[Machine Choice]

Machine Plays: 3-2

I'm not going to write all the reasons why Green Bay is a smart play, cause it would be too long. I'll just mention a couple. They had the #2 scoring defense last year against the 7th hardest schedule in the NFL. Some people don't think that schedule strength matters in the NFL, and if you are one of those people, then there's no reason for you to open my threads the rest of the year becasue I think schedule strength is critical.

Against the top 10 teams in the NFL last year Green Bay went 8-3 SU. New Orleans went 2-2 SU. Go ahead and think about that for a second, and then tell me if Green Bay will be intimidated tonight. Aaron Rodgers' QB rating at home was insane: 7-1 with a 112 rating, 19 TDs and 6 picks.

New Orleans will be without their 2nd leading receiver, without leading DE (Will Smith), and without DT Aubrayo Franklin.

Defending superbowl champs have gone 7-0 SU in the first week of the season over the last 7 years. Green Bay has covered 20 of their last 29, and covered 4 points (tonight's number) against each of their last 7 opponents (all playoff teams!). Their roster returns even better than last year (LY had 16 players on I-R roster).

Go ahead and hang a square around my neck, and by the end of the night there will be money dangling from it. New Orleans may be "hungrier" than Green Bay and Ingram could be a stud this year. But I don't bank on what "might be". I bank on results. Green Bay delivers results. Last year New Orleans was 18th in the league in sacks, and now they are without Will Smith. Aaron Rodgers will have time to find open receivers. Ballgame.

GREEN BAY -4

[khaden]

Let's cash machine$$$$$ u doing anything in college?

[Machine Choice]

Let's cash machine$$$$$ u doing anything in college?

I rough-glanced 'Zona and OSU but didn't have time to fully cap it and won't have time to. OSU looks like a good play, they return 9 offensive starters and 'Zona's top receiver (Criner) is out of the game. OSU's defense did not give up those TD's last week until "garbage time"; I think they'll be okay vs Zona. And obviously Weeden is going to go ape-shit bonkers at home vs a team that he just beat by 3 TDs less than 8 months ago on a neutral field. I'd be comfortable taking OSU at -14 or anything less, but again...I haven't capped the game in detail

[ZBOIZ]

Machine one big thing you have to realize! All those numbers are LAST YEARS numbers.

The Saints in 2009 that won the superbowl was different from the Saints in 2010.

GB 2009 was different from 2010.

That mean teams change every year, team stats never stay consistent each year. That's the point of the offseason to improve!

[celtics12]

any opinion at all on the 1Q? my best plays are usually my 1Q/1H plays, but im torn on this one..either going to be a scoring bonanza tonight or a real slow start since 1st game of the year and all..

[Machine Choice]

Machine one big thing you have to realize! All those numbers are LAST YEARS numbers.

The Saints in 2009 that won the superbowl was different from the Saints in 2010.

GB 2009 was different from 2010.

That mean teams change every year, team stats never stay consistent each year. That's the point of the offseason to improve!

Well the NFL is not like college where you have major player turnovers. In this game, The coaching staffs, skill players (with exception of Ingram) and lines are mainly the same from last year.

Let's see what happens.

[ZBOIZ]

It will be a close game I believe. But also Machine look at the small factors

Sproles in a saints offense
Big ass Sean Rodgers at nose tackle

I think GB wins a close game but I think Saints +5 is good value if I can get it

[Machine Choice]

It will be a close game I believe. But also Machine look at the small factors

Sproles in a saints offense
Big ass Sean Rodgers at nose tackle

I think GB wins a close game but I think Saints +5 is good value if I can get it

The Saints are dome-spolied. Lambeau effect will be in full force.

[figue]

[TxAaron]

I'm on the under.

[GREGREEK]

Saints -4.5. I may not spend much time im here but I tell you what... you will see Sproles and ingram flying out of the back field tonight. Saints by 10. CHA CHING!

[brewcrew2k]

Very worried about the packs offensive line... But I'm a homer

[freakydave]

Saints -4.5. I may not spend much time im here but I tell you what... you will see Sproles and ingram flying out of the back field tonight. Saints by 10. CHA CHING!

Wow I admire your confidence.Saints on the road over GB by 10 /GB has the better offence & defence & home field adv. GB-4 for me

[bigsmitty]

Agreed on the choice. Quality write-up Machine. By all accounts I've come across GB is actually slightly improved from last year...NO is definitely no pushover but it is what it is. Cheers

[onlooker]

The Saints are dome-spolied. Lambeau effect will be in full force.

If there is ever a time you want to visit Lambeau, it is this early. No harsh weather conditions. But I understand what your getting at.

You always on chalk?

Good luck M.C.

[Machine Choice]

If there is ever a time you want to visit Lambeau, it is this early. No harsh weather conditions. But I understand what your getting at.

You always on chalk?

Good luck M.C.

No, I took Miami Canes +4 a few days ago. I back favorites when the data tells me to do so.

[kufan11]

Saints have def improved, they have healthy backs this year. Should be a good game but GB better not be sleeping b/c saints looked good in their last preseason game.

[BetGrinder]

GL!

everybody with the packers tonight.....

[dontazeme1]

Machine Choice you seem to be very on top of your capping game....definitely going to be following this thread all season long

[GREGREEK]

Just remember how they left the field last year when they got bitch slapped in Seattle. Do you think they forgot? Just watch. Put your calculators and your graphs in the closet. Brees drank his nyquil last night and slept like a baby. Pay attention THEY HAVE NOT FORGOTTEN!

[edgereport]

**,

I joined this forum because of you. Your breakdowns are incredibly well thought out and easy to follow as far as reasoning. Keep it up sir. On the Packers tonight, with a small wager on OSU because I was leaning that way anyway!

ER

[suicidekings]

Machine one big thing you have to realize! All those numbers are LAST YEARS numbers.

The Saints in 2009 that won the superbowl was different from the Saints in 2010.

GB 2009 was different from 2010.

That mean teams change every year, team stats never stay consistent each year. That's the point of the offseason to improve!

As recently as yesterday, you were arguing that LSU had proven themselves superior to Florida and Alabama because they had beaten them last year... Zero credibility.

[BookieRobber]

great call machine..

[khaden]

Nice way to head into the weekend- $$$

[bigsmitty]

Ching-quality Machine.

[Machine Choice]

Machine Plays: 4-2

[onlooker]

Nice hit M.C.

[Machine Choice]

**,

On the Packers tonight, with a small wager on OSU because I was leaning that way anyway!

ER

Nice hit on the OSU game. I wish I had played it.

[TwoWays]

Hey Machine. Last night Angels pull through. Now Packs hold on. Think the gambling Gods on your side again.

[GREGREEK]

Well I spoke to soon! On to the next one. I must admit though. The Saints will win the next game straight up!

[hubie69]