1. 01-31-11 11:32 PM #1
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    Tuesday leans

    Ole Miss +7
    Wisconsin -4
    Vanderbilt +4
    Air Force +3.5
    Houston +2.5
    Colorado -7
    Boston College +2.5
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  2. 01-31-11 11:35 PM #2
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    I really like all of these. Only two I'm wavering on are Vandy and Wisconsin.
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  3. 01-31-11 11:37 PM #3
    Chong Wizard
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    I like Boston College, Houston & Air Force... also thinking about Indiana St.
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  4. 01-31-11 11:40 PM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I really like all of these. Only two I'm wavering on are Vandy and Wisconsin.
    They just missed the cut. Might add them -- waiting to see if Broke Lenders puts a "rubberband" hex on them.

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  5. 01-31-11 11:43 PM #5
    Wilforth
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    Air Force +3.5
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  6. 01-31-11 11:49 PM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Air Force +3.5
    I love this play too, Wil. Probably my favorite of the group.
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  7. 02-01-11 12:00 AM #7
    lunchbawks
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    Add Creighton and you're good to go.
    Backing Creighton, Vanderbilt, Colorado, Houston, and Air Force already
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  8. 02-01-11 12:01 AM #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    Add Creighton and you're good to go.
    Backing Creighton, Vanderbilt, Colorado, Houston, and Air Force already
    If you like Creighton, wait -- you'll get a better number.

    Line's already dropped a full point at some shops.
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  9. 02-01-11 12:15 AM #9
    CBASS
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    Wisconsin is a strong play of mine and Kansas will destroy Texas Tech (remember, Kansas just finished watching the Texas game and heard all of the commentary about how great the Longhorns are. I think Kansas makes a statement with a big blowout to remind the experts that they are ranked higher than Texas for a reason). GL with the leans you make as plays NoCoin.
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  10. 02-01-11 12:22 AM #10
    loudpacmanjones
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    I'm with cbass on Kansas tomorrow.

    And feeling great with nocoin on vandy...
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  11. 02-01-11 01:15 AM #11
    agharah1
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    Ole Miss' defense is Auburn/LSU bad. As much as Kentucky has struggled on the road they should have no problem covering that. I'd advise against fading New Mexico for the time being, Drew Gordon just became eligible and he went 7-11 vs. BYU in the Lobo's come from behind win. I definitely wouldn't fade New Mexico against an Air Force team that lost to Colorado College. Losing to Colorado College in Hockey is one thing, but basketball? I'm not sure Colorado's defense is good enough to cover 7 pts vs. Iowa State. I'd prefer the over in that game, assuming Iowa State can run at elevation.
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  12. 02-01-11 01:19 AM #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by agharah1 View Post
    Ole Miss' defense is Auburn/LSU bad. As much as Kentucky has struggled on the road they should have no problem covering that. I'd advise against fading New Mexico for the time being, Drew Gordon just became eligible and he went 7-11 vs. BYU in the Lobo's come from behind win. I definitely wouldn't fade New Mexico against an Air Force team that lost to Colorado College. Losing to Colorado College in Hockey is one thing, but basketball? I'm not sure Colorado's defense is good enough to cover 7 pts vs. Iowa State. I'd prefer the over in that game, assuming Iowa State can run at elevation.
    Thanks for the comments.

    The Colorado-ISU game should be in the 150's. I suck at CBB totals, though.
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  13. 02-01-11 01:29 AM #13
    Dukebluejms
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    7 points is a lot for a mediocre Colorado team even against a struggling iowa st team. It would definitely be at the bottom of my list.
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  14. 02-01-11 04:49 AM #14
    Vaioice
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    3 5* rated plays for 2/1.

    5* 1H PENN ST +4.5

    Sunday, 02/01/2011 Penn St vs. Illinois
    Favoring: Penn st on the first half line.
    Play Against - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (Illinois) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent after scoring 55 points or less in a loss to a conference rival
    (24-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating=3*)
    The situation's record this season is: (1-0 0 units).

    5* AIR FORCE +4 -109
    2* AIR FORCE ML +145


    New MEx off of huge win over BYU. perfect let down spot.
    New Mexico is 1-4 SU n ATS in its last 5 games on the road games.
    Air Force is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Air Force is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New Mexico


    5* FLORIDA ST -18 -115
    Seminoles coming off embarrassing loss @ home to Clemson. They'll want to prove it was just a mental lapse.
    Should have no problem coverin 18. Will probably be up 18 @ half.

    • Demon Deacons are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
    • Demon Deacons are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    • Demon Deacons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
    • Demon Deacons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    • Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
    • Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.

    -vai
    Last edited by Vaioice; 02-01-11 at 04:51 AM. Reason: sorry didn't mean to intrude on ur thread.
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  15. 02-01-11 04:59 AM #15
    DblDeuce
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    I like Penn State in this spot as well.
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  16. 02-01-11 05:35 AM #16
    davus4
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    hey, what about Creighton -4 @Bradley?

    Bradley generally loses by a bunch of points to better teams .. and a few games ago they lost by 13 points @Creighton. they are losing like it's the coolest thing in the world.
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  17. 02-01-11 05:45 AM #17
    ThingsFallApart
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    Kansas -7.5 1H
    WICH St -2 1H
    UNC -2.5


    Hate to take the road teams but you cant pick an inferior team just because theyre home
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  18. 02-01-11 05:48 AM #18
    jagaf22
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    Quote Originally Posted by DblDeuce View Post
    I like Penn State in this spot as well.
    The only thing that concerns me about Penn State is the team plane diverted to Evansville Ind last night and will try to bus 200 miles to Champaign today. Not sure if this one get's played tonight or not.

    http://blogs.sj-r.com/illinitalk/ind...ng-a-marathon/
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  19. 02-01-11 10:18 AM #19
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    Don't like that Air Force is a public play, but oh well.

    Adding:
    Bradley +4
    Illinois -8
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  20. 02-01-11 11:04 AM #20
    Ice House
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    3 Team ML parlay take Illinois, Wisconsin, and Kansas. You will win what you put down.
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  21. 02-01-11 11:09 AM #21
    Ice House
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    Also lets discuss this BC vs UNC game....

    UNC has been coming on strong as of late but they are not as good on the road.... I don't know anything about BC do they shoot well from the 3 point line? UNC is tough to score against down low
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  22. 02-01-11 11:29 AM #22
    Regul8er
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    Whenever Ive been against BC, they've been lights out from beyond the arc. When I've been on BC, they've been ice cold.
    A few of their bigs like to play inside out.
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  23. 02-01-11 11:36 AM #23
    Ice House
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    Might have to pull the trigger on BC.... I like betting on home dogs especially with the 9pm start time , these fans should be drunk and rowdy and jumping around
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  24. 02-01-11 03:55 PM #24
    mlb
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    Any plays for sure yet?
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  25. 02-01-11 03:59 PM #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by mlb View Post
    Any plays for sure yet?
    Nothing yet.
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  26. 02-01-11 05:05 PM #26
    nyplayer33
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    update pls
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  27. 02-01-11 05:14 PM #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Don't like that Air Force is a public play, but oh well.

    Adding:
    Bradley +4
    Illinois -8
    Should've played the Braves. Had a feeling on that one.
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  28. 02-01-11 05:19 PM #28
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    First play:

    Illinois/Colorado/Wisconsin ML parlay (+137)

    I know this is dangerous, but I feel very confident that these three teams win tonight.
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  29. 02-01-11 05:27 PM #29
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    Play 2:

    Ole Miss +7

    I really want to take Air Force, but as a public dog....
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  30. 02-01-11 05:52 PM #30
    BiffTFinancial
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    no coin, i like AF too. are they really that public? 49% at sbr and sportsinsights. they are 63% at vegasinsider. i dunno, i think that New Mexico is shaky on the road, AF is much improved and i love the letdown spot off the BYU upset.
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  31. 02-01-11 05:55 PM #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    no coin, i like AF too. are they really that public? 49% at sbr and sportsinsights. they are 63% at vegasinsider. i dunno, i think that New Mexico is shaky on the road, AF is much improved and i love the letdown spot off the BYU upset.
    62% side/88% ML from what I'm seeing. Not good, Biff. Fading the public on a dog is about as close to a gambling certainty as you can find.
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  32. 02-01-11 05:56 PM #32
    mlb
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    im seein 59%/ 93%ML
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  33. 02-01-11 06:20 PM #33
    BiffTFinancial
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    i hear you, fellas, and i agree, don't like being on a big public dog. just wondering where you're getting your numbers from since mine apparently aren't so accurate. i know that sbrodds can be a bit spotty, but when sportsinsights agree, i figure it's more reliable. you make a fair point that i'm not taking into account ML.
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  34. 02-01-11 06:23 PM #34
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    i hear you, fellas, and i agree, don't like being on a big public dog. just wondering where you're getting your numbers from since mine apparently aren't so accurate. i know that sbrodds can be a bit spotty, but when sportsinsights agree, i figure it's more reliable. you make a fair point that i'm not taking into account ML.
    SBROdds is apparently just 5Dimes numbers

    Check Covers.com and/or Sportsbook.com -- pretty consistent at these spots. It's weak that this is the best SBR can come up with, because the numbers are consistently off by a huge margin.
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  35. 02-01-11 06:28 PM #35
    spredzgeek
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    creighton lost 69 61
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