1. 12-18-17 03:17 PM #1
    jeffchitown
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    Chi town basketball

    So I decided I’ll do an official thread. I would say my picks lately have been bad. I’ll do my best to keep record of win loss etc but honestly I have a book for that.

    So these picks could be bad. I’ll try to give a level of confidence for each pick because I’m a degenerate and tend to chase or if not much action I will force bets lol!

    Each game I will rank confidence level 1 to 5. 1 means I’m throwing blind darts and no clue and 5 being man this has to be a guaranteed winner.

    Picks following in a reply after this.
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  2. 12-18-17 03:28 PM #2
    jeffchitown
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    South Florida -8.5 $55 confidence level 3.0

    Marquette-16.5 $77 confidence level 3.5

    Drexel -9 $55 confidence level 2.7
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  3. 12-18-17 03:43 PM #3
    jeffchitown
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    5 game parlay clearly confidence level is a 1.4 lol!

    Atlanta falcons over 49,
    Boston Celtics -1.5(+1),
    Atlanta hawks PCK,
    Marquette -15 (+1.5),
    UT Arlington +14(+1)

    $10 to win $168
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  4. 12-18-17 03:44 PM #4
    HeeluvaGuy
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    "confidence level 2.7" One of the best things I've read on this forum.

    BOL jeff!
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  5. 12-18-17 03:45 PM #5
    jeffchitown
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    "confidence level 2.7" One of the best things I've read on this forum.

    BOL jeff!
    Hahaha
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  6. 12-18-17 03:47 PM #6
    HeeluvaGuy
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    I love the precision, but you really should push it out a few more decimal points.
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  7. 12-18-17 03:50 PM #7
    jeffchitown
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    I love the precision, but you really should push it out a few more decimal points.
    Lol a 2.698989898989892
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  8. 12-18-17 03:51 PM #8
    jeffchitown
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    It’s f’n science 🔬
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  9. 12-18-17 04:01 PM #9
    jeffchitown
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    Okay guys now for the dart of the day... literally I will pick one game blind. I’m going to close my eyes and pick a game on my phone haha. This will be a confidence level 1 $22 dollar bet. Here we go!!!


    Over 145 in Drexel game
    Last edited by jeffchitown; 12-18-17 at 04:12 PM. Reason: Technically $22 dollars since the juice.
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  10. 12-18-17 07:04 PM #10
    jeffchitown
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    Marquette 2h -8 $33 confidence level 3
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  11. 12-18-17 07:14 PM #11
    jeffchitown
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    X my fingers Marquette get hot during the last 10 minutes I’ve seen them do it many games
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  12. 12-18-17 08:47 PM #12
    jeffchitown
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    Ending the day with Santa Clara +115 ML $150 to win $172. Confidence Level 3.

    I don't think valpo is that good and I like how santa clara did against northern arizona and portland state university at home. Portland State is pretty darn good team yeah they lost but it was close. I'll take my chances on them. My guess is valpo drops a doozy here on the road exhausted from finals last week and losing bad at northwestern. Last thing they need is to have to travel across the country. We shall see should be a interesting game to say the least.
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  13. 12-18-17 08:53 PM #13
    Louisvillekid1
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    Nice thread gl
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  14. 12-18-17 10:49 PM #14
    2daBank
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    This thread cracks me up. Get'em Jeff! I have 3.45 confidence you will do well!
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  15. 12-19-17 08:23 AM #15
    jeffchitown
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    This thread cracks me up. Get'em Jeff! I have 3.45 confidence you will do well!
    Lol thx!!

    Oh do we have some picks today!

    Ohio State vs Citadel over 176 $110 confidence level 2.8

    Xavier -21.5 $110 confidence level 3.4

    Interesting fact is Xavier is playing Marshall both x-men characters.
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  16. 12-19-17 01:17 PM #16
    jeffchitown
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    So the following picks are tails of the 2daBank if you want a confidence level you have to ask him. Tell him I sent you hahahaaha

    Syracuse -10.5 $77
    Total under 127 Georgia Tech $94
    Belmont +6.5 $77
    Auburn -4 $87 (he had -3 but i couldn't get that)
    Aubrn 1h -2 $87

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27439783
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  17. 12-19-17 01:31 PM #17
    2daBank
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    Don't send anyone my way for confidence, I have none!! Lol..

    in all seriousness I basically flat bet everything, occasionally I like few little more and put in some kind of parlay or something. Spreads around 7 or less I'll round robin favs mls to kinda back up in event they don't cover, I don't recommend parlays but that strategy helps me quite a bit on nights my squad fails to cover (like wake last night), tends to pay for losing the ats play more often than I lose both.
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  18. 12-19-17 02:47 PM #18
    jeffchitown
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Don't send anyone my way for confidence, I have none!! Lol..

    in all seriousness I basically flat bet everything, occasionally I like few little more and put in some kind of parlay or something. Spreads around 7 or less I'll round robin favs mls to kinda back up in event they don't cover, I don't recommend parlays but that strategy helps me quite a bit on nights my squad fails to cover (like wake last night), tends to pay for losing the ats play more often than I lose both.
    LOL! Well same boat I'll have days where I feel like I can't pick a loser and then days where I can't pick a winner. I do want to test this confidence thing. I'll start compiling my win ratios over time. I then will learn more about myself. It could turn out the bets I'm less confident in win more. It should be interesting once I get a lot more data. I will not include your bets I added as part of that clearly. I still have not seen any bet this week I'm like that is a 4 out of 5 confidence level. Usually by now I have seen something that I'm crazy about.
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  19. 12-19-17 03:27 PM #19
    jeffchitown
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    Adding
    Texas am -11.5 $110 confidence level 3.8
    Arizona state -37 $110 confidence level 3
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  20. 12-19-17 03:29 PM #20
    jeffchitown
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    Well just realized I have $862 in pending bets eek haha
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  21. 12-19-17 03:30 PM #21
    HeeluvaGuy
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    BOL tonight!
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  22. 12-19-17 03:31 PM #22
    jeffchitown
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    BOL tonight!
    Thanks I may need some alcohol tonight!
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Louisvillekid1
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  23. 12-19-17 05:18 PM #23
    jeffchitown
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    I bought a ton of arts supplies going to practice my painting. If I get half decent look in the future for one of my picks to be painted on a canvas and posted 😂
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  24. 12-19-17 06:54 PM #24
    jeffchitown
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    I may regret not hedging my Xavier bet at half. I considered taking Marshall +6 2h but decided to let my bet ride.

    Taking 2h over in Ohio state though over 88.5 $58
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  25. 12-19-17 07:58 PM #25
    jeffchitown
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    Lol hope someone had been making money fading my bets Jesus! Getting murdered here thank god for 2dabank haha. His Belmont pick looking good same with 1h auburn won. Just need auburn 2h. Syracuse looking unlikely but hey he did really good on the others. I won my 2nd half over in Ohio state cut my loses in half for that game. Xavier got rocked 2h it was like a whole new team on the court. I had a bad feeling when they were up 20 in the first half and right at the end of the first half Xavier player is injured. Felt like a bad omen for the game but I went against my but and rode my bet.
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  26. 12-19-17 08:04 PM #26
    jeffchitown
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    Add
    Iowa -16.5 $55 confidence level 2.2
    Uc Davis +16.5 $77 confidence level 2.7
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  27. 12-19-17 08:07 PM #27
    jeffchitown
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    Adding
    saint Mary’s -9.5 $77 confidence level 3.3
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  28. 12-19-17 10:55 PM #28
    jeffchitown
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    well that was a lucky ending streak of three in a row after a lot of losers. I also parlayed princeton +15.5 and over 138.5 but didn't post it here.
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  29. 12-20-17 03:47 AM #29
    jeffchitown
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    Saint John's -8 $77 confidence level 3
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  30. 12-20-17 03:52 AM #30
    jeffchitown
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    Add
    Houston -4.5 $77 confidence level 3.9
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  31. 12-20-17 10:30 AM #31
    jeffchitown
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    Add
    SE Missouri State +5 $77 Confidence Level 2.5
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  32. 12-20-17 02:09 PM #32
    jeffchitown
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeffchitown View Post
    Add
    Houston -4.5 $77 confidence level 3.9
    Adding $33 more to this but -5 also added
    $55 1h Houston -2.5.

    And added $33 more to St. John’s -7.5
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  33. 12-20-17 02:36 PM #33
    jeffchitown
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    Add $33 1h St. John’s -4 confidence level 2.9
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  34. 12-20-17 03:09 PM #34
    jeffchitown
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    Add parlay
    St. John’s -5.5 and over 145 $100 to win $177 confidence level 2.7
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  35. 12-20-17 03:34 PM #35
    2daBank
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    I was pretty close to pulling trigger on over as well but ended up passing. Gl
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