Ok, so I know most of the comments will be "why take a game if you're only going to hedge out of it". I used to prescribe to the same theory.
I play a lot of parlays as well as straight picks. I usually parlay a combination of my straight picks and others I wasn't confident enough to play for a standard unit. I far-too-often lose parlays on the last play. I feel like I have the 'last leg parlay curse', and I now add a 'dummy' last play to my parlays with the intention of leaving myself with a hedge option. I will usually play my last pick as a short home ML favorite with a delay between that and the 2nd last game (so I can get to my book and get a hedge on).
Yep, you usually take picks in a parlay because you think they're going to win, but I am seriously cursed by this theory, as I am sure many who had Atlanta ML at home against the Jets a few weeks back would feel.
Here's my parlay.
Auburn @ A&M over 71.5
Iowa @ Ohio State over 54
Was @ Az State over 67
Iowa State @ Baylor over 76
FSU @ Clemson over 64
WSU @ Oregon over 72.5
Oregon St @ Cal under 71.5
Kansas City Chiefs ML
$50 to win $6028
Would you hedge on Texans ML? I took the Chiefs because they are, in my opinion, the strongest home fave with value, especially with Case Keenum likely to start for the Texans.
I have looked at middle and straight-hedge options, and I am thinking of playing $1000 on Texans +200.
Anyone have any opinions on this?
If your input is going to be 'let it ride, I am 100% hedging something here to guarantee profit from $50. I feel I've already used up all my luck on this one with Baylor and Clemson overs hitting.
Thanks.