1. #1
    AtownBrown
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    AtownBrown College Hoops Model

    I don't have much time to talk about the model because I would like to get this pick posted in time. The model has two parts one is based on standard analysis of the teams playing and the other is based on public betting percentages impact on line movement and trends that I have noticed from tracking games since 2016. I wait until late to play to get as close as possible to the actual public betting figures. Going forward, I will try to get the pick early and confirm it is a good with my metrics shortly before tip. The only play tonight is Wright State -5.5.

  2. #2
    RiverDog21
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    You from Anderson?

  3. #3
    AtownBrown
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    No, I am not familiar with Anderson. I have had an account here forever, but I never posted just enjoyed that insight, banter and characters that are on here. I hope I can share something that can make people some money, but no luck tonight. 0-1 (-1.1units)

  4. #4
    AtownBrown
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    Oklahoma - 5.5

  5. #5
    AtownBrown
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    I am looking hard at the Zags -10. I will make it an official play if these public betting numbers hold. I just want to wait close to tip. I will make it official about 10 minutes before tip, so please check back if interested.

  6. #6
    AtownBrown
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    Its a go Zags -10

  7. #7
    AtownBrown
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    1-1 today (-.1 units) YTD: 1-2 (-1.2 units)

  8. #8
    BOA12
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    Quote Originally Posted by AtownBrown View Post
    1-1 today (-.1 units) YTD: 1-2 (-1.2 units)
    BOl on your adventure to the madness. Never overlook anyone who does their homework. You from Brown Town? Like your baseball stadium and Rock and Roll Hall Of Fame.

  9. #9
    AtownBrown
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    UNC +8
    Delaware State -3

  10. #10
    AtownBrown
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    Alabama -4.5

  11. #11
    AtownBrown
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    Quote Originally Posted by BOA12 View Post
    BOl on your adventure to the madness. Never overlook anyone who does their homework. You from Brown Town? Like your baseball stadium and Rock and Roll Hall Of Fame.
    I am actually originally from just outside of Allentown, PA. That is where the Atown comes from. AtownBrown used to be this crappy weed we used to buy when I was a kid around there. It was kinda of a joke growing up there that I thought made for a funny name.

  12. #12
    AtownBrown
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    Yesterday results were 1-1 (-0.1 units) YTD: 2-3 (-1.3 units)

  13. #13
    AtownBrown
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    0-1 tonight on the Bama play.
    Boise State -9 is a play based on my model.

  14. #14
    BOA12
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    Quote Originally Posted by AtownBrown View Post
    I am actually originally from just outside of Allentown, PA. That is where the Atown comes from. AtownBrown used to be this crappy weed we used to buy when I was a kid around there. It was kinda of a joke growing up there that I thought made for a funny name.
    Strong roots, weak weed. We had brown ColomBO where B Oa kinda of originated circa 1976. BOL Atown and your "model" behavior.at SBR.

  15. #15
    AtownBrown
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    Ugh, I am scuffling here. 0-2 yesterday (-2.2 units) YTD: 2-5 (-3.5 units) Back at it today.

  16. #16
    AtownBrown
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    Iowa +4.5
    Iowa ML +165
    Iowa St. +12

  17. #17
    AtownBrown
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    Lamar -3.5
    Northern Iowa -3.5

  18. #18
    AtownBrown
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    Louisville -15

  19. #19
    AtownBrown
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    More bad today 2-4 (-2.3 units) YTD: 4-7 (-5.8 units).

  20. #20
    AtownBrown
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    Tulsa -2.5
    Drexel -3.5
    North Texas -7.5
    Georgia St. -4
    St Francis, PA +3
    St. Francis, PA ML

  21. #21
    AtownBrown
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    Northern Arizona -2

  22. #22
    AtownBrown
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    2/5/20 Results: 3-4 (-.95 units) The St. Francis ML was +145. YTD results: 7-11 (-6.75 units)

  23. #23
    AtownBrown
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    Lipscomb -8.5

  24. #24
    AtownBrown
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    2/6 0-1 (-1.1 units) YTD results: 7-12 (-7.85 units)

  25. #25
    AtownBrown
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    Quinnipiac -1.5
    Monmouth -4

  26. #26
    AtownBrown
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    2/9/20 Results: 0-2 (-2.2) YTD results: 7-14 (-10.05 units)

  27. #27
    AtownBrown
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    The model is officially becoming fade material.

  28. #28
    AtownBrown
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    Yale -4

  29. #29
    AtownBrown
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    2/14 Results: 1-0 (+1 unit) YTD Results: 8-14 (-9.05 units)

  30. #30
    AtownBrown
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    Northwestern + 12

  31. #31
    AtownBrown
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    Mizzou +8.5

  32. #32
    AtownBrown
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    Nc a&t -11.5

  33. #33
    AtownBrown
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    UNC Greensboro -4
    Mercer -6
    Colgate -3.5

  34. #34
    AtownBrown
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    Northern Iowa -13.5

  35. #35
    AtownBrown
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    Oakland -3.5
    St Francis PA -7

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