its really a crapshoot imo, I've heard Boise can shoot the rock from deep really well, but their stats dont reflect that. If they don't shoot lights out then I think Louisville covers
What do you mean stats don't reflect that? Almost 40% from deep and over 42% in their last 5. That's solid. I've got Louisville and Duke marked as 1st round scares that will squeak by with wins. I'm not playing this one, but I'd lean to the points and Boise. If they shoot well & find some defense, they're in this one all the way.
Boise hasnt seen a defense like Louisville yet though. We'll play the 2-3 mostly with a lot of rotation. I think Louisville covers to be honest. Boise has no inside presence so I expect Padgett to have a solid game inside. Pitino will try to push Boise inside the arc, if it works we cover
I'm staying out of it but if I was going to do anything with this game I would consider the 2nd half line. It could be something where the game looks scary early but Louisville locks it down 2nd half.
Boise likes to run up and down the floor. Pitino already said we are going to run w/ 'em. Boise is a great offensive team, they can shoot it from deep, and have an inside game as well. They are 2nd in the nation in fg% and its going to be a tough matchup. They haven't seen a defense like pitino will present, but 13 is too much to lay for me.
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Louisville - Boise > can Cards cover 13 pts?
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