1. #1
    imgv94
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    ML Parlay Discussion Thread for Wednesday Jan 16th. Please chime in

    Let's start the discussion guys...

  2. #2
    imgv94
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    UAB

    So.Miss 3-22 on road last three seasons
    UAB 30-5 @ Home last three seasons

    Average power rating of opponents played: SOUTHERN MISS 62, UAB 68.8

    UAB @ Home this season:
    7-0

    77.3pts for /53.1pts against
    51.8 Off FG%
    34.7 Def FG%


    This will be one of my parlay entries for sure. Only concern I have is their without Sharpe but they are 3-1 without him..

  3. #3
    WestsidePete
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    img,

    what do you feel about the celtics ml added with the college games tomorrow?? just like detroit for today, boston should be pissed and beat the blazers...even with a lead they won't let up...this is the only pro ml I was thinking about adding...

  4. #4
    imgv94
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    Probably a good thing. Boston doesn't lose @ Home defintely something to consider.

    Illinois State -420

    Ill St has won eight in a row

    37.1 DEF FG%
    35.1 DEF FG% @ HOME

    29-10 @ Home last 3 years

    Wichita state is kinda weak this season.

    ILL St looks like good IMO

  5. #5
    WestsidePete
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    I like Illinois St...have them on the possible list as well...

  6. #6
    imgv94
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    I'm putting

    ILL ST on the definite list.

    Probably add Celtics too the more I think about it.

  7. #7
    imgv94
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    How about Illinois guys?

    They must be desperate to get a win and what better chance do they have then to beat a horrible Michigan club.

    any thoughts?

  8. #8
    BigOrangeTitans
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    Illinois has lost 4 or 5 straight. Look for them to win here but may be close after big loss this weekend. Like Illinois, they are definitely wanting a win.

  9. #9
    imgv94
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    Its been forever since Michigan beat Illinois in Champagn.

    If Illini loses this one they should forfeit entire season.

  10. #10
    BigOrangeTitans
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    i would rename them the crying illini....michigan is bad, specially on the road

  11. #11
    imgv94
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    CS-Northridge

    Hate betting this lower level conference games but is there any reason to believe Riverside can win this?

    Northridge has won 5 in a row
    Riverside lost 5 in a row

    Northridge 12-3
    Riverside 3-11

    Northridge always kicks Riversides ass last 4 games

    North won by 20,7,18 and 14..

    This looks like a solid ML entry

  12. #12
    jeffries
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    take the spread and youll get paid alot more

  13. #13
    BigOrangeTitans
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    what about ark moneline?
    Arkansas really good at home 37-5
    SC lost to tenn by 24 at home last game and hasnt looked good all year

  14. #14
    jeffries
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigOrangeTitans View Post
    what about ark moneline?
    Arkansas really good at home 37-5
    SC lost to tenn by 24 at home last game and hasnt looked good all year
    Not a College Basketball expert here but I would never take this game.. Stats favor SV, Arkansas got homefield advantage..

  15. #15
    BigOrangeTitans
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    your crazy, SV stats do not favor them here, what stats are you checking? sbrodds can point you right here

  16. #16
    jeffries
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigOrangeTitans View Post
    your crazy, SV stats do not favor them here, what stats are you checking? sbrodds can point you right here
    Well you could be right.. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/statfeed/sta...008&rotnum=754

    SC isn't as good as Arkansas but after looking at the stats again, i take back what I said.. I would say both teams will match up evenly and Arkansas should win the game but won't cover the spread.. I see SC shooting 10 % better then Arkansas from 3 point range.. Other then that, don't know what else i overlooked... i guess ou were right.. this game should be a ML bet on Arkansas

  17. #17
    astro61200
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffries View Post
    Well you could be right.. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/statfeed/sta...008&rotnum=754

    SC isn't as good as Arkansas but after looking at the stats again, i take back what I said.. I would say both teams will match up evenly and Arkansas should win the game but won't cover the spread.. I see SC shooting 10 % better then Arkansas from 3 point range.. Other then that, don't know what else i overlooked... i guess ou were right.. this game should be a ML bet on Arkansas
    Arkansas is +6.8 in FG%f-FG%a, South Carolina is only +2.5
    Arkie is +6 rebounding margin, Gamecocks -3
    USC also boasts a -9 away margin, 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS
    Arkansas is +18 at home, 9-0 SU, only 2-3 ATS tho

    I think Arkansas probably covers, maybe winning by 14

  18. #18
    stingyrivers
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    hey guys....

    i just got my preliminary list of 17 games for tomorrow of ML in the right range.... I am gonna go over all the games and post my short list for tomorrow nite in an hour or two....

    I agree though....

    CS Northridge looks solid for this strategy

    so do the celtics, but... i have been using them in these ML Parlays lately and flat performances to Washington back to back has left a bad feeling about them....
    I was almost thinking of excluding them from these for a while until they build a two or three game winning streak again....

    and i know we would lose a little value in their moneyline in doing so, but i been watching all their games on TV and there is just something inexplicably wrong with this team lately
    Last edited by stingyrivers; 01-16-08 at 02:45 AM. Reason: typo

  19. #19
    stingyrivers
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    img, did u cash that ND/Mizz St/Baylor ticket we came up with last night?

  20. #20
    stingyrivers
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    ok it was tough tonight to narrow down this list but anyway...

    Duke
    Xavier

    looks good at -108


    Celtics
    Dayton
    CS Northridge

    also pretty solid at -101

    any opinions?

  21. #21
    stingyrivers
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    as for the teams mentioned above by others that look solid....

    Arkansas
    CS northridge
    UAB

    would be at about -112

  22. #22
    jeffries
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    Memphis will blow Rice out, but the question is by HOW MUCH??? Memphis is supposedly the # 1 team in the country?? Rice just sucks so I believe they should cover the 26 point spread..

    Any opinions?

  23. #23
    stingyrivers
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    you might not like my opinion but picking whether a farly superior team will win by 30 or 23 points is a true guessing game.... so many factors go into it that dont begin until mid second half....

    when up by 22 points does memphis play their bench for the rest of the game? when there is 3 minutes left and memphis up by 26 points does rice go on a 7 to 2 run to finish the game simply because the outcome is alrerady decided and it doesn't matter? kinda risky jeffries especially to put a whole bankroll on, but gl on whatever you decide

    besides this thread is for picks that are big favorites on the moneyline to put in high value parlays.... unfortunately Memphis moneyline is off the board otherwise I would be using them tonite in one of these parlays
    Last edited by stingyrivers; 01-16-08 at 05:16 AM. Reason: typo

  24. #24
    jeffries
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    Lol yeaa. Does memphis have the tendency to empty its bench? I know the starters will play midway through the 2nd half, but the last 6-7 minutes who knows... Whats Memphis strategy when blowing teams out?

  25. #25
    stingyrivers
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    haven't seen them enough to know that much about them.... astro might have an idea or imgv.... just saw the polls and UNC is ranked #1 were they #1 last week or was memphis? I only ask this because its a factor.... if Memphis slipped from one to two this week, they may be looking to run it up against a very weak Rice team

  26. #26
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by stingyrivers View Post
    haven't seen them enough to know that much about them.... astro might have an idea or imgv.... just saw the polls and UNC is ranked #1 were they #1 last week or was memphis? I only ask this because its a factor.... if Memphis slipped from one to two this week, they may be looking to run it up against a very weak Rice team
    Memphis has been #2 since week 4 (December 3rd). North Carolina has been #1 since the start of the season.

  27. #27
    jeffries
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    I guess I overlooked that. My bad

  28. #28
    stingyrivers
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    thinking of these two right now that i will play tonight, but not sure i f i should play them both or load up on just the first one.....

    Duke
    UNC
    CS northridge

    at -104

    and....

    Xavier
    Dayton
    Celtics

    at +130

    any thoughts??

  29. #29
    mmarino
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    I like the Duke, UNC, CS Northridge, and will most likely play that.

  30. #30
    GODFATHER
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    Hey stingy,

    I'm liking the way you approach college basketball. I also like both picks you have posted. Like you have shared making parleys just dosent work as good as this if the homework is done right.

  31. #31
    stingyrivers
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    thanks godfather....

    as long as the big favs win the game str8 up, which they usually do, this approach works pretty good.... the thing i gotta work on is not spreading myself too thin on one night because it only takes one upset if you do to make you break even on the night

  32. #32
    tevari
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    am i the only one sweating the duke game just a little? it's the only thing that's preventing me from pulling the trigger

  33. #33
    mmarino
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    I think Duke is going to have trouble covering the spread, but I think they shouldn't have too much trouble winning the game outright.

  34. #34
    Peyton2MarvinN06
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    GV,

    My ML parlay today is what I just sent you:

    Celtics
    Illinois State
    Arkansas
    North Carolina

    pays almost even money...


  35. #35
    tevari
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    played:

    duke
    unc
    cs northridge
    new orleans (nba)

    1k for 1.1

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