Here's mine, that I posted in
this thread a few weeks ago:
We disagree about the Titans/Steelers NFL opener. I think the Steelers are the better team, but the Titans are plenty capable. There's a trend of betting against the Super Bowl winner ATS, which has been proven over time. So, these teams should be pretty much even week 1. Getting 5.5, I'll take the dog.
Miami/Atlanta should be a good game. I also have these two teams fairly even. In reality, this game is probably a no-play for me. Otherwise, I'll take the +4 in a game that probably comes down to whoever has the ball last.
Lions/Saints, I'd take the Saints all day, but the Saints shouldn't be laying 12, not even to the lowly Lions. I expect the Lions to come out and play tough. I don't expect the Lions to win, but they should be able to cover the 12.
Rams/Seahawks. This is probably another no-play for me when it really comes down to it. Otherwise, I'll take the 6 1/2 points in a division rivalry game. Also, I like the Rams this year as one of my surprise teams.
Chargers/Raiders. Another tough division rivalry game. I love the Chargers going into 2009, but laying 7 on the road to their toughest division rival is too much, IMHO. Also, I like the Raiders to maybe make a minor push towards a playoff berth. The Raiders probably end up around 8-8, but that's good enough to take the 7 at home against pretty much anyone.
So, in conclusion, we only disagree on a handful of games. In each case, I'm preferring the dog simply because the favorite is laying too many points to make it worthwhile. A couple of the games aren't even serious plays for me, which means I could probably go either way on those anyway. So, pretty good analysis.