[Robust]

With 31696 Bets (bettracker), NE just went to -5.5.. and they have 82% of the bets.. someone just unloaded on the bills..

anyone know why?

NE was my favorite pick this week.. now the bills are the play..

Robust

[ohdear]

I didn't know about the RLM but I just noticed that line SHOOT down and I had no idea why...This is scary stuff right here....

[ZBOIZ]

The Over could also be the play

[Robust]

The Over could also be the play

i agree.. for buffalo to compete, means they will both score.. ALOT!

Robust

[ohdear]

Was able to grab the Bills at +6 -110.

Considering the over as well..thanks guys!!

[TheAnswer03]

I don't see how this isn't a Patriots rout.

[ohdear]

I don't see how this isn't a Patriots rout.

..and thats why youre a square.

im kidding..but in all seriousness, it's hard to argue against betting on RLM. it makes sense logically and there are staggering numbers that back it up

[TheAnswer03]

I know but Buffalo is just awful. Plus the Pats are still playing for the playoffs.

[yisman]

^ the team that has more to play for often doesn't win.

See last week, for example.

Denver needed the win, but lost to Buffalo.

Jets needed the win, but lost to Seattle.

etc.

[nick2060]

Marshawn Lynch could potentially have a big game i suppose, Pats D isnt that solid. I think for the bills to win though it'd have to be more low scoring, how do you think the bills will win a shootout against moss welker faulk and those guys, when they got lee evans and marshawn lynch. Just seems if they win itll be 17-14 or somethin around those lines. Maybe a special teams return for a touchdown thrown in there for good measure

[madworld]

^ the team that has more to play for often doesn't win.

See last week, for example.

Denver needed the win, but lost to Buffalo.

Jets needed the win, but lost to Seattle.

etc.

Yea, but Bill Billichek doesn't coach either of those teams. I'm not saying that I am playing the Patriots. I just can't bet against them in this situation. I am starting to like the over espically since the weather is going to be semi-decent for this time of year in Buffalo (Not that it matters for the Patriots). I wouldn't doubt a field goal to win the game though.

[roasthawg]

Already on Buffalo!!!!!!!! I actually thought about waiting in the hopes that the line would move the other way and I could but a half a point cheaper and get them at +7 but I ended up taking them +6. Glad I did now although I don't really feel any more confident with the rlm...I've had plenty of similar plays that have lost.

[unit1884]

Pats have been destroying teams lately, they are rolling, I would not bet against a confident team like the Pats right now...

[unit1884]

^ the team that has more to play for often doesn't win.

See last week, for example.

Denver needed the win, but lost to Buffalo.

Jets needed the win, but lost to Seattle.

etc.

Hey yisman, you moron:

1) Denver is a horrible team, they cannot beat anyone
2) The Jets are not as bad as the Broncos, but the Seahawks are tough as hell @ home, even my Pats struggled with them.

Pats -5.5 to the bank people, this will be like last week, spread decided after the 1st qtr.

[cheesehead004]

I always laugh at people who are so greatly influenced by the line movements. The Patriots are the LOGICAL and EASY pick here. On fire, playing for their playoff lives, playing a mediocre team, only need to win by one TD. BUT HEY LETS BET ON A HORRIBLE TEAM TO BEAT THE PATRIOTS BECAUSE THE LINES MOVED GUYS!!1!

Now the Bills could certainly win with the points or even straight up. But it certainly wont be because of the line movements or the RLM.

I always say people are crazy to ever bet against NE or to count them out, but going against them because of the line movements is laughable.

New England will win EASILY.

[TheAnswer03]

^ Agreed.

[BigMoney]

I Like Packers-10

Giants +7


Pats -5.5

[porkchop817]

i'm still confident with my pats -5.5 play

[SexyMit]

Richard Seymour is not playing for the Pats

[VegasDave]

I've liked the Bills all along. Good luck to those of you brave enough to play them.

[africanroller]

Somebody better look at whos playing instead of worrying about RLM. Marshawn most likely wont play this week.

This will be a Pats beatdown.

[smitch124]

I think its typical for the line to tighten up a bit when the total drops 7 points...

[ebbearsfb1]

the over just dropped to 36 im thinkin bout getting it again. pats play good in bad weather

[Skanless1]

at the risk of sounding stupid, what does RLM stand for?

[blg123]

at the risk of sounding stupid, what does RLM stand for?

Reverse Line Movement

[Skanless1]

thanks blg... i'm still getting used to all the lingo around here.

[zackattack]

very windy in buffalo.........thats why line moved.......no way pats don't win this game easy. forget the rlm in this game it has to do with the weather not the money

[nick2060]

So just imagine how much better the bills chances become if nobody can throw the ball

[losturmarbles]

line moved because the spread number is tied to the total
and the total fell 6 points from last night

[unit1884]

Since when is a 3 yard dump to welker "passing the ball"

[africanroller]

The Pats will throw the ball which the Bills cannot do in Florida with 80 degrees and sunshine.


Without Marshawn this team is completely hopeless.

[Husker36]

The weather is sooooo bad there! Might end up 3-0!

[africanroller]

Pats will get a td

[Husker36]

I have the under big....... can I cash my ticket in early?

[cheesehead004]

Next time, why dont you actually try to analyze the game, and cap the game itself, not the movement of the lines, k?

Way to make a stupid bet when the Pats were a lock here and the only reason it wasnt 42-0 was cause of the weather.