I'm going to keep it simple....its a passing league and Dalton is pretty good and Gabbert isn't.
Red Dalton has thrown for 646 yds and 6 tds in their last 2 games. AJ Green, Gresham, and the speedy new guy Andrew Hawkins are too much for avg/bad defenses like Jacksonville. Jay Gruden (O-coord) is really coming into his own also opening up last week w/a trick play TD pass to Green. Jax on the other hand has to be the most BORING team in the NFL. MJmidget up the middle....repeat...repeat....repeat....r epeat.
Gabbert had a whopping 75 yds passing last week vs Indys bad defense up until the lucky late TD against a blown coverage.
Bottom line...Cincy won here last year 30-20 and is still the much better team. They have way too much firepower for Jax who won't be able to run MJD nonstop since they'll be behind. I'm going to play Cincy -1 (+juice)...only thing that worries me is the shitstorms of rain that Jax receives at times. If the weather is decent Cincy wins by atleast a TD again.