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Sharps - tell us what the Tuesday lines will be....
I took a guess but don't go by me, I'm getting destroyed this year, absolutely destroyed!!!
Virg
Mia 6
Gtown
Lville 2-
Syr 9
Prov
Rut
SH 12
Ill
Mich PK
ODU 10
Ga St
Cright
SIll 4-
NIowa 13
Evan
Kan St 5-
Tex Tech
Ten
Fla PK
Hof
NE 10
NMex 8
Col St
Good exercise for us squares to partake in.
Do you want to know what the lines should be, or what they will be. This is a great exercise for everyone to do actually. I do it everyday.
Virginia vs Miami-line should be -5.5, probably will open right around that at-5.
Gtown vs. Louville- Line should be -3, but line will be -5, maybe even a little more
Syracuse vs. Providence-line should be right around where you have it -8 maybe -8.5, but if you look at who Providence has played at home and what the lines have been in those games, don't be surprised to see this one open at -6 maybe less.
Rutgers vs. Seaton Hall-Battle of New Jersey, Seaton Hall is much better team, but -12 is high, I say the line should be -8, but the books will adjust up to -10, so that the rec books will no longer have to post a moneyline on the game.
Illionios vs. Michigan-Line shoud be Pk, like you have it, but I see it opening at Mich -2.
ODU vs. Georgia State-Should be -9 will be more like -7.
Creighton vs. South Ill- I think you got this one right on the head with -4.
Last edited by strictlywinners; 02-22-10 at 09:55 AM.
Northern Iowa vs. Evansville-well this one is probably the hardest one to call, last time they played at top of the year, Northern Iowa was -15.5 at home, now the standard swing from one home court to another, ignoring all other factors is 6. So that would put the line at 9.5, but Evansville has been cold, Northern Iowa just had big win on TV against Old Dominion. So they will probably inflate the line by 2 points, so I'll say -11.5
KSU vs. Ttech- Another one I think you got right on the head with -5
Tenn vs. Florida- Well last time they played, line was 8.5, 6 point move from home court to home court makes it 2.5, but FLorida is awesome at home, so the line should be a pk. I feel that lines makers will be setting up bettors in this one though. I have Florida opening at -2.
I saw them pretty much how you did, adjusted them 1 point on a bit over half of them and 1.5 points on Michigan
these are opener projections not closers
Virg
Mia -5
Gtown
Lville -3
Syr -10
Prov
Rut
SH -14
Ill
Mich P-1.5
ODU 10
Ga St
Cright
SIll -5
NIowa -13
Evan
Kan St -6.5
Tex TechTen
Fla -1
Hof
NE 10
NMex 7
Col St
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Hofstra vs. North Eastern-Last time line was -3.5, 6 point swing puts it at -9.5, but Hofstra has won 4 in a row, and North Eastern coming off a loss. I got this one at -7.5.
New Mexico vs. Colorado State-Last but not least, this one should be -7, but don't be surprised when you see it open at -4.5, and Colorado state wins game outright.
Hope I helped a little, this is a great exercise for everyone to do, to improve their capping skills.
Nice work guys, Strictly hit several on the head, as did I, overall though I have to give this one to Archie. Well done sir.
Alright Sharps who is going to cover
Hahaha, that is a good question, I'm sure I will have two or three of these games tomorrow. I'll let you know once the lines are up.
damn hit the Louisville game EXACTLY, pegged it at -4
this is what I came up with after actual capping (some are dead on unfortunately)
UL (-4.5/5)
Miami (-6)
Syracuse (-7.5)
Michigan (-4.5)
Kansas State (-5)
Florida (-1)
So Georgetown is +4? I think thats a steal.
A steal?Originally Posted by nobodyukno
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Patrick McIrish gave Chi_archie 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.