[haserfauld]

Got greedy with all the action this weekend and opened a 15-team teaser, and by some fluke I have 11 won. I still need 4 picks. They don't have to be NFL, but it's the sport I know most about, and have been fairly successful this week. It's 10pt in NFL. My leans (in order):

DAL -1.5
ARI +17
SEA +13
MIN +19.5
PIT +19
DET +3

Also, there may be some great total plays as well, getting a 9.5pt swing. Such as:

GB/MIN o35
JAX/BUF o32

Some plays I'm leaning simply because of the number value. For instance, I like SF to beat StL, but SF +2 is a waste of 2.5 points of the tease.

So, throw me some suggestions!

[MFDoom013]

I like the under in the SF/STL game. At 9.5 it would be u50.5. I think SF's D will be motivated and eat Sammy B for lunch

[haserfauld]

I like the under in the SF/STL game. At 9.5 it would be u50.5. I think SF's D will be motivated and eat Sammy B for lunch

Defensive TDs scare me in that one. Last week, the SF and STL defenses combined for 6 interceptions and 4 pick sixes. 50.5 seems high, yes, but 27-24 wouldn't shock me. 13-7 wouldn't, either, though. Games in StL are generally lower scoring, though, so there may be some good value.

[wolvesguy89]

You're definitely Better off going O35 GB/MIN than any other O/U. I'm a vikings fan, and believe me Rodgers will be in robot mode tomorrow. Wouldn't surprise me if the packers alone scored 35

[haserfauld]

You're definitely Better off going O35 GB/MIN than any other O/U. I'm a vikings fan, and believe me Rodgers will be in robot mode tomorrow. Wouldn't surprise me if the packers alone scored 35

That was my favorite lean, the more I looked at things. Already locked it in. 3 to go!

[2daBank]

agree with the over in gb....think cincy over +10 is a slam dunk...total wise i would stay away from over in buf, i played under 45.5 earlier in week and obviously it has dropped and you get a low number but wind and rain plus buf d little underrated, thought number was high to start, prob go over 33 or whatever but cant say i like if im on under....i think if you brought indy/det to 61 under be safe as hell..dal/phi over be good plus it be last game where you could middle (think line may climb a little as well).... steelers prob ok, i took the 7.5..sea be nice if you got when it could have been 14 but again a dog i played at +4.... hope you hit it bro..

[haserfauld]

I'd be all over SEA at +14, but it's too late for that, unfortunately. I like ARI +17 the most, along with DAL -1.5. I think I'm going to lock those two in. I only have $25 on this, but it's to win me just over $600. That means I need one more pick. PIT +19 is begging me to play it. Cin +10 should be money as well

[matt1216]

Remeber this, Charlie Batch and the steelers had 8 turnovers last week. Cleveland shoulda blown them out

[haserfauld]

That does scare me.

I'm gonna leave this last spot open and sleep on it. Maybe i'll get a favorable line movement (for me) somewhere overnight to decide this for me. I'm happy with my lines so far.

[p19101]

Ravens

[AceKingHigh]

IMO Cincy would be a safer pick.. or maybe just 'lose' those 2.5 pts of tease and grab SF! you can always hedge a little the last game..AND, on top of that, if you don't feel comfortable with it.. just LEAVE IT OPEN for next week

[slacker00]

I agree with the over in MIN/GB. GB's defense is a sieve & they will score plenty on offense. But, no need to tease it.

Otherwise, Dallas -1.5 is my pick from that list. Philly has quit and Dallas still has a shot at the playoffs.

[haserfauld]

I think I may just take SF. I don't see how they lose, even in StL. I don't trust kaep yet though.

[haserfauld]

IMO Cincy would be a safer pick.. or maybe just 'lose' those 2.5 pts of tease and grab SF! you can always hedge a little the last game..AND, on top of that, if you don't feel comfortable with it.. just LEAVE IT OPEN for next week

Followed your advice on leaving the last pick open. Played GB/MIN o35, DAL -2, and ARI +17. Now I can close it out next week.

[haserfauld]

Denver -2.5, and then hedge with oak +12?