1. #1
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Home and Away

    Going to transfer this info from my other thread. A lot of this was suggested by SBR poster kingdom. I picked up on it and added some of my own.

    The ATS records will include the games from the 2017/2018/2019 seasons.

    Tonight
    Michigan St
    32-11 ATS

    2/5 Cal Poly (home) [caution: they have covered their last 2 home games]
    Last 2 seasons 4-12 ATS at home.

    2/5 Cal State Fullerton (home)
    Last 2 seasons 3-15 ATS at home.

    2/5 Purdue (home)
    Last 2 seasons 18-8 ATS at home.

    2/6 Cal (away)
    2/8 Cal (away)
    Last 2 seasons 3-15 ATS away.

    2/13 Stanford (home)
    2/15 Stanford (home)
    Last 2 seasons 18-9 ATS at home.

    Utah State (away)
    Last 3 seasons 9-18 ATS away.

  2. #2
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    First one:

    Michigan St -8 1/2 over Penn St

  3. #3
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Colo St +2 over Fresno St

    Fresno St 14-23 ATS at home.

    Just wanted to let everyone know, these ATS records should NOT be the only criteria for making a bet. For example, I passed on Oklahoma who is 10-18-2 ATS on the road.

  4. #4
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Mich St: loses outright
    Colo St: wins outright

    1-1

  5. #5
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    We have the following for Wednesday night to watch:

    Fades:
    Cal Poly (home)
    Cal State Fullerton (home) George Washington (away)
    Florida (home)
    Illinois St (away)

    Follow:
    Drake (home)
    Purdue (home) [plays Iowa who is bad on the road]

  6. #6
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    After last night's shady cover by Kansas St that I predicted, I was hesitant to bet Fresno St over Air Force since it was the last game of the night. Kansas St was the last major game of the night. Perhaps I shouldn't be so concerned about these late games unless they are major schools.

    I didn't bet Fresno St even though they had a 24-15 home ATS record. Make that 25-15 after tonight's game finishes.

  7. #7
    hawkeyeguy27
    hawkeyeguy27's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 449
    Betpoints: 3189

    Iowa isn't that bad on the road. They have plenty of road wins this year. But like most teams in the BIG 10 its very hard to win road games. Iowa has the National player of the year and great outside shooters, I see them taking this game pretty easily actually.


    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    We have the following for Wednesday night to watch:

    Fades:
    Cal Poly (home)
    Cal State Fullerton (home) George Washington (away)
    Florida (home)
    Illinois St (away)

    Follow:
    Drake (home)
    Purdue (home) [plays Iowa who is bad on the road]

  8. #8
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by hawkeyeguy27 View Post
    Iowa isn't that bad on the road. They have plenty of road wins this year. But like most teams in the BIG 10 its very hard to win road games. Iowa has the National player of the year and great outside shooters, I see them taking this game pretty easily actually.
    I'm glad you brought that up. The road ATS records I post are over 2 1/2 seasons. Iowa is 3-3 ATS this year which isn't bad. I will take that into consideration into my decisions.

    Take also Cal Poly for example. They have a horrible home ATS record. However, they have covered their last 2 home games so I probably won't fade them tonight.

  9. #9
    celticsboy
    celticsboy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 1621

    Stop purdoodoo about to get that spanking

  10. #10
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Going to throw in a total here:
    Iowa St/West Va over 144 1/2

  11. #11
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by celticsboy View Post
    Stop purdoodoo about to get that spanking
    Lol!
    Not at home they aren't.

    Purdue -4 1/2 over Iowa
    St Bonnie -9 over G Washington
    Georgia +9 1/2 over Florida

  12. #12
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Missouri St -6 over Ill St

    Ill St hasn't scored within 10 points on the road all year.

  13. #13
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Drake -3 1/2 over Bradley

  14. #14
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    UC Riverside -1 over CS Fullerton

    This one almost looks like a trap. UC Riv is 14-9 playing 8-15 CSF. I checked the consensus and this isn't too out of line so I'm going with it.

  15. #15
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    L) Ia St/West Va
    W) Purdue
    W) St Bonnie
    W) Georgia
    W) Mo State
    W) Drake
    L) UC Riv

    5-2

    YTD: 6-3

    The last time I bet Iowa St over on the road they didn't cover either. Just spreads for me now.

    Those late games have my head spinning around. It just seemed like such an easy pick for UC Riv to win. Oh well. Cal Poly usually does poorly at home but they're tearing it up now so I'm glad I skipped them.

    I'll post here a little later the leans for Thursday.

  16. #16
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Here are the games I'll be looking at on Thursday:

    Liberty
    Cal Baptist
    Georgia St
    UC Davis
    Colorado
    Liberty

  17. #17
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Georgia St -4 over UL Lafayette

  18. #18
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    I'm just going to get this one out of the way. One of my favorite teams to bet, home or away.

    Cal Baptist -5 over Cal St Bakersfield

  19. #19
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    Here are the games I'll be looking at on Thursday:
    Liberty
    Cal Baptist
    Georgia St
    UC Davis
    Colorado
    Just some notes on those I didn't take:

    • Liberty had too many points to cover on the road. They didn't cover.
    • UC Davis was 27-15 ATS on the road but UC Irvine was 17-10 ATS at home. UC Davis covered by 1.
    • Colorado was 28-13 ATS at home and Cal was 10-16 ATS on the road but these were just too many points. Cal covered.


    L) Georgia St blew a 13-point lead in the 2nd to lose this game outright.
    P) Cal Baptist

    Today: 0-1-1
    YTD: 7-4-1

  20. #20
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    These are the teams I will be looking at for Friday:

    Canisius
    Fairfield
    St Peter
    Quinnipiac
    So Alabama
    Cent Mich

  21. #21
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    This seems like a no-brainer but that's never a guarantee.

    Quinnipiac -5 1/2 over Iona
    Last edited by QuantumLeap; 02-07-20 at 04:43 PM.

  22. #22
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by QuantumLeap View Post
    This seems like a no-brainer but that's never a guarantee.

    Quinnipiac -5 1/2 over Iona
    L) Quinn

    YTD: 7-5-1

  23. #23
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Sometimes I overthink things. I passed on fading Fairfield because of their success early in the season.

    Here are the early picks. Probably will add more later.

    Michigan +1 1/2 over Michigan St

    Stony Brook -6 over New Hampshire

    Auburn -5 over LSU

  24. #24
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    So Dakota St -7 1/2 over Nebraska Omaha

  25. #25
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Norfolk St -14 1/2 over Delaware St

  26. #26
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Cal Baptist -6 1/2 over Grand Canyon

  27. #27
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    I missed the Cal away game.



    Utah St -10 over Boise St

  28. #28
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Baylor -6 over Texas

  29. #29
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Forgot to update my record from Saturday:

    W) Michigan +1 1/2 over Michigan St
    L) Stony Brook -6 over New Hampshire
    L) Auburn -5 over LSU
    W) So Dakota St -7 1/2 over Nebraska Omaha
    W) Norfolk St -14 1/2 over Delaware St
    L) Cal Baptist -6 1/2 over Grand Canyon
    L by 1 pt) Utah St -10 over Boise St

    YTD: 10-9-1

  30. #30
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    W) Baylor -6 over Texas

    YTD: 11-9-1

  31. #31
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Purdue -5 over Penn St

  32. #32
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Stanford -2 1/2 over ASU

    Stanford at home is the play.

  33. #33
    cankid
    cankid's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 7,103
    Betpoints: 10364

    Stay in the ++ QL .,keep it rolling plzzz

  34. #34
    QuantumLeap
    Let's go, Brandon!
    QuantumLeap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 6,864
    Betpoints: 8218

    Quote Originally Posted by cankid View Post
    Stay in the ++ QL .,keep it rolling plzzz
    Take a look at my most recent thread. I would be interested in hearing what you think.

    I hope you're enjoying life on that surfboard in your profile pic.

Top