1. 03-07-10 08:43 PM #1
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    Parlay riding on Portland +7

    Posted this in the NBA forum:

    I have a 19:1 parlay riding on Portland +7. Not a large investment so it doesn't pay out a truckload, but it is what it is. Nice situation to be in, except for the fact that I was going to go big on it as an individual play as well.

    So what do I do now? I'll hedge I guess, though I'm pretty confident in the Blazers. Ironically, I was in the exact same boat a few weeks back -- needing a Portland cover to complete a parlay -- and hedged with Utah the night the Blazers pulled off that epic collapse at home.

    So do I go 40% again like I did last time to be safe? Less?
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  2. 03-07-10 08:46 PM #2
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    That's the Trail Blazers, BTW -- not the Pilots.

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  3. 03-07-10 08:55 PM #3
    Ralphie1412
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    Then you should have a nice size bet on Denver -7......no excuses.
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  4. 03-07-10 08:57 PM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    Then you should have a nice size bet on Denver -7......no excuses.
    I'm pretty confident in the DEN number, but I think I'm still going to hedge about 40 percent. Hate to do it, but I have to. 60% is better than 0.

    Any angle in playing the halves? I don't even know why I'm asking that, considering like I said last time, POR was up 20-plus on Utah at home and found a way to lose. Had I waited to see in that game, I might have just stuck with Portland and gotten burned.
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  5. 03-07-10 09:00 PM #5
    Ralphie1412
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    when ever im in your position I hedge it exactly half and dont even watch the game. Free money. If the parlay pays 1000 I put 500 the other day and add 5 to my bankroll before the games even tip.
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  6. 03-07-10 09:01 PM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    when ever im in your position I hedge it exactly half and dont even watch the game. Free money. If the parlay pays 1000 I put 500 the other day and add 5 to my bankroll before the games even tip.
    Unfortunately, the parlay's only worth about 1/8th of that. Wish I'd gone bigger, but after Villachoka burned me on a five-teamer yesterday (4-1), I got conservative and went mostly MLs.
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  7. 03-07-10 09:03 PM #7
    clarkd32
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    i'd wait till halftime and see what options you have.
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  8. 03-07-10 09:07 PM #8
    Ralphie1412
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    Quote Originally Posted by clarkd32 View Post
    i'd wait till halftime and see what options you have.

    terrible advice
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  9. 03-07-10 09:10 PM #9
    tcarn01
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    take the other team and buy points. .you might hit both....
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  10. 03-07-10 09:10 PM #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    terrible advice
    Like I said, had I waited until halftime in the POR game a few weeks ago, I might have just let it ride or played less than 40% because the Blazers were dominating that game. They choked about as bad as any team has all season, and I was simply thankful I had hedged close to half.
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  11. 03-07-10 09:11 PM #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by tcarn01 View Post
    take the other team and buy points. .you might hit both....
    I was thinking about that, but the chances are pretty remote.
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  12. 03-07-10 09:23 PM #12
    KingKolzig
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    wait until halftime. i do this all the time with parlays and by waiting until halftime more often then not im able to find middle ground as opposed to being way out of it..............you could take a small bet Denver -3.5 1st half, then if they dont cover. say Portland actually leads at half, then you will have a HUGE middle ground...........if Dever goes cover 1st half, and say leads by 8, then you win the Den 1st half bet and could still win the parlay
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  13. 03-07-10 11:21 PM #13
    mvp123
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    why do ppl play parlays than ask to hedge ...hedging is gar money yes but u always lose out in your true odds and value ...think about it , if you would win the first leg as a single game then keep rolling profit over till next game , etc you will see exactly what i mean but i do understand its nice to gar money no matter what
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  14. 03-07-10 11:41 PM #14
    hhsilver
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    I don't like the idea of hedging --- your just making it harder to come out ahead if you play parlays.
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  15. 03-07-10 11:43 PM #15
    Kirchner
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    get it girl
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  16. 03-07-10 11:44 PM #16
    sportsguy04
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kirchner View Post
    get it girl
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  17. 03-07-10 11:50 PM #17
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    I got my mind made up come you can get it, get it girl
    any time... tonight is fine.. say whaaat ??

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  18. 03-07-10 11:51 PM #18
    KingKolzig
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp123 View Post
    why do ppl play parlays than ask to hedge ...hedging is gar money yes but u always lose out in your true odds and value ...think about it , if you would win the first leg as a single game then keep rolling profit over till next game , etc you will see exactly what i mean but i do understand its nice to gar money no matter what
    yes but if your bankroll is in trouble and you need some sure cash, then you hedge
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  19. 03-08-10 12:27 AM #19
    beefcake
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    always hedge
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  20. 03-08-10 12:30 AM #20
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    How many games are playing on Monday?
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  21. 03-08-10 12:31 AM #21
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    I hedged at about 35-40%. Obviously in hindsight, wish I'd gone more, but what can you do. At least it's a profit, and it just would've been another last-game parlay loser had I not (I'm very good at those).
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  22. 03-08-10 12:37 AM #22
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I hedged at about 35-40%. Obviously in hindsight, wish I'd gone more, but what can you do. At least it's a profit, and it just would've been another last-game parlay loser had I not (I'm very good at those).

    i wouldnt have did more than that, if i actually do a parley and its down to last team for arguments sake lets go with Ralphies number for a grand payout, no damn way im splitting the difference, if im doing that what the hell i pick the team for in the 1st place i would probably go $250 back the other way on a G of coarse it also depends on the game ive been known to bet the whole thing on the other team just depends on my mood i guess as ive let several ride as well....really depends on the payout and how i feel about the game that is left
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