Hi guys, I'm a ML fave bettor in most sports. Wanted to post an FYI for last years NFL.
Last years reaserch showed ML odds of -222 and lower went 15-7 68%.
(I use decimal odds, ML odds of 1.45 and over)
A B C chase went 22-0
Bet the ML fave to win. Some times you will have two teams with the same ML odds.
If they have the same start times, bet both. If the times are split,(1pm-4pm) do an A B bet.
I'm conservative, if the A bet wins, I quit.
I hope it holds true for this year. GL guys.
Here's the week by week from last year. (decimal)
9.11 1.50 L/ 1.50 W (A)
9.18 1.47 W (B)
9.25 1.50 W/ 1.50 W (A)
10.2 1.52 W (A)
10.9 1.45 L (A)
10.16 1.52 W (B)
10.23 1.47 W (A)
10.30 1.52 L/ 1.52 W (A)
11.6 1.45 L (B)
11.13 1.47 W/ 1.47 W (C)
11.20 1.64 W (A)
11.27 1.60 W (A)
12.4 1.47 L (A)
12.11 1.50 W/ 1.50 L (A)
12.18 1.52 L (B)
12.24 1.50 W (C)
1.1 1.52 W (A)
Checked ATS of the same teams. Only lost one game more than just betting the ML. 14-8 64%
The odds are a lot better @ 1.90 (-111). Highest ATS spread points were -4, the lowest -3 pts.
For parlay players, combining the ML with the under, either chasing or labbying would be nice odds for profit.
Yes k13 according to my printouts from last year. I probably don't have them all, like midweek games.
Chase systems do sometimes crash and burn, going in with a system and what to look for, will always
do better than coin flipping. Thanks for your optimism, cloud.
I'm laying off mid week games, because my last years records didn't show them. The way midweek games are
going, it's best to not play them. Will do Sun and Mon.
A bet is on Green bay ML 1.45
-4.5 ATS
Total is 45
Score 30-20
7-6 under
7-6 ML
6-7 ATS
A 6-5
B 3-1
C 0-1
Last edited by rkelly110; 10-22-12 at 06:43 AM.
Reason: update
(A) bet is on New England ML 1.45 (8:30pm) (As I said in a previous post, my A bet won
and I would've quit for the day. This bet is for record keeping.)