Air Force has been dominant from a point spread perspective in conference play. They have also done better lately against the spread. New Mexico has been a disappointment for the most part this season, and they have lost their last four road games, including against weaker teams. The Lobos are also coming off of their biggest win of the season, a huge home win against a top 10 team in BYU. Air Force plays very well at home as well. Look for the Falcons to get the home win.