[DCobra20]

Sorry if this is not a service play or if my post gets flagged for being posted in wrong section.

Anytime there is a +3 to +3.5 dog it is almost certain to take these points in the NFL. I havent really compared it College FB. Just look back at this past weekends game. The only dog that didn't cover the +3 was KC vs the Bills. This weekends record for taking +3 to +3.5 dogs was 4-1.

Favorite vs Dawg Win/Lose
Bills vs Chiefs +3 LOSER
Eagles vs Ravens +3 WINNER
Saints vs Panthers +3 WINNER
Cowboys vs Seattle +3 WINNER
Redskins vs Rams +3.5 WINNER
Falcons vs Broncos +3 TBD

Let me know your thoughts

[blankoblanco]

I know 5 games is a huge sample but do you have any long-term data that supports this? I suspect there is none

[Deol]

Taking almost any home dog at +3 or +3.5 will probably be profitable in the long run IMO. I here that all the time and never seem to follow it.

[dogs]

better when home dog @+ 3 or 4!

[pulledclear]

Taking them on the money line in spots CAN be profitable. Just to blindly bet a dog because its a 3 point spread will CRUSH you. Im sorry you did not discover the Holy Grail. GL

[dogs]

Sorry if this is not a service play or if my post gets flagged for being posted in wrong section.

Anytime there is a +3 to +3.5 dog it is almost certain to take these points in the NFL. I havent really compared it College FB. Just look back at this past weekends game. The only dog that didn't cover the +3 was KC vs the Bills. This weekends record for taking +3 to +3.5 dogs was 4-1.

Favorite vs Dawg Win/Lose
Bills vs Chiefs +3 LOSER
Eagles vs Ravens +3 WINNER
Saints vs Panthers +3 WINNER
Cowboys vs Seattle +3 WINNER
Redskins vs Rams +3.5 WINNER
Falcons vs Broncos +3 TBD

Let me know your thoughts

week three 8-2-1