1. 03-20-08 01:48 AM #1
    stingyrivers
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    what do you guys think?

    got a prop at my book.....

    Will a 14, 15 or 16 seed win a game?

    yes -125

    no +100


    this is essentially the same as a ML Parlay on all the 1 2 3 seeds, except the payout by the prop would be better....

    i am thinking of going kind of large on betting NO.....

    what are the realistic chances of this cashing??

    in the past 6 years, 1 2 3 seeds are 70 - 2 SU

    the obvious worry in the bet is whether UGA continues it's miracle run and sneaks up on Xavier, the only good thing about that is it is the first game in the tourney, so you would know the answer to that right away

    like i said i am thinking of staking a large portion of my roll on this prop, would appreciate your feedback?
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  2. 03-20-08 01:50 AM #2
    WestsidePete
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    what is the payout on this one...12 team ml parlay instead of the prop bet?? the same??
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  3. 03-20-08 01:52 AM #3
    stingyrivers
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    no.... best i can figure ML parlay is about -105
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  4. 03-20-08 01:54 AM #4
    stingyrivers
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    greek hasnt put up ML for UCLA or Memphis, but the other ten calculate to -108.... anyone got ML for UCLA and Memphis??

    i wouldnt mind just doing a big ML Parlay on all the ML for 1, 2 and 3 seeds leaving out xavier, as long as the payout is at least 80 per 100
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  5. 03-20-08 01:56 AM #5
    diogee
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    Memphis is -8000 but nothing on UCLA
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  6. 03-20-08 02:05 AM #6
    WestsidePete
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    Quote Originally Posted by stingyrivers View Post
    greek hasnt put up ML for UCLA or Memphis, but the other ten calculate to -108.... anyone got ML for UCLA and Memphis??

    i wouldnt mind just doing a big ML Parlay on all the ML for 1, 2 and 3 seeds leaving out xavier, as long as the payout is at least 80 per 100
    I like the play may do this myself
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  7. 03-20-08 02:07 AM #7
    myr10
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    ucla is -16000 at diamond and -30000 at 5 dimes
    Last edited by myr10; 03-20-08 at 02:10 AM.
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  8. 03-20-08 02:12 AM #8
    rjt721
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    Interesting bet.

    UGA over Xavier is the one I think many would point to as the most likely upset, but I don't see it. Xavier's a very experienced, well-balanced team that I think makes a deep run in the tourney.

    Wisky's always susceptible to an upset considering their lack of overall talent, but CS Fullerton isn't disciplined enough to beat them. Wisky might force 25 turnovers in this game.

    Cornell can hang with Stanford for a bit if they're on from the perimeter, but the Lopez twins will destroy them and Stanford will pull away eventually.

    I can't see any other 1, 2, or 3 seed having any trouble in the opening round.

    I like 'No' +100.

    Good luck.
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  9. 03-20-08 02:14 AM #9
    myr10
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    12 team ml parlay with all 1,2,3 seeds at 5 dimes pays out at -115
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  10. 03-20-08 03:11 AM #10
    stingyrivers
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    wow.... maybe i shouldnt have let the cat outta the bag.... did u guys hit the prop bet hard at the greek????

    all of a sudden no is at -120
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  11. 03-20-08 03:13 AM #11
    imgv94
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    The only one that concerns me is Xavier.. Can't imagine the other ones losing. Stanford is going to tap that ass.. yep
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  12. 03-20-08 03:16 AM #12
    WestsidePete
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    Quote Originally Posted by imgv94 View Post
    The only one that concerns me is Xavier.. Can't imagine the other ones losing. Stanford is going to tap that ass.. yep
    I agree...I have placed Xavier to win this one on my bracket but with my money can't add them here...need to see Georgia lose...
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  13. 03-20-08 03:19 AM #13
    stingyrivers
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    ok.... now there is no value in the prop bet


    might roll with this, whattdya think guys?


    Kansas
    Duke
    Texas
    Tenn
    UNC
    Gtown
    Wisc
    Stanf
    Lville
    Uconn

    pays at -125
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  14. 03-20-08 03:24 AM #14
    imgv94
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    stingy my man what book is this Greek?

    I just might get me a piece of that. Only -125?
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  15. 03-20-08 03:33 AM #15
    stingyrivers
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    yup at the greek gv.....


    lay 100 wins 77
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  16. 03-20-08 03:34 AM #16
    stingyrivers
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    its actually -127

    but i am scratchin my head too, i can't see any of these teams losing, might drop a lot on this bet
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  17. 03-20-08 03:36 AM #17
    stingyrivers
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    kicking myself now, it actually payed even better yesterday, since then the Uconn line went from -700 to -850.... shoulda locked it in then
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  18. 03-20-08 03:37 AM #18
    WestsidePete
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    Quote Originally Posted by stingyrivers View Post
    ok.... now there is no value in the prop bet


    might roll with this, whattdya think guys?


    Kansas
    Duke
    Texas
    Tenn
    UNC
    Gtown
    Wisc
    Stanf
    Lville
    Uconn

    pays at -125
    solid...book it...
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  19. 03-20-08 03:39 AM #19
    imgv94
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    Let's do it guys.. Fuk it we are a team and I'm rolling with my crew here..
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  20. 03-20-08 03:39 AM #20
    stingyrivers
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    thanks....

    ok, i am officially dropping roughly 30% of my roll on this play.... root for em fellas
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  21. 03-20-08 03:45 AM #21
    WestsidePete
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    I added mem and ucla ml as well on this play
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  22. 03-20-08 03:49 AM #22
    diogee
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    Quote Originally Posted by stingyrivers View Post
    thanks....

    ok, i am officially dropping roughly 30% of my roll on this play.... root for em fellas
    Whoa going huge I see...best of luck Stingy. Cash that sucker and increase your roll
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