1. #1
    I'mAWinner
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    1.16.2011 Sunday CBB, "45-20 ats Bears @ Braves"

    Hi, it's VR again. Sorry to all the followers on the forums, awful day yesterday 0-2 ats.
    Today we turn this around and put us on the winning side, so here we go.

    Missouri State -10 @ Bradley,

    The Bradley Braves have struggled this season, especially at the offensive end. Their inability
    to create has really hurt them at the mid-way way point of the season. Six game losing streak for the Braves coming into tonight's league battle. Their offense is averageing around 60 ppg, their defense is giving up around 65 ppg.

    Missouri St who is 6-0 in conference play at this point. Ranked #44 in the RPI (Bradley #252), is red hot at this point of the season with 8 straight wins. Bradley plays a zone defense because they just don't have the players to play man-man "D". Of my 5 systems that basically point out all my plays, I'm seeing an 16 point advantage fot the Bears.
    Bradleys biggest problem is Turn-overs in the tune of over 20 per game. Missouri St averages around 8 per game, in my opinion thats how we will get ahead and stay ahead in this contest.
    Missouri St. 71-52 Bradley

    Missouri State -10
    45-20 ats

    Good luck to all, have a great day !
    Points Awarded:

    P25 gave I'mAWinner 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    flashpgd gave I'mAWinner 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    PP gave I'mAWinner 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    P25
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    Thanks VR! Love the return of the write-up!

  3. #3
    linedrivr
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    tough day yesterday pal. It happens to all of us. I like the pick today. BOL.

  4. #4
    I'mAWinner
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    Quote Originally Posted by P25 View Post
    Thanks VR! Love the return of the write-up!
    Your welcome, thanx for points ! Your a gentleman.

  5. #5
    flashpgd
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    Thanks VR. I appreciate you hard work. Let's turn it around today.

  6. #6
    I'mAWinner
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    ACC Sunday Night Hoops,
    North Carolina @ Georgia Tech

    My dear friend Tim Brando on the call for Fox Sports Network !

  7. #7
    I'mAWinner
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    Let's get it going to day.

  8. #8
    WINNERS ONLY
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    lets start a big winning streak good luck today.

  9. #9
    KashKow
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    good luck today buddy hope you can end you cold streak

  10. #10
    Tomasitas
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    It's big public play with 71% on Missouri State

  11. #11
    I'mAWinner
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    Thanx guy's, I'm very mad at me ! I don't lose like what happen yesterday. Need a big night from Missouri State.

  12. #12
    ebbearsfb1
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    Just what I've noticed but from an outside perspective, it seems like most of ur plays are always the very public... why do u think that is?

  13. #13
    Tomasitas
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Just what I've noticed but from an outside perspective, it seems like most of ur plays are always the very public... why do u think that is?
    I saw the same thing, interesting thing

  14. #14
    Ca$hfloW
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    Why does it matter that its a public play, if it wins then it wins. I'm confused why you care?

  15. #15
    3GCOVERAGE
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    If 71% of the public is on Missouri st and the line is still going down id say Vegas knows something.

  16. #16
    LockPickMaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by 3GCOVERAGE View Post
    If 71% of the public is on Missouri st and the line is still going down id say Vegas knows something.
    If everyone followed that theory we'd all be rich

  17. #17
    3GCOVERAGE
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    and another thing Ive noticed about the followers of this forum are that everyone bites your head off if you question a play made by Winner. This is a forum made to discuss things to make an informed decision. No one ever tells Winner they dont like a play of his. There is rarely any discussion in any of his threads it is simply just winner telling his pick and then nine people kissing his a** and two ppl pissed after he loses a play. I know winner is good but im sure sometimes even he doesnt think of something or may not realize something.

  18. #18
    3GCOVERAGE
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    Quote Originally Posted by LockPickMaster View Post
    If everyone followed that theory we'd all be rich
    You are right but it is still something to consider. Doesn't work in all cases but if there is a lot of public action on one side and the line is still moving in that sides favor then you better start to look. Its common sense to think of it as Vegas might like the other side.

  19. #19
    3GCOVERAGE
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    Or maybe they dont like money and they just want everyone to have a better line so we can all be prosperous.

  20. #20
    southie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ca$hfloW View Post
    Why does it matter that its a public play, if it wins then it wins. I'm confused why you care?
    Huh?

    Please take your head out of your behind and re-read what you just wrote. ty

  21. #21
    I'mAWinner
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    The line opened at 11 yesterday evening, its now at 10. In my opinoin if 71% of the public is backing Missouri St. the line would be around -14 or so.

    I place my wagers at Las Vegas Hilton and I was told almost zero people are on this game.

  22. #22
    I'mAWinner
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Just what I've noticed but from an outside perspective, it seems like most of ur plays are always the very public... why do u think that is?
    If you don't like the play, please don't play it !

  23. #23
    Hexum
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    Whats wrong with picking public plays lol, id say public wins 50% of the time, just gotta pick your spots. VR knows how to pick those spots see why he is 45-20 lol.

  24. #24
    Small Timer
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    Agreed, A good play is a good play even if the publics on it. I'm fairly new to this and was scared off of betting Canisius last night because it seemed a very public pick, but they ended up covering like I thought they would.

    I have noticed a lot of these are public plays, but the right ones win. That said I don't think anyone is trying to bash Winner, just starting a discussion.

  25. #25
    Julian9
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    good luck with the bradley play

  26. #26
    P25
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    Quote Originally Posted by I'mAWinner View Post
    The line opened at 11 yesterday evening, its now at 10. In my opinoin if 71% of the public is backing Missouri St. the line would be around -14 or so. I place my wagers at Las Vegas Hilton and I was told almost zero people are on this game.
    I gotta think this is a big thing...this game is not exactly Duke vs UNC. I don't think most of the public really cares about Mizz St/Bradley. Don't see this as a huge "public play"...

  27. #27
    southpaw74
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    Sbr does show 71% on mizzoo state but I don't know where they pull numbers from? We all know that public favs can win but lines aren't as sharp and dollars not as big on these games like they are on major games.

  28. #28
    3GCOVERAGE
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    Quote Originally Posted by P25 View Post
    I gotta think this is a big thing...this game is not exactly Duke vs UNC. I don't think most of the public really cares about Mizz St/Bradley. Don't see this as a huge "public play"...
    The public refers to the ppl actually betting the game.

  29. #29
    P25
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    Quote Originally Posted by 3GCOVERAGE View Post
    The public refers to the ppl actually betting the game.
    I realize that...just saying I don't believe - and I could be wrong - the numbers are very big in this case.

  30. #30
    LLXC
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    sbrodds is from public data available from 5D.

  31. #31
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by I'mAWinner View Post
    Hi, it's VR again. Sorry to all the followers on the forums, awful day yesterday 0-2 ats.
    Today we turn this around and put us on the winning side, so here we go.

    Missouri State -10 @ Bradley,

    The Bradley Braves have struggled this season, especially at the offensive end. Their inability
    to create has really hurt them at the mid-way way point of the season. Six game losing streak for the Braves coming into tonight's league battle. Their offense is averageing around 60 ppg, their defense is giving up around 65 ppg.

    Missouri St who is 6-0 in conference play at this point. Ranked #44 in the RPI (Bradley #252), is red hot at this point of the season with 8 straight wins. Bradley plays a zone defense because they just don't have the players to play man-man "D". Of my 5 systems that basically point out all my plays, I'm seeing an 16 point advantage fot the Bears.
    Bradleys biggest problem is Turn-overs in the tune of over 20 per game. Missouri St averages around 8 per game, in my opinion thats how we will get ahead and stay ahead in this contest.
    Missouri St. 71-52 Bradley

    Missouri State -10
    45-20 ats

    Good luck to all, have a great day !
    Where are you getting that Bradley averages over 20 turnovers a game, its false information.

  32. #32
    ebbearsfb1
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    I never said I do or don't like the play... I simply asked a question... don't see the harm in that..

  33. #33
    I'mAWinner
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    Quote Originally Posted by BernardMadoff View Post
    Where are you getting that Bradley averages over 20 turnovers a game, its false information.

    Is it ! I tend to believe Bradleys SPORTS DEPARTMENT more then I believe you !

    Actually your 100% right ! 15 turnover's OVERALL PER GAME

    There last SIX In Conference, Over 20 Per Game !

  34. #34
    10mDive08
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    Haha this banter is ridiculous. Let's get em Winner.

  35. #35
    Rick22
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    Why whenever someone is sucessful do we always have doubters, haters, and pessimists. This guy could lose the next ten and still be up a bunch. It just gets old.

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