[Santo4osu]

I know you might think I am crazy but I love the under on Florida State/Texas A&M at 125.

Right now in Vegas they are thinking the same as me!



This game features the second-lowest total of the day’s 16 games, and rightfully so, because both the Seminoles and Aggies are similar stylistically. First, neither team is particularly strong in the shooting department (Florida State shoots 43.6%; Texas A&M 44.4%) and neither has much of a perimeter game (Florida State is 33% on three-pointers; Texas A&M 33.8%). Additionally, both are average at best from the free-throw line (Florida State at 66.3%; Texas A&M slightly better at 70.4%).

On the defensive end of the court, though, both teams shine. The Seminoles hold opponents to 62.3 ppg, 36.4% shooting overall and 30.1% from the three-point arc, while A&M’s corresponding numbers are 61.5 ppg, 41.2% and 31.7%.

Both were predominantly “under” teams this year (combined 28-21-1 to the low side), with Florida State remaining low in four of its last five games (including a 52-51 loss to Virginia Tech in last Friday’s ACC tournament) and the Aggies falling short of the number in four of their last six (and those four “unders” had combined point totals of 108, 109, 115 and 120).

Beyond that, the Seminoles are riding “under” streaks of 22-6-2 in neutral-site games, 13-3-1 as a neutral-site underdog, 39-15-1 following a loss and 9-1-1 when playing on Fridays. Texas A&M counters with “under” runs of 5-2-1 at neutral sites, 5-0-1 as a neutral-site chalk, 12-4-1 as a favorite anywhere, 12-3-1 in non-league action, 12-3 following a loss and 8-3 when playing on Fridays.

Baring overtime, this one should come up way short the number, as I’d be surprised if the outcome is even close to 110 points.


Thanks and Good Luck!!!

[mattmc419]

Nice writeup. Looks like a good pick.

Where are you getting the line at 125 though? 5dimes has it at 122.

[BiffTFinancial]

i agree, under looks good here. nice write-up. BOL to you today.

[letsgo]

You can't find it at 125, it is 122.

[tad0matic]

you'd have to tease it to 125 at my book.

[kcburg]

121.5 at via The Greek

[tshizzle]

im drinkin the the koolaid too.

[alamo]

121 here. I think he is telling porkie pies when he says 125

[betme]

for you guys that didn't know...it opens at 126.5 4 days ago at pinny

03/14/11 10:52:05am 126˝ Over -108 Under -108

[xxxvince]

good luck

[the12thman]

love the under and love the Ags to roll by 4

[jds07v]

If you like the under, take it first half under. FSU plays over for the 2nd half, which puts the game O/U in jeopardy. This has been the trend all year for florida state.

[chelle0113]

the under looks good here!

[Santo4osu]

I should have went bigger!!