Week 2
WIN - San Diego +7.5
WIN - Dallas +3
LOSS- San Fran +3 and I will probably also add money line
LOSS- Carolina -3
WIN - Denver/Giants over 55
WIN - Denver -4.5
WIN - Green Bay/Baltimore Teaser
WIN - Tampa +3
6 wins and 2 losses +4 units
Thursday
Chiefs @ Philly -3, will probably go to -3.5 by kickoff.
The Eagles have been the most interesting team in the league thus far. Vick actually played the 2nd best game of his life last week. My only complaints was a crappy pass in the end zone to James Casey for what could have been a TD early in the game, a slightly over thrown deep ball to Desean Jackson, and a poor throw on 3rd down after Foles had to come in for a play, besides that Vick was pretty flawless. The first 2 weeks has seen a lot of crappy QB play but Vick was outstanding against San Diego.
The problem is that the Chargers didn't have their first punt until 5:18 left in the 3rd quarter. I believe they only punted once in the game. The Chargers fumbled twice at the goal line but besides that they scored on I believe the first 8 possessions. The Chargers had one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL last year, and they had King Dunlap protecting Rivers blind side and the Eagles still couldn't pressure Rivers. No pass rush and terrible pass coverage yes I am looking at you Carey Williams. Carey Williams got abused and Philip Rivers completed 16 of 18 passes in the first half, the Eagles defense was pointless. They gave up 33 points but they really could have given up 40+, and that's coming from a west coast team playing at 10AM local time with a bad offensive line. Eddie Royal looked like Jerry Rice out there with his 3 TD. The other funny thing is when Riley Cooper scored his TD 4 white teammates came up to him and congratulated him.
I actually like the Chiefs match up in this.
First of all Andy Reid knows the Eagles and he knows which players to attack on defense. You have to figure this is a big game for him and his knowledge of personnel gives him an edge, after getting run out of town expect him to pull all the tricks and hold nothing back. The Chiefs are an out of division opponent for Chip Kelly and his staff, but this is like a divisional game for Reid.
Philip Rivers wasn't doing anything crazy last week, he was just throwing to open receivers. Alex Smith is a conservative game manager and he will do the exact same thing plus he will probably have a better run game. Expect the Chiefs to move the ball and score points against the Eagles punching bag defense.
Vick and the Eagles will get their points too. The Chiefs have had no time to prepare for the Chip Kelly high tempo offense. The Chiefs defense completely shut down the Dallas run game in week 2, and they held the Jaguars to scoreless in week 1. People think of the Chip Kelly offense as some wide open passing attack but Lesean McCoy had 31 carries in week 1 and the majority of the play calling is runs. The Chiefs gave up nothing on the ground last week and they have a beast in the middle of their defense in Poe.
A harder time running the ball for the Eagles, Alex Smith and the Chiefs moving the ball for KC, and the Andy Reid factor make me lean Chiefs +3.5 here and I believe I will play it. Eagles totals thus far have been 60 and 63 and I said to myself I'd like to play overs not just because of the CK offense but because this defense is crap. Chiefs are on the road but they will move the ball. So I also lean the over. The fact that the total is only 50.5 also makes me like the Chiefs +3.5 even more.