1. #36
    Frisco
    Frisco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-12
    Posts: 6,138

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    SOS rankings are not very accurate.
    New season, new teams. SOS numbers based on last years results hold no water

  2. #37
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    sea 15-1

  3. #38
    Frisco
    Frisco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-12
    Posts: 6,138

    Wash 8.5
    Sea 9
    Colts 8
    Minny 7

  4. #39
    meader99
    meader99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-10
    Posts: 4,223
    Betpoints: 5231

    Quote Originally Posted by Frisco View Post
    They also lost really close games. Young team that matured as the season went along and added some good players in the offseason. Respect the avatar bro. He's poised for a huge season.
    I respect the avie....... He should just be wearing a Badger uni......

  5. #40
    slacker00
    slacker00's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-05
    Posts: 12,262
    Betpoints: 15653

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    SOS rankings are not very accurate.

    This is supposedly the 18th toughest and under .500 SOS.

    Week 1: Monday, Sept. 9, Philadelphia, 7 p.m.
    Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 15, at Green Bay, 1 p.m.
    Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 22, Detroit, 1 p.m.
    Week 4: Sunday, Sept. 29, at Oakland, 4:25 p.m.
    Week 5: BYE
    Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 13, at Dallas, 8:30 p.m.
    Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 20, Chicago, 1 p.m.
    Week 8: Sunday, Oct. 27, at Denver, 4:25 p.m.
    Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 3, San Diego, 1 p.m.
    Week 10: Thursday, Nov. 7, at Minnesota, 8:25 p.m.
    Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 17, at Philadelphia, 1 p.m.
    Week 12: Monday, Nov. 25, San Francisco, 8:30 p.m.
    Week 13: Sunday, Dec. 1, NY Giants, 8:30 p.m.
    Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 8, Kansas City, 1 p.m.
    Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 15, at Atlanta, 1 p.m.
    Week 16: Sunday, Dec. 22, Dallas, 1 p.m.
    Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 29, at NY Giants, 1 p.m.

    Complete destruction.....
    The Redskins have a very average schedule for a division winner.

    Yes, @ATL and SF at home will be brutal. Then the NFC North, nothing easy there either. AFC West is soft tho.

    I think you are overestimating Philly and Dallas, both of those teams are in a tailspin. Giants win the NFC East.

  6. #41
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,290
    Betpoints: 22206

    I hope rg3 is back for week 1 b/c i love phily at wash to open. I'll take the plus 3 or 3.5

  7. #42
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,554
    Betpoints: 6898

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Skins 7.5
    Seattle 8
    Indy 7.5
    Minny 7

    None of these teams win their divisions or make the playoffs next year. One year wonders at their best.
    yeah, there sure is a lot of tough competition in the AFC...

  8. #43
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    I hope rg3 is back for week 1 b/c i love phily at wash to open. I'll take the plus 3 or 3.5
    You can get +6.5 right now.

  9. #44
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    Quote Originally Posted by slacker00 View Post
    The Redskins have a very average schedule for a division winner.

    Yes, @ATL and SF at home will be brutal. Then the NFC North, nothing easy there either. AFC West is soft tho.

    I think you are overestimating Philly and Dallas, both of those teams are in a tailspin. Giants win the NFC East.
    I think you are putting too much weight on last season and Dallas/Philly will be alright. Redskins are not going 5-1 in the division again.
    The SOS is really skewed by a few really bad records. KC won't lose 14 games this year.

  10. #45
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,290
    Betpoints: 22206

    Wash is 6.5???? Gtfo wow.

  11. #46
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,074
    Betpoints: 7726

    Skins won't win more than 5 games.

  12. #47
    slacker00
    slacker00's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-05
    Posts: 12,262
    Betpoints: 15653

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    I think you are putting too much weight on last season and Dallas/Philly will be alright. Redskins are not going 5-1 in the division again.
    The SOS is really skewed by a few really bad records. KC won't lose 14 games this year.
    Dallas hasn't had a winning season in the 3 years since Jason Garrett took over. Philly is completely rebuilding.

    KC won't lose 14, maybe only 10, but will DEN and ATL both win 13? Will MIN win 10? Variance works both ways.

  13. #48
    iwantcougars
    iwantcougars's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-29-09
    Posts: 2,154
    Betpoints: 679

    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    Denver Over 10 wins.
    denver will be 11.5 or 12

  14. #49
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    Thought they already had these out by now going by last year. Draft over. Schedule out.........


  15. #50
    MobFade
    MobFade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-12
    Posts: 677
    Betpoints: 987

    SEA 10.5
    WAS 8.5
    IND 8
    MIN 7.5

    Gonna be tough to come by wins in the NFCW this year. Seattle favored in all games but 2 this year. ATL-PK, SF+2.5. Hype train is barrelling down for SEA right now.

    WAS is tough to say. 8.5 assumes RG3 back for Week 1 but expected to not be as mobile as last year.

    IND and MIN are both luckbox teams, but IND plays TEN and JAX twice so that's why they get spotted .500. If AP gets off the HGH, MIN does far worse than .500.

  16. #51
    ChiLLx
    ChiLLx's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-11
    Posts: 5,412
    Betpoints: 9184

    These should be out in the next week or 2

  17. #52
    MobFade
    MobFade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-12
    Posts: 677
    Betpoints: 987

    Atlantis book in Reno has the following:

    SEA 11
    WAS 9
    IND 8
    MIN 7.5

    It looks like this article is from May 10 so I'm sure these will change a bit. I had already seen un-cited claims that Seattle was at 10.5, maybe in light of their DE situation with injuries and suspensions.
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-09-14 at 12:27 PM. Reason: Link Not Working - Removed-)

  18. #53
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    Which books in vegas/off-shore have the "biggest" number on these teams?

    Wash (I know a 9 came out early but all I see is 8's now) Anyone think it goes up a bit if RG3 is healthy closer to Week 1....
    Miami
    St Louis

  19. #54
    ChiLLx
    ChiLLx's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-11
    Posts: 5,412
    Betpoints: 9184

    The more I look at the Colts schedule the more I realize how ridiculously easy it is:

    @home - Miami, Oak, STL, Jax, Ten
    @road - Jax, SD, Ten, Arizona, KC

    10 games against joke teams, might be 7-8 wins in there alone. The "hard" games are @SF, Den, Sea, @Hou, Hou, @Cinci.

    AFC is the worst

  20. #55
    gryfyn1
    gryfyn1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-10
    Posts: 3,285
    Betpoints: 48

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Seahawks were good, but won the all of their 50-50 games.
    No they didn't. They went 5-5 in games decided by 7 or less and 1-2 in games decided by 3 or less.

  21. #56
    pixster
    pixster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-11
    Posts: 1,386
    Betpoints: 5629

    Quote Originally Posted by ChiLLx View Post
    My god that is an easy schedule. They get to play 3 dome teams at home then on the road the shitty Colts and Panthers, and a Falcons team they should've already beaten once in the playoffs. I see 10 wins at the minimum.
    Barring injury to key players, I totally agree. As everyone knows. road games have been Seattle's biggest hang up. But I don't see that happening this year. This is a very confident, talented bunch, and its gonna take several weeks into the season before joe public catches on.

  22. #57
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Going heavy on Seahawks under 10.5. Way overvvalued

  23. #58
    LetsGoPats
    LetsGoPats's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-30-13
    Posts: 17
    Betpoints: 168

    Love the Minnesota under. There are two scenarios in which they finish .500 or higher: AP pulling a repeat of 2012 or Ponder becoming a good NFL QB. Doubt either happens.

  24. #59
    ChiLLx
    ChiLLx's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-11
    Posts: 5,412
    Betpoints: 9184

    Atlanta under 10 has gotten hit lately

  25. #60
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Lots of great information in this thread. Seahawks look really good.................................... .....against the Niners

  26. #61
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Skins won't win more than 5 games.
    The broken clock is right twice a day. Good call Lakerboy.

  27. #62
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    Love my Skins, Rams, Vikings bets.

    Miami not so much but they'll regress from winning 3 coin flips in a row.

  28. #63
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    They have updated win totals out now too. Some really interesting ones.

  29. #64
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Love my Skins, Rams, Vikings bets.

    Miami not so much but they'll regress from winning 3 coin flips in a row.
    That is ironic. I took dolphins over 7.5, vikings under 7, Raiders under 5, and Eagles under 7.5. The only one I am worried about is the Raiders.

  30. #65
    ChiLLx
    ChiLLx's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-11
    Posts: 5,412
    Betpoints: 9184

    Quote Originally Posted by ChiLLx View Post
    Atlanta under 10 has gotten hit lately
    Big game coming up vs the Patriots

  31. #66
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Love my Skins, Rams, Vikings bets.

    Miami not so much but they'll regress from winning 3 coin flips in a row.
    Which ones did you take over or under on? i can tell you took the under on the Dolphins even after starting a thread on them on 8.

  32. #67
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1842

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Which ones did you take over or under on? i can tell you took the under on the Dolphins even after starting a thread on them on 8.
    All unders, I only take under for stuff like this, mostly cause of injuries.

    I would only take overs now on adjust lines like Giants, Steelers, etc.

  33. #68
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Washington and Minnesota suck out loud.

First 12
Top