I haven't done any hard research on this yet but I'm wondering what everyone's thoughts are about my idea. As I'm sure you're all aware, Bodog takes forever and a day to post spreads and totals for their games (if they post them at all). On top of that, they only post moneylines an hour or two before tipoff (once again, if they post them at all).
One thing I've started noticing is that Bodog seems to only post moneylines on games they think the favorite has a chance to lose straight up. Examples: Ohio State and Michigan State were double digit favorites @ NW and at home vs IU, respectively. In both games, OSU and MSU were -650 favorites. Both teams won by a single point, MSU in overtime. Yet there have been plenty of games where the spread was less than 10 points and no moneyline, like last week when UNC was -6 @ NC State and UNC won comfortably in a game that was never in doubt even when NC State was up 10 early.
So my idea is, take the underdog and the points in any game where Bodog posts a moneyline. Thoughts?