[DuncHen22]

For my NCAA basketball plays, I'm going to follow Ken Pomeroy's ratings instead of AccuScore. All I'm doing is taking Ken Pom's predictions and finding the difference between his spread and the given line.

I'm not playing these right now, especially this early in the season. I'm just testing out this system.

For now, if it differs by more than 4, I'll share it. I'll get more stringent if I feel that's too weak a cut-off.

Also for now, I'm playing everything for 1 unit of fake money.

The number in the parentheses is the number of points the line deviates from Ken Pom's predictions. For example, the strongest play of the day seems to be UNLV -21, who Ken Pom predicts to win against UC-R by 30 pts (79-49).

St Joe's +1.5 (4.5)
Samford +3.5 (4.5)
Xavier -16 (4.5)
Virginia -10 (5)
Citadel +15 (5)
Northwestern -9 (5)
Colorado -20 (5)
Georgia Southern +25 (6)
Texas Tech -23 (7)
UNLV -21 (9)

Not sure if anyone has tried this before, and if so, had any success but we'll see!

[DuncHen22]

By the way, I'm leaving for the weekend tomorrow and probably won't have time to do any more games over the weekend so whether these are good or bad, just because I don't post any follow-ups doesn't mean I've abandoned it.

[DuncHen22]

St Joe's +1.5 (4.5) LOSS
Samford +3.5 (4.5) WIN
Xavier -16 (4.5) LOSS
Virginia -10 (5) WIN
Citadel +15 (5) LOSS
Northwestern -9 (5)WIN
Colorado -20 (5) LOSS
Georgia Southern +25 (6) LOSS
Texas Tech -23 (7) LOSS
UNLV -21 (9) WIN

Don't think I'll have time to cap today's plays but just because I went 4-6 today means I'm giving up. Maybe it was just a bad day. Maybe I need to tighten up the stipulations. Maybe 9 should be the cut-off and I make this an more exclusive system. We'll see. The season is long.