1. #1
    ksatch
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    (14-12) UC Santa Barbara @ (18-10) Long Beach St.

    UC Santa Barbara is having trouble ATS and SU in conference play (2-8 ATS and 4-6 SU). They especially have trouble with teams that like to run up and down the court. That's The Beach's bread and butter. On 12/28 in Santa Barbara the Niners dropped 71 on a Gaucho squad that looked like a deer in the headlights. +7 rebound margin went to LBSU as well FG49% (24-49). Look for more of the same from LBSU at home, setting a fast tempo and leaving the Gauchos playing a game of catch-up that they can't handle.

    Pick : LBSU -6.5

    Posting Record (1-2)

  2. #2
    romoney
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    have to wait til morning to decide on this one...looks good tho

  3. #3
    ksatch
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    looks like KENPOM has Long Beach 75-66

  4. #4
    ksatch
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    Just to give you a little more statistics which supports the pick:

    Average score for UCSB last 10 conference games : 67.8 (factoring out overtime minutes in 2 games @home, 70.4 with overtime)
    Average score for LBSU last 10 conference games : 75

    Average score for UCSB last 5 conference away games : 62.2
    Average score for LBSU last 5 conference home games : 69.6
    Last edited by ksatch; 02-26-11 at 06:08 AM. Reason: correcting math

  5. #5
    VicVega91
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    best of luck tonight !!

  6. #6
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by ksatch View Post
    T

    Average score for UCSB last 5 conference away games : 50.4
    That's not correct.

  7. #7
    ksatch
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    Quote Originally Posted by BernardMadoff View Post
    That's not correct.
    you were right, I corrected the math.....apologies

  8. #8
    ksatch
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    Long Beach 71 - Santa Barbara 53

  9. #9
    biggamerife21
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    I like Long Beach State alot but wouldnt put them on my 4 because they have struggled to put teams away all year. I think you on the right side tho my opinion

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