1. #36
    thfootball
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    better start sticking to home favorites with things coming to an end looks like to me. Hopefully your not betting any money and just making picks. I could never follow you. Way too many individual picks.

  2. #37
    AbeFroman
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    Hi Vai,

    I'm going to take money off these plays for the time being to see if we can catch a reversal here that stays profitable.

    Over the same two weeks period last season, the reversal was 30-14 ATS, so while we have a small sample size, it's a start. That being said, we don't want to data mine, so I will compare past seasons at the conclusion of this one when I get some more time.

  3. #38
    AbeFroman
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    Per the above post, going to post all games with short spreads, and we will see what hits at the more consistent clip from here on out.
    Tier A:
    Memphis +1 at East Carolina -1.5
    Colorado +1.5 at Iowa State -1.5
    Eastern Michigan +1.5 at Northern Illinois -1.5
    Tier B:
    Florida State +2.5 vs. UNC -2.5
    Miami +1 vs Maryland -1

  4. #39
    AbeFroman
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    Tier A:
    Memphis +1 at East Carolina -1.5
    Colorado +1.5 at Iowa State -1.5
    Eastern Michigan +1.5 at Northern Illinois -1.5
    Tier B:
    Florida State +2.5 vs. UNC -2.5
    Miami +1 vs Maryland -1

    Well an interesting night.

    The normal system:
    Tier A:
    0-3
    Tier B:
    2-0
    Week:
    Tier A:
    1-9
    Tier B:
    2-0

  5. #40
    AbeFroman
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    Quote Originally Posted by thfootball View Post
    better start sticking to home favorites with things coming to an end looks like to me. Hopefully your not betting any money and just making picks. I could never follow you. Way too many individual picks.
    Hey TH,

    Thanks for stopping by.

    I picked the system up mid-way through the season, and by pulling out now, it still leaves me with some profit.

    When I first started posting this system's picks a little while back, I did it with the premise of a belief that I needed to reaffirm come the off-season with past statistical data so I could see if there was an edge and not just data mining from this season.

    Will check back in the off-season with updated information, but that's my rationale. Thanks!

  6. #41
    AbeFroman
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    Here we go for tonight, 3-3-11 plays:
    Tier A:
    Oregon +1.5 at Arizona State +1.5
    Bradley +1 at Drake -1
    Mercer +1.5 at Lipscomb
    Tier B:
    Seton Hall +3.5 vs St. Johns -3.5
    La. Tech +2.5 vs. Nevada -2

  7. #42
    IAMWINNER
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    Quote Originally Posted by AbeFroman View Post
    Here we go for tonight, 3-3-11 plays: Tier A: Oregon +1.5 at Arizona State +1.5 Bradley +1 at Drake -1 Mercer +1.5 at Lipscomb Tier B: Seton Hall +3.5 vs St. Johns -3.5 La. Tech +2.5 vs. Nevada -2
    Which team are you suppose to bet on

  8. #43
    AbeFroman
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    Hey IAMWINNER,

    The premise of this thread was to bet short dogs, however, I've noticed over the last week and a half to two weeks that short dogs have gone down the crapper, which was consistent with this time last season. So I am no longer playing these picks, merely tracking for the purpose of further research for next season. Sorry I am of no help in the pick making process.

  9. #44
    AbeFroman
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    Tier A:
    1-3
    Tier B:
    2-0

    Results from last night above from a record standpoint

    Week:
    Tier A:
    3-12
    Tier B:
    4-0

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