the below stat line from the 1st meeting between these two clubs last year at St. Louis you will notice the subpar numbers by Bradford. Are we sure that Clemens can't put up those same numbers and still cover the spread tonight? Seems like most coaches and particularly the veteran coaches play to there players strengths. He won't be asked to go out and throw the ball on all downs. I think Jeff Fisher will ask Clemens to manage the football game and slow the pace of the game down. So my pick will be the under in a 27-13 game. If you look at the below chart you will notice that the line has gone down and up several times now. Yet at no time did the percent of money on Seattle really waver. Also, take a look at the numbers from last years game in reference to my first comment.
Money Line
Spread
Total
1st Half
2nd Half
Date
Time
Fav
Dog
Fav
Dog
Over
Under
Fav
Dog
Fav
Dog
10/20
7:54pm
SEA-11 -110
STL11 -110
42 -110
42 -110
10/20
8:06pm
SEA-10.5 -110
STL10.5 -110
42 -110
42 -110
10/21
11:39am
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42 -110
42 -110
10/21
5:32pm
SEA -650
STL +475
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42 -110
42 -110
10/21
8:35pm
SEA-620
STL+460
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42 -110
42 -110
10/22
12:41pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42 -110
42 -110
10/22
8:07pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
10/23
12:45pm
SEA-570
STL+435
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
10/23
8:51pm
SEA-570
STL+435
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42 -110
42 -110
10/24
12:12am
SEA-570
STL+435
SEA-11.5 +105
STL11.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
10/24
4:54am
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12 +105
STL12 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
10/24
11:14am
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12 +105
STL12 -125
43 -110
43 -110
10/24
12:07pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12 +105
STL12 -125
43 -110
43 -110
SEA -7
STL +7
10/24
12:09pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12 +105
STL12 -125
43 -110
43 -110
SEA-6.5
STL+6.5
10/24
12:10pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12 +105
STL12 -125
43 -110
43 -110
SEA-6.5
STL+6.5
10/24
6:29pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12 +105
STL12 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-6.5
STL+6.5
10/24
8:19pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12.5 +105
STL12.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-6.5
STL+6.5
10/24
8:21pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12.5 +105
STL12.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/25
7:12pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12.5 +110
STL12.5 -130
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/26
3:53am
SEA-650
STL+475
SEA-12.5 +110
STL12.5 -130
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/26
12:01pm
SEA-650
STL+475
SEA-12.5 +110
STL12.5 -130
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/26
10:41pm
SEA-650
STL+475
SEA-12.5 +105
STL12.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/26
10:42pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12.5 +105
STL12.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/27
3:02am
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12.5 +105
STL12.5 -125
42.5 -110
42.5 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/27
2:45pm
SEA-600
STL+450
SEA-12.5 +105
STL12.5 -125
43 -110
43 -110
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/27
11:39pm
SEA-590
STL+495
SEA-11.5 -102
STL11.5 -108
43 -105
43 -105
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/27
11:41pm
SEA-590
STL+495
SEA-11.5 -103
STL11.5 -107
43 -105
43 -105
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/27
11:52pm
SEA-590
STL+495
SEA-11.5 -103
STL11.5 -107
43 -105
43 -105
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
3:30am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -103
STL11.5 -107
43 -105
43 -105
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
8:36am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -105
STL11.5 -105
43 -105
43 -105
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
9:10am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -107
STL11.5 -103
43 -105
43 -105
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
9:28am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -107
STL11.5 -103
43 -108
43 -102
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
9:39am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -107
STL11.5 -103
43 -108
43 -102
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
9:51am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -107
STL11.5 -103
43 -108
43 -102
SEA-4.5
STL+4.5
10/28
10:09am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -107
STL11.5 -103
43 -108
43 -102
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
10:10am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-11.5 -107
STL11.5 -103
43 -108
43 -102
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
11:02am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-12 -105
STL12 -105
43 -108
43 -102
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
11:14am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-12 -105
STL12 -105
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
11:22am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-12 -105
STL12 -105
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
11:28am
SEA-600
STL+500
SEA-12.5 -105
STL12.5 -105
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
11:35am
SEA-660
STL+540
SEA-12.5 -105
STL12.5 -105
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:03pm
SEA-630
STL+520
SEA-12.5 -105
STL12.5 -105
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:04pm
SEA-635
STL+525
SEA-12.5 -105
STL12.5 -105
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:10pm
SEA-630
STL+520
SEA-13 -107
STL13 -103
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:12pm
SEA-630
STL+520
SEA-13.5 -103
STL13.5 -107
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:17pm
SEA-660
STL+540
SEA-13.5 -103
STL13.5 -107
43.5 -107
43.5 -103
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:24pm
SEA-665
STL+545
SEA-13.5 -103
STL13.5 -107
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:34pm
SEA-665
STL+545
SEA-13.5 -103
STL13.5 -107
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7
STL+7
10/28
12:41pm
SEA-665
STL+545
SEA-13.5 -103
STL13.5 -107
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
10/28
12:42pm
SEA-690
STL+560
SEA-13.5 -105
STL13.5 -105
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
10/28
1:05pm
SEA-690
STL+560
SEA-13.5 -105
STL13.5 -105
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
10/28
1:08pm
SEA-690
STL+560
SEA-13.5 -102
STL13.5 -108
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
10/28
1:50pm
SEA-690
STL+560
SEA-13.5 -102
STL13.5 -108
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
10/28
2:10pm
SEA-690
STL+560
SEA-13.5 -102
STL13.5 -108
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
10/28
2:17pm
SEA-690
STL+560
SEA-13.5 -102
STL13.5 -108
43.5 -108
43.5 -102
SEA-7.5
STL+7.5
SEA
C/ATT
YDS
AVG
TD
INT
SACKS
Wilson
17/25
160
6.4
0
3
2-20
STL
C/ATT
YDS
AVG
TD
INT
SACKS
Bradford
16/30
221
7.4
0
1
2-12
Hekker
1/1
2
2.0
1
0
0-0
Rushing Leaders
Receiving Leaders
SEA
REC
YDS
AVG
TD
LG
TGTS
Rice
4
41
10.3
0
17
7
Lynch
4
37
9.3
0
16
4
STL
REC
YDS
AVG
TD
LG
TGTS
Amendola
6
55
9.2
1
15
10
Givens
1
52
52.0
0
52
3
As well as your giving me Seattle at -4.5 1st half for 5 days your line was posted like that..... that after being at -7 to start the week. Maybe i'm reading into it to much but this game has "trap" written all over it.
Since the start of the 2008 NFL season there have been 10 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:
The team like Seattle won the game 8 times (80.0%) The team like St. Louis won the game 2 times (20.0%) The team like St. Louis did better against the spread, going 8-2 (80.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.5 points
Combined result of -13.5 and 43.5,
Closing Spread
Over/Under
Game Count
Fav Record
Fav %
Dog Record
Dog %
Over Record
Over %
Under Record
Under %
0-13.5
41-45.5
119
46-70-3
39.7%
70-46-3
60.3%
59-58-2
50.4%
58-59-2
49.6%
Last edited by Eric22174; 10-28-13 at 04:25 PM .
Cashed 3 tickets last night. 1st half, under and Rams. Congrats to those who had the same. I'm leaning dolphins this thursday 27-24