First of all I can not take credit for this,but I did read it and it really makes logical sense, so I thought I would post the games when they meet the criteria.
The Criteria: If an NFL team is out gained by 250 yards or more, the next week bet the
1. under
2. the team
3. the team under of the team they are playing.
This has hit almost 59% over the years, or so says the the article I read. The logic is that a team beaten so bad on defense, has a tendency to stress defense in the next week's practice sessions. It may only happen a hand full of times a season, so I thought I would post them, when a team qualifies.
Last week the Giants got out gained by 252 yards so the plays this week are:
It's been a couple of weeks since the criteria of being out gained by 250 or more total yards has happened. Last week there was still no team out gained by 250 or more yards, however 2 teams were were out gained by over 200 yards so we are going to use 200 yards as our benchmark. I went back 3 years and noticed it did not significantly change the winning percentage. It dropped to approximately 57.5%. This week we have 2 teams that qualify (out gained by over 200 yards)
Dallas +2.5
Dallas/Philly under 55.5
Philly under 29 TT
St. Louis +7.5
St. Louis/Carolina under 42
Carolina under 24.5 TT