[ebbearsfb1]

what the hell happened to morehead ?

[Aristocles]

Looks like an epic collapse, using the colloquialisms of my kids.

[LockPickMaster]

Looks like an epic collapse, using the colloquialisms of my kids.

give me the good news

[ebbearsfb1]

more head collapsed, denver another over time loser (wtf is it with dogs that cant cover in ot), dont even mention tennessee state

[TRE1968]

whats the record of this system

[Aristocles]

Tonight:
9-8-1 by my count. . .

[soxwin]

Small winning night!! No complaints there

Keep up the good work LGO

[Domer]

whats the record of this system

From its inception last month, it is 194-132-8, or 59.5% winning.

Over the past week, it is winning at a 55.5% pace and is up 7.3 units on 109 units risked.

It has, however, lost two of the past three days, with today only being a gain of .2 units.

It's entirely plausible that the initial success was variance (i.e. luck), and that the model is now slowly regressing to the mean.

[HedgeHog]

The next few days should be interesting, especially Saturday. Let's close the week out strong.

[Cranium]

It's still making money.. that's all that counts in my book

[darkstar77]

From its inception last month, it is 194-132-8, or 59.5% winning.

Over the past week, it is winning at a 55.5% pace and is up 7.3 units on 109 units risked.

It has, however, lost two of the past three days, with today only being a gain of .2 units.

It's entirely plausible that the initial success was variance (i.e. luck), and that the model is now slowly regressing to the mean.

With all the plays that the model spits out its bound to come back to the mean for sure. No model can play that many games and win at the ridiculous rate it started at.

With that being said I'm still thankful to LGO for those first couple weeks. Just not sure I can keep following all these picks for up or down a few units each night on 15-30 picks.

[Lets go out]

Remeber...The proper way to follow ...if thats what you choose...is to figure on playing 1-3% of bankroll per play.....above that ...never play more than 20-30% of bankroll on a set of plays.....If you have a 3000$ bankroll.....and we have 30 plays....33$ per play would be the suggested amount.....this isnt a get rich quick system...although some have tried to use it that way....we are trying to see + gains every day....90% of our days have been positive...we have also been trying to cull games to reduce the # of games played.....seems likethat is not working out to well....for now i think its best if i just post the system plays and if it is too many games than just monitor that day....although if you follow the betting model im not sure why the # o games would be a problem... you just have to adjust the amount per play to get you to the 20-30% overall risked on a given set of plays....Before each day we have been able to make a good guess at the total amount of plays we will have per day....should help anyone who is calculating per play amounts for the day

As always GL
LGO

[BrewMaster]

From its inception last month, it is 194-132-8, or 59.5% winning.

Over the past week, it is winning at a 55.5% pace and is up 7.3 units on 109 units risked.

It has, however, lost two of the past three days, with today only being a gain of .2 units.

It's entirely plausible that the initial success was variance (i.e. luck), and that the model is now slowly regressing to the mean.

Couldn't of said it better myself. Glad I was part of the positive standard deviation!

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Yeah too many plays for me and if you dont play them all you risk ....but when vegasvixan and lgo have same plays....thats hitting at a much higher %....

[Tklane21]

I dont understand the logic behind claims that picking so many games will cause a regression to the mean. If you can pick 5 games at a 55% win rate, why can't you pick 10 at the same rate? Why not 20?

I understand how daunting a system like this can be on the surface, but so far the end result has been pretty consistent

[Cantstopmenow]

Can't wait to see my book's face when I show up to bet the tournament this year!!

you pick too many games though, DUCY?

[losemyloot]

I will take 55.5% any day of the week. It is more than covering the vig especially if you are playing at reduced juice. Now if the system starts having a few weeks at 50% or below then I will start to wonder.

[spongerat]

geez If you believe in his system then follow it. The sample size has been small and far from significant so you can't really say whether its a winner or loser but if you are worried it means you're the type that doesn't have a firm grasp on statistics and I guarentee you will lose all your money eventualy

[chunk]

I dont understand the logic behind claims that picking so many games will cause a regression to the mean. If you can pick 5 games at a 55% win rate, why can't you pick 10 at the same rate? Why not 20?

I understand how daunting a system like this can be on the surface, but so far the end result has been pretty consistent

I think that you are correct here. I would say that there are 2 points of emphasis First is that regression was inevitable with 55% being a much more likely success rate with any system that works at all. And second is that with so many plays the variance can be wild. I'm sure that is why LGO is constantly talking money management.

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Thanks again for a plus night LGO. Last Friday you had a great night. Lets do it again tonight!

[timmyboy34243]

if you can continue to hit 55.5% i can only ask you to pick 200 games a week instead of 20. keep up the good work.....

[Royfus777]

I went up a unit from last night, not complaining at all.