SAFEST PLAY TONIGHT - How you like this Teaser - Hedge bet??
After reading all the other research I can find, the safest play feels like the following teaser:
2 Play Parlay:
DEN +7.5 @ -345
DEN/SD(UN 53.5) @ -250
Total Odds = -124 (x$625 to win $500)
I have a 3 play teaser that pays $1400 (GB(+10.5) + GB/HOU(OV39.5) + DEN(OV 40.5)) if this game goes over 40.5 so I'm thinking of the above teaser as a sort of hedge bet.. Worst case the game would go under 40.5 and SD would win by -7.5... I'd lose both.. but that seems pretty unlikely.. (Famous last words) haha.
Like most are saying though.. DEN is the play, and if they lose I don't see it being by more than a TD..
Very likely (imo) that the game total lands between 40.5 and 53.5 AND DEN either wins or keeps it close, so this could be a WIN both scenario if I make this hedge..
I'm no Super-Capper though so your thoughts/Ideas are welcome
After reading all the other research I can find, the safest play feels like the following teaser:
2 Play Parlay:
DEN +7.5 @ -345
DEN/SD(UN 53.5) @ -250
Total Odds = -124 (x$625 to win $500)
I have a 3 play teaser that pays $1400 (GB(+10.5) + GB/HOU(OV39.5) + DEN(OV 40.5)) if this game goes over 40.5 so I'm thinking of the above teaser as a sort of hedge bet.. Worst case the game would go under 40.5 and SD would win by -7.5... I'd lose both.. but that seems pretty unlikely.. (Famous last words) haha.
Like most are saying though.. DEN is the play, and if they lose I don't see it being by more than a TD..
Very likely (imo) that the game total lands between 40.5 and 53.5 AND DEN either wins or keeps it close, so this could be a WIN both scenario if I make this hedge..
I'm no Super-Capper though so your thoughts/Ideas are welcome
If you are having doubts then you have your answer. Hedge and you'll walk away with something.