1. #1
    SteveRyan
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    I'm NEVER betting OVER/UNDER ever again.

    Betting on the total KILLED all of my bets this week.

    GB / UNDER
    Dallas / UNDER
    Baltimore / -3

    Baltimore vs Miami / OVER

    Arizona / ML
    Arizona vs St. Louis / UNDER

    New England / -3.5
    Saints / -7

    Carolina vs Indianapolis / UNDER

    Not only did it screw all of those picks, but if I had just bet spreads and money line this week I would have hit for 85%!!

    Look at my pics...

    GB / ML
    Miami / +7
    Baltimore / -3
    Arizona / ML
    Buffalo / +8
    Cleveland / +7
    Houston / -3.5
    Carolina / ML
    Tennessee / -3

    Minnesota / +9
    Oakland / ML
    Seattle / -3.5
    New England / -3
    Denver / +6


    I picked the totals with only 50% accuracy.

    Wont let that happen again.

  2. #2
    SteveRyan
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    If you're curious, I also had these picks:

    Kansas City / +10
    New Orleans / -6.5

  3. #3
    JMon
    I'd be a lot cooler if you did.
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    I wish there were a emoticon blowing its head off!

  4. #4
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    I wish there were a emoticon blowing its head off!
    Here ya go.








    I had similar problems last week but I didn't think that much of it. Now, I'm just playing spreads and ML for the rest of the season.

  5. #5
    suicidekings
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    My football bets break down as about 98% sides, 2% totals. Gotta stick to what you're good at, and I just don't do well with totals.

  6. #6
    JMon
    I'd be a lot cooler if you did.
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    Thanks! You're the best!

  7. #7
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by suicidekings View Post
    My football bets break down as about 98% sides, 2% totals. Gotta stick to what you're good at, and I just don't do well with totals.
    There were a couple of weeks where I was pickin em hot. Now I'm startin to think its a sucker bet.

  8. #8
    Koldazzice
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    more unders are going to start cashing with over inflated lines as the season goes on but I rarely do more than 1-2 units on totals but do 5-10 units on sides
    when I like a total I toss 50 bucks 100 bucks on it tops and keep my top plays as my sides.

    Sounds like you should be working that theory also

    GL on your future bets my friend

  9. #9
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Koldazzice View Post
    more unders are going to start cashing with over inflated lines as the season goes on but I rarely do more than 1-2 units on totals but do 5-10 units on sides
    when I like a total I toss 50 bucks 100 bucks on it tops and keep my top plays as my sides.

    Sounds like you should be working that theory also

    GL on your future bets my friend
    Sounds like a plan. I may start messin around with teasers a little bit more also.

  10. #10
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveRyan View Post
    If you're curious, I also had these picks:

    Kansas City / +10
    New Orleans / -6.5
    Kansas City / +10

    Can chalk that one up also.

    Hot picks for me this week but made some betting errors.

  11. #11
    drfunkmaster
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    if you did a 10 pt teaser with all unders. EVERY GAME ALL DAY

  12. #12
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by drfunkmaster View Post
    if you did a 10 pt teaser with all unders. EVERY GAME ALL DAY
    Imagine that!

    I'm just gonna go the smart route now. Individual bets and lots of em. No totals unless I'm absolutely sure. If I parlay, it will be round robin and / or 2 leggers.

  13. #13
    drfunkmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveRyan View Post
    Imagine that! I'm just gonna go the smart route now. Individual bets and lots of em. No totals unless I'm absolutely sure. If I parlay, it will be round robin and / or 2 leggers.
    my buddy hit a 15 teamer today 10 point teaser!!

  14. #14
    SteveRyan
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveRyan View Post
    If you're curious, I also had these picks:

    Kansas City / +10
    New Orleans / -6.5
    Kansas City / +10
    New Orleans / -6.5


    With these last 2, I picked spreads with 83.3% accuracy this week (10 out of 12).

    Only spreads I missed were Minnesota +9 and Seattle -3.5.

    Straight-up winner pics were 93.75% (15 out of 16).

    Over/Under pics were 56.25% (9 out of 16).

    I'll post my pics for week 13 on Thursday or Friday.

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