1. #1
    rainman416
    rainman416's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-12
    Posts: 1,248
    Betpoints: 994

    SAFEST PLAY TONIGHT - How you like this Teaser - Hedge bet??

    After reading all the other research I can find, the safest play feels like the following teaser:

    2 Play Parlay:
    DEN +7.5 @ -345
    DEN/SD(UN 53.5) @ -250
    Total Odds = -124 (x$625 to win $500)

    I have a 3 play teaser that pays $1400 (GB(+10.5) + GB/HOU(OV39.5) + DEN(OV 40.5)) if this game goes over 40.5 so I'm thinking of the above teaser as a sort of hedge bet.. Worst case the game would go under 40.5 and SD would win by -7.5... I'd lose both.. but that seems pretty unlikely.. (Famous last words) haha.

    Like most are saying though.. DEN is the play, and if they lose I don't see it being by more than a TD..
    Very likely (imo) that the game total lands between 40.5 and 53.5 AND DEN either wins or keeps it close, so this could be a WIN both scenario if I make this hedge..

    I'm no Super-Capper though so your thoughts/Ideas are welcome

  2. #2
    dimaggio8
    dimaggio8's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-14-09
    Posts: 501
    Betpoints: 907

    Quote Originally Posted by rainman416 View Post
    After reading all the other research I can find, the safest play feels like the following teaser:

    2 Play Parlay:
    DEN +7.5 @ -345
    DEN/SD(UN 53.5) @ -250
    Total Odds = -124 (x$625 to win $500)

    I have a 3 play teaser that pays $1400 (GB(+10.5) + GB/HOU(OV39.5) + DEN(OV 40.5)) if this game goes over 40.5 so I'm thinking of the above teaser as a sort of hedge bet.. Worst case the game would go under 40.5 and SD would win by -7.5... I'd lose both.. but that seems pretty unlikely.. (Famous last words) haha.

    Like most are saying though.. DEN is the play, and if they lose I don't see it being by more than a TD..
    Very likely (imo) that the game total lands between 40.5 and 53.5 AND DEN either wins or keeps it close, so this could be a WIN both scenario if I make this hedge..

    I'm no Super-Capper though so your thoughts/Ideas are welcome
    If you are having doubts then you have your answer. Hedge and you'll walk away with something.

  3. #3
    KushMoney
    KushMoney's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-11-11
    Posts: 658
    Betpoints: 73

    You're good, San Diego wins by 3, and this game is going OVER 40 and Under 54

    TT around 51pts

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