I see a lot of people giving props to the 49ers for beating the Saints... true, the scoreboard says they beat the Saints. But did they beat the Saints in the dome or the Saints on the road? Because the Saints in the dome are the best team in the NFL over the last few years. The Saints on the road are a below average football team over the last few years. Which one did the 49ers beat again? What did the Seahawks do to this mediocre Saints' road team last year? Seems to me they destroyed them and then they were down 28-0 to the Bears a few minutes into the next game.
49ers aren't going to get smashed here... but if you honestly are trusting Alex Smith on a rainy day against one of the league's best front 4... you shouldn't be gambling. Not to mention, when was the last time the Giants lost a road playoff game? You don't win 4 straight road playoff games by accident. I can guarantee you that. You also don't outscore the Falcons/Packers 61-22 by accident either. The only way the 49ers win this game is if they rack up 3+ turnovers. Some might say that if Brees can get picked off multiple times than certainly Eli can... but remember this... Brees isn't that good on the road. Eli is better on the road.
Good luck guys. Should be a fun game, but if you bet on the 49ers and need Smith in the 4th quarter against a real defense, you know you aren't going to feel too good.