Thanks DD. I know you have this link, but for others who may be interested, this link will take you to my NCAAB model predictions and results:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing
This is a power rankings based model, so it is actually different from what I have been doing with totals in this thread. The results are based off of closing lines, so my only update will be once the lines close.
For sides, the lines are all set based off of the home team. Example: today MTSU is favored by 12 on the road, so the "Current Line" is "12." Iowa is favored at home by 1.5, so the "Current Line" is -1.5. A positive number in the "Delta" column means that the model favors the road team ATS; a negative number means it favors the home team.
Through 1,064 total plays (sides and totals) since January 3 (when I started this season), the model is hitting 52.16% with no filters. Totals have a 283-251 (53%) record, and Overs are 173-127 (57.67%).
This model does not take into account injuries, suspensions, returning players, etc. As a result, I never recommend blindly using it for picks. However, I find it to be a useful tool as part of an overall strategy.
Happy hunting!