[scottyy11]

seems off the top they have been hitting, very good last week.....if i had to guess i would say they are covering over 70% this yr

[Checkerboard]

I quickly counted 16 - 12 ATS ~ with this week's four last byes to come. If my count's correct, it's approximately 57.142857% (with the decimal recurring).
My feeling also, before I counted, was that it would have come out a little higher in favour of W's ATS.

[bigboydan]

Checkerboard, You don't happen to have the numbers for a teams last game before going into the bye week do you?

[nosuzieno]

There was lengthy article on "Covers" website a month or so ago on teams off of byes. winning ats percentages since inception was around 55%. However, teams with winning records AND favored in game after bye hit around 80%. I believe Indy, NE and Chi all came in under this system this year. Not sure of any others w/l in 2006.

[Checkerboard]

Checkerboard, You don't happen to have the numbers for a teams last game before going into the bye week do you?

bigboydan, I quickly counted 13-17-2 or 56.66% no cover
week before bye.

[scottyy11]

thats interesting nosuzieno, I would of thought teams with a winning record would not work as hard during the bye and facing a poor team they might overlook them or not prepare as seriously

[Checkerboard]

There was lengthy article on "Covers" website a month or so ago on teams off of byes. winning ats percentages since inception was around 55%. However, teams with winning records AND favored in game after bye hit around 80%. I believe Indy, NE and Chi all came in under this system this year. Not sure of any others w/l in 2006.

'Teams with winning records SU and laying points in matchup
following their bye' is and will remain a .500 theory on this year.

NE, IND, CHI and DEN won ATS returning from bye with winning SU record . . .

CIN, SEA, ATL and NO lost ATS returning from bye with winning SU record . . .

So, it tracks at 4-4 this year.

Noting none of the last four bye teams qualify for the
theory as none have winning records returning from their
byes. NYJ, PHIL and CAR are all .500 SU and ARIZ has its
losing record . . .

(I actually like ARI this week, see my points on that matchup
and how it reminds me of the ATL/DET game last week ~ I
posted those notes in imgv94's thread for this week).

[scottyy11]

yep i like zona this week as well, agree with most of your points will be a pick for me for sure

[nosuzieno]

received fresh article from "Covers" today on this topic:
covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=95062&tid=27&t=1